Artur Rehi Profile picture
May 20 3 tweets 2 min read Read on X
1/3 Zelensky confirms that Ukraine is being threatened with a complete cut-off of military aid if it uses Western weapons on russian territory. Update by @joni_askola Image
2/3 Zelensky confirmed to Reuters that Ukraine is facing threats of complete cessation of military aid. He also reiterated that he had not violated agreements with allies by using their weapons inside russia. Image

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More from @ArturRehi

May 22
1/7 russian 5D chess: the level of russian activity north of Kharkiv has diminished, while their assaults on the main front have predictably intensified. What will be their next move?

Analysis by @joni_askola Image
2/7 In recent weeks, russia has been worrying Ukraine with its significantly greater resources and the opening of a new diversionary front. Nevertheless, we frequently overestimate russia's ability to develop effective strategies. Image
3/7 Up to this point, russia's actions have been highly predictable, and the diversion north of Kharkiv appears to have failed to accomplish any of its key objectives. Currently, russia is shifting troops near Sumy and its primary axis is intensifying but remains under control. Image
Read 7 tweets
May 21
Many people on the Internet are spreading messages about the illegitimacy of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. However, this is another attempt by the Russian side to split the Ukrainian society, as this is part of its information war. However, according to the
1/10 Image
Constitution of Ukraine, Article 64 of the main law "Under conditions of martial law or a state of emergency, specific restrictions on rights and freedoms may be established with the indication of the period of effectiveness of these restrictions." Martial law has been
2/10 Image
introduced in Ukraine and this is obvious. The same article spells out rights that cannot be limited and does not mention elections. In addition, Article 19 of the Law of Ukraine on Martial Law directly states that under martial law, changing the constitution and holding
3/10 Image
Read 10 tweets
May 21
1/7 Is russia planning tax increases to fund its failed invasion of Ukraine? Update by @joni_askola Image
2/7 russian resources are not limited, as evidenced by Belousov's appointment as MoD. Another indication is russia's contemplation of raising taxes to fund its unsuccessful war in Ukraine. Image
3/7 russia is exploring substantial tax hikes to generate up to 4 trillion rubles ($44 billion) in response to the financial pressure stemming from the war in Ukraine. Discussions include tax increases for corporate profits and high-earning individuals. Image
Read 7 tweets
May 21
Once again about Belousov, who supervised Prigozhin’s activities and why he won't help Putin. released an investigation concerning Andrei Belousov. This is not a detailed investigation into his corruption schemes, but it does shed light on the man's
1/15 Dossier.Center
Image
personality. Like everyone around Putin, Belousov is no better than Shoigu. He is not some kind of genius economist and all his earlier initiatives, such as import substitution in Russia, failed. Rumors about Shoigu’s possible resignation have been circulating since the
2/15 Image
beginning of a full-scale invasion, and Vladimir Putin has long been moving towards finally making the post of Minister of Defense administrative. Andrei Belousov has been preparing for this position for several years. Belousov, while still in the position of assistant to
3/15 Image
Read 15 tweets
May 21
1/7 Salesman of the century: while Putin may not be a good leader, he is NATO's most effective salesman. Take by @joni_askola Image
2/7 A track record of imperialism and aggression, coupled with persistent dishonesty, threats, militarization, paranoia, corruption, and unreasonable demands, creates the type of neighbor one would prefer not to face alone. Image
3/7 Prior to russia's failed full-scale invasion, Macron believed that NATO was undergoing a "brain death." While this wasn't the case, it is evident that Putin knows how to make an organization appear more valuable than ever before. Image
Read 7 tweets
May 21
1/8 When your attempt to divert ties up your own reserves: maintaining a small buffer zone will require russia to deploy a much larger number of troops compared to just securing the border located behind it.

Analysis by @joni_askola Image
2/8 russia continues to launch attacks north of Kharkiv and is maneuvering troops near Sumy. While this assault has primarily served as a diversionary tactic, it is probable that russia also aims to push Ukrainian forces further away from the border. Image
3/8 russia has discussed establishing a so-called 'sanitary' or buffer zone to safeguard Belgorod, which is likely one of the objectives behind russia's attack. The primary goal continues to be drawing Ukrainian reserves away from the main axis near Chasiv Yar. Image
Read 8 tweets

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