2024 is the hottest year on record, and it's been hotter than 2023 in part because of a global ban on shipping fuels containing sulfur dioxide.
Problem: SO2 causes acid rain, but it cools the globe. How can we just stay cool?
A new company might have found the solution.
🧵
Acid rain has been on the decline for many years, but in order to finally put the problem to rest, it'll be crucial to knock out sulfur dioxide emissions from shipping.
Globally, those emissions have been concentrated in these boxed-in regions where ships go to-and-fro.
When the International Maritime Organization 2020 regulation went into effect, roughly 80% of sulfur dioxide emissions from international shipping went away overnight.
If those sulfur emissions weren't stopped, sulfate aerosols would have acted to change the Earth's energy balance, cooling it down.
Think of this like sunscreen for the planet.
Because shipping-related emissions were spread out over so wide an area, their cooling effect was pretty sizable despite being only a fraction of global sulfur emissions.
The resulting rise in global temperatures when these went away inspired @ASong408 to think:
How can we keep the cooling while doing without the acid rain?
Watch this video.
What you just witnessed was a balloon containing sulfur dioxide.
You just witnessed a stratospheric aerosol injection, AKA, a controlled sulfur release in the stratosphere.
This part is critical: the stratosphere.
The reason the stratosphere is so critical is that, if you release sulfur dioxide up there, it distributes widely and makes minimal acid rain.
There's no weather that far up, so there's nothing to bring it back down right away!
Because there's nothing to bring the sulfur dioxide (+/as byproducts) back down from so far up, you can also consider this "sunscreen" extra long-lasting.
In other words, stratospherically-injected sulfur dioxide has a long "residence time."
The residence time isn't forever, it's a few years.
So in order to ensure the world doesn't face an acid rain problem, the release has to be done in controlled amounts.
Luckily, modest amounts meet our goals: they cool Earth, stabilize her climate, and produce minimal acid rain
The reason this works so well is that, when the sulfur is distributed so high up, it does better at cooling.
Accordingly, we can continue to fight sulfur dioxide emissions on the ground while moving smaller amounts into the stratosphere to keep our planet cool.
That's what @ASong408's company does, and, man does it work.
To hammer in just how well it works, check out these calculations:
If you want to learn more, you can go check out Andrew's guest post on my blog. There's a lot more info there, so I thoroughly recommend you give it a read.
And if you're already sold and you want to start launching sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere to make the planet cooler, here's a link so you can do that too:
This study is being investigated since it includes results by convicted fraud Stephen Breuning.
Without his huge, fake estimates, the meta-analysis is riddled with publication bias. Correcting for it makes the meta-analytic estimate practically and statistically nonsignificant.
It is also just unserious to think that a meta-analysis including obvious rubbish should overturn much better established facts.
For example, one of the cited studies claimed to show IQ scores improving by 3.64 g (55 IQ points) when kids (n = 10) were offered a $5 cash prize.
You reveal a lot about yourself if you take nonsensical and unreplicable results seriously.
This meta-analysis never should have been published because of the included fraudulent work, the included garbage work, and the failure to consider psychometric bias explaining results.
People across the political aisle engage in conspiracy theorizing at markedly similar rates, just about different things.
Q: Does each side do this to the same extent?
A: Probably not! In the case above, to get the appearance of total symmetry, you have to include a lot of different conspiracies that are very Trump-related.
Q: What about general conspiracist intent and ideation?
A: That's plausibly higher on the right in the U.S., even after accounting for measurement non-invariance. It's not globally higher, but few correlates of politics are globally consistent. More on this soon.
The biggest news today should probably be about one of the Executive Orders from yesterday evening.
Trust me, it's big.
The President just authorized DOGE to start cutting regulations🧵
This order starts off huge.
Remember those recently-created DOGE Team Leads going into every agency? They're going to work with agency heads and the OMB to review all of the regulations across a number of huge categories.
The first category is those rules and regulations which violate the law of the land: unlawful and unconstitutional regulations, things that agencies enacted but which they shouldn't have been able to.
The biggest news of the day is not so much that @RobertKennedyJr was confirmed by the Senate, but what he's going to do next.
@realDonaldTrump just issued an Executive Order making it official:
America stands against chronic disease and closed science🧵
The first thing the EO does is outline the problem
It talks about how unhealthy America is, how unacceptable that is, and how we have a duty to change that
We do: Americans should not just be the richest people in the world, they should be the hottest, healthiest, and strongest
Now beyond outlining the problems America faces, the Order outlines some policy prerogatives that will be front-and-center during this new administration.
I want to preface something here: Regardless of what you think about the people involved, something here will make you happy
The biggest news of the day should once again be about DOGE.
A new Executive Order was passed a few minutes ago.
It empowers DOGE to spearhead the complete reorganization of the federal government🧵
The first part of this Order is simple:
The OMB will put out a plan to make the federal workforce smaller and more efficient, including a stipulation that agencies must remove four existing employees for each new hire, with some exceptions.
The second part is meatier.
New hires have to be approved by newly-installed DOGE Team Leads in each agency. These Team Leads will report what goes on in the agency they're assigned to on a monthly basis.