Crémieux Profile picture
May 25, 2024 15 tweets 5 min read Read on X
2024 is the hottest year on record, and it's been hotter than 2023 in part because of a global ban on shipping fuels containing sulfur dioxide.

Problem: SO2 causes acid rain, but it cools the globe. How can we just stay cool?

A new company might have found the solution.

🧵Image
Acid rain has been on the decline for many years, but in order to finally put the problem to rest, it'll be crucial to knock out sulfur dioxide emissions from shipping.

Globally, those emissions have been concentrated in these boxed-in regions where ships go to-and-fro. Image
When the International Maritime Organization 2020 regulation went into effect, roughly 80% of sulfur dioxide emissions from international shipping went away overnight. Image
If those sulfur emissions weren't stopped, sulfate aerosols would have acted to change the Earth's energy balance, cooling it down.

Think of this like sunscreen for the planet. Image
Because shipping-related emissions were spread out over so wide an area, their cooling effect was pretty sizable despite being only a fraction of global sulfur emissions. Image
The resulting rise in global temperatures when these went away inspired @ASong408 to think:

How can we keep the cooling while doing without the acid rain?

Watch this video.
What you just witnessed was a balloon containing sulfur dioxide.

You just witnessed a stratospheric aerosol injection, AKA, a controlled sulfur release in the stratosphere.

This part is critical: the stratosphere.Image
The reason the stratosphere is so critical is that, if you release sulfur dioxide up there, it distributes widely and makes minimal acid rain.

There's no weather that far up, so there's nothing to bring it back down right away!
Because there's nothing to bring the sulfur dioxide (+/as byproducts) back down from so far up, you can also consider this "sunscreen" extra long-lasting.

In other words, stratospherically-injected sulfur dioxide has a long "residence time."
The residence time isn't forever, it's a few years.

So in order to ensure the world doesn't face an acid rain problem, the release has to be done in controlled amounts.

Luckily, modest amounts meet our goals: they cool Earth, stabilize her climate, and produce minimal acid rain
The reason this works so well is that, when the sulfur is distributed so high up, it does better at cooling.

Accordingly, we can continue to fight sulfur dioxide emissions on the ground while moving smaller amounts into the stratosphere to keep our planet cool. Image
That's what @ASong408's company does, and, man does it work.

To hammer in just how well it works, check out these calculations:Image
If you want to learn more, you can go check out Andrew's guest post on my blog. There's a lot more info there, so I thoroughly recommend you give it a read.

Link: cremieux.xyz/p/from-polluti…
And if you're already sold and you want to start launching sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere to make the planet cooler, here's a link so you can do that too:



(One balloon = 38,636 trees worth of carbon offset.)makesunsets.com/products/join-…
Other sources:







(Note: I have no financial interest in this. I just want a cooler planet and I'm a true believer.) climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/…
reddit.com/r/environmenta…
carbonbrief.org/analysis-how-l…
Image

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More from @cremieuxrecueil

Jan 18
The end of affirmative action should have brought about major changes at American universities.

But did it?🧵

One piece of evidence it did is that the Black student share declined: Image
Another piece of evidence is that the Hispanic share declined: Image
And, consistent with Whites and Asians no longer trying to bilk the system, the multiracial share also dropped: Image
Read 10 tweets
Jan 17
It's well-known that a very small portion of the total criminal population is responsible for the overwhelming majority of all crime.

A new study shows that this is also true of prison misconduct:

Just 10% of prisoners are responsible for more than 70% of misconduct in prisons! Image
The above numbers were for males. Here are the numbers for female prisoners.

The numbers are eerily similar. Image
Misconduct overrepresentation holds adjusting for time served in prison, and being a high-misconduct prisoner is predicted by being younger, Black, having a more extensive criminal history, being a violent criminal, being in a state facility, using drugs, and mental disorders.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 16
I used to like this chart, but now I think it's too misleading and we should leave it behind in 2024.

🧵 Image
The key issue is how household size is adjusted for.

In the OP image, they divide by the square root of household size. This is problematic because it means Gen Z incomes are being inflated to the extent they live with their parents.
Generally, when I hear that the younger generations are more successful, what I think is that they're more successful in the stereotypical ways:

They've got relatively better jobs, relatively bigger homes, relatively faster cars and all that.

But the OP graph isn't that.
Read 8 tweets
Jan 16
I was reminded of this yesterday when looking into national IQ estimates.

The "pseudo-analysis" style of critique is to just spit out tons of possible problems, to nitpick, and then to assume that means a whole enterprise is rotten without even checking if the critique holds.Image
The people who engage in this style of critique (example below) don't care for scientific reasoning about these topics.

They want purity by their arbitrary and inconsistent standards, not correctness, not a 'best effort' to get make progress on finding answers. Image
So they misrepresent what people do and say; they attack strawmen; they claim people are wrong based on reasons that don't affect actually make them wrong, but they never check; they fail to understand the basics of the things they're contesting, but they act confident; etc.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 15
This post got 50,000 likes and it never even pointed out the actual issue with the calculations, it just took issue with framing and it expressed that Kareem is too inept to find sources.

But what's new?

Kareem debunking thread below Image
Kareem says this is a "textbook example of how to lie with statistics."

It really isn't, but let's see what he bases this on.

The first thing he says -- his "main criticism" -- is that the data isn't provided. But for Kareem, this is completely meaningless. Image
We know this is meaningless, because even when all the data is presented, Kareem still doesn't do anything with it, understand it, open it, manipulate it, or anything.

He says "where's the data?" and when he gets it, he just blocks you.

Example:
Read 18 tweets
Jan 14
'The patient always lies.'

A major problem with the healthcare system is that patients lie to their doctor.

Most patients will even privately admit that they lied when they were informing their doctors about their issues. Their reasons for doing this often aren't very good: Image
Patients want to avoid getting lectured, they don't want their doctor to call them fat or tell them their snacking habits are unhealthy. They're afraid the doctor will judge them or think they're stupid or immoral, and they don't want the doctor to tell their family.
But because people want to preserve their privacy even in the private setting of a doctor's office, they end up making doctors' jobs harder.

They make it harder to diagnose conditions and to prescribe the right drugs.
Read 5 tweets

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