COVID will cause pandemics of chronic disease. I think it will be a number of year before we really have a grasp of the scale of what our indifference has done. One of my questions is who will care for all of these people?
2- The MI Health Council started creating an annual report called the MI Healthcare Workforce Index in 2023. The 2024 report came out just over a week ago.
3- I've highlighted a couple of areas where there are shortages (higher scores = bigger shortages).
4- These two groups are particularly important for helping people with what are known as activities in daily living (ADLs). These are things like eating, bathing, and mobility.
5-5 Since we are already in a shortage, who is going to assist with ADLs both in people's homes as well as in skilled nursing facilities (nursing homes)? We are creating a high level of future demand by letting COVID go unabated, but the supply side is already strained today.
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I found what CDC is now releasing for COVID data. It's pretty bleak. The data comes from 98 counties in 13 states. They even made a surprising admission.
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Even someone with zero statistics training would realize that this is not a representative sample by any means and does not characterize meaningful trends, except perhaps in MD.
3- More info is available on the page describing their methodology. It looks to me that they are really just gathering clinical data and not bothering with population impacts.
1-4 They pulled the plug. It's official. The well has gone completely dry. These were the two main datasets I used for my state and metro graphs.
2- In my region, I saw that about 80% of the hospitals were still reporting data, so I was hoping I could at least provide that data along with the drop in facilities reporting, like I had done with suspected COVID admissions.
3- The timing of this is awful. We are seeing the FLiRT variants becoming dominant around the world, but are going in blindly. I also have suspicions that burying the data is a political move. I'm disgusted and disheartened.
"COVID-19 might confer a larger risk of dementia than influenza, and that (in the short term) the risk of severe neurological impairment as a sequela of SARS-CoV-2 is significant, driven by vascular and probably other complex (possibly amyloid-centric) processes."
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My biggest question is who will be around to care for those in the dementia pandemic to come as a result of mass disease? Be sure to open the doc in part 8 of this thread.
I unrolled this because it is so important. I've spoken on antibiotic resistance at conferences before. If we lose effective antibiotics, we enter what is known as the post-antibiotic era.
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Mostly this had been driven by improper prescribing by physicians, inadequate controls in less developed countries, use as growth promoters in agriculture, and adding them to consumer products.
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The post antibiotic era means that even a minor scrape or cut could easily drive hospitalization and death. In addition, elective surgery would become a thing of the past because of the high risk involved.
Since we have a G4 coronal mass ejection inbound, I thought I would share a very abbreviated narrative of an exercise I wrote and facilitated with different teams around the world. I'm leaving out the details of questions I probed them with around their responses.
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"NASA indicates that a solar super storm or geomagnetic storm was ejected from the sun this
morning and is traveling on a path that will directly intersect with Earth. This storm is currently rated
as a G5 or βExtremeβ storm on their Geomagnetic Storm Scale...
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...expectations are that it will reach the earthβs atmosphere within the next 24-72 hours. NOAA hopes that the storm will dissipate and be reduced to a G-4 or G-3 storm by the time it reaches the earthβs atmosphere...
I spent about 90 minutes on a virtual meeting about HPAI in agriculture. I had a couple of important takeaways.
2- First, it seems that there must be a receptor the virus has an affinity for in mammary tissue. That has me thinking about the impacts of vertical transmission. For example, in the goat incident in MN, only the baby goats got severely sick, not the older ones.
3- That makes me wonder about the implications on maintaining herd sizes in the long run, and thereby food production capacity as well.