Kriegsforscher Profile picture
May 26 13 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Yesterday we had a task near Vovchansk and I have a couple words to say about Russian tactics, artillery ammo, some politician bullshit from the USA and others.

A short thread🧵👇 Image
My guys and I left our base at 4:00 in the morning. At 5:00 we were in Vovchansk.

Firstly it was calm. Even bugs didn’t fly a lot and weren’t disturbing me.

We had a task to find/prepare a normal place for our future recon operations.
A couple of places we have found were quite bad and dangerous so we moved forward.

Apart from my gun and ammo I carried approximately 35 kg on me. Firstly it was not bad.
We walked approximately 5-6 kilometres and took a break. Checked a map where to go.

Due to the specific of our work, air recon, we need to consider hills for better connection with a drone. Image
Finally found a place. Need to say that there a lot of drones in the air (recon Mavic and FVP drones).

Constantly hiding in the bushes. Cause you never know whether it’s Ukrainian or not.
Found a nice place and started digging.

It took a us a couple of hours (that’s not a finished project).
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And now the most important thing: from 6:00 till 15:00 EVERY minute Russians were firing from 6 to 12 artillery shells. Every minute without stopping. U may count the approximate total amount.

And 5 guided bombs.
Our forces also fired back. Approximately 25-35 mortar shells, 10-20 artillery shells and 15-20 MRLS rockets.

That’s about artillery shelling advantage.
Thanks God they were not firing at us.

All their artillery placed in Russia. They are firing everywhere and burning everything: villages, Vovchansk, forest.

But we cannot fire back with US (and others) supplied artillery from a safe distance. Image
What I don’t really like about modern Russian tactics — it’s quite situational actions. I mean it’s very hard for them to deploy tanks and AFVs.

So they just use stormtroopers and sometimes they reach success.
Russian operational group «North» doesn’t have enough tanks and mechanised units to use them. Cause they will loose them very fast and it’s impossible (inside of a group) to replace them.

Apart from advancing they also need to defend the border line. Remember that.
Right in Vovchansk the 138 Russian brigade mostly employed. And some stormtroopers groups. That is not enough .

So in the nearest future they will deploy the 83 air assault brigade from Bachkmut direction.
Folks, right now we have an urgent need to fix two our cars.

The price is not very big (500$) but considering the fact that we fixed the previous time our cars on our own (from the salary) we would appreciate your support:

osint4ua@gmail.com

That’s our PP

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More from @OSINTua

May 19
My company and I are involved in the battle for Vovchansk, Kharkiv oblast.

When I one month ago have «predicted» that RUAF will attack in Kharkiv oblast I didn’t expect to take part in this. I was sure about Donetsk oblast😵‍💫

Well, that’s my third time here🧵 Image
May 2022, Kharkiv oblast.

May 2024, Kharkiv oblast.

Again & again.
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Frankly speaking, it’s very painful to watch this. People just had no time to evacuate in a proper way. They had a supper at their tables.

Very unpleasant feelings.

«Papa’s kitty house» it is written. Image
Read 7 tweets
May 12
Three potential goals of Russian advance:

1) making the AFU divide our small recourses (mostly from Donetsk oblast);

2) cutting logistics for Кupiansk direction (E40);

3) creating a buffer zone.

This is how I see it🧵 Image
Even if the only variant will be achieved — that’s a horrible situation.

And I am for sure that we will have to move our «reserves» to that area. It’s just impossible not to react.

And it means more success for their advance in Donetsk oblast.
So at least 1/3 tasks will be achieved. Because the RUAF haven’t used there main forces yet.

Destroying our «bridgehead» at Kharkiv direction is there goal since November 2022.

They tried to destroy it attacking our defence positions and didn’t manage to do it.
Read 7 tweets
May 4
Folks! My friend Andrii from the 58 brigade told me that Russians at his direction are constantly attacking their positions near Vuhledar.

The 5 tank brigade, 37 motorised brigade and 40 marine brigade are attacking and losing a lot of armed vehicles🧵👇 Image
4 BTR-82A and one BMP-1:


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Two MTLBs and three BMP-1:


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Read 11 tweets
Apr 25
The second part of this year will be the hardest since May 2022 I assume.

Russians are able to push at different directions (Donetsk oblast is a strategic goal for this year). And they do it.

I am sure that we will see new directions such as Northern Kharkiv👇
RUAF right now have enough forces to move them from, for example, Kreminna to Avdiivka without loosing the advancing potentional.

New CAA, new AC, new divisions. They are creating more and more forces. They will reach success this year.
The situation is worse than it used to be during the battle for Avdiivka. Much worse. They concentrate a lot of forces in one place to be able to breakthrough. We just don’t have enough brigades to manoeuvre and react.
Read 9 tweets
Apr 17
In the nearest future I will publish a short thread about the biggest Russian advance near Tonenke, Avdiivka area, where they used a tank battalion in charge.

But right now I would like to say a couple of words about FPV drones and the dillusional reality they have created.
First of all, a short remark: I am totally supportive of FPV drones. With both of my hands.

But U need understand some thing: that’s not a panacea. Not at all.
U see only successful hits on Twitter or TG channels and they create a wrong point of thinking.

Unfortunately, we use so much FPV drones because of lack of ammo for mortars, ATGMs, artillery and even antitank mines.
Read 10 tweets
Mar 31
Avdiivka city destroyed and occupied by Russians. But personally for me it’s more than just a one more city.

My brigade and I defended it since October 2022 till March 2023.

And back then Russians tried to capture the city on regular bases.

Let’s take a look how it was👇🧵


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Destroyed MTLB. October 2022.
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Destroyed BMP-1s.


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Read 20 tweets

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