In today’s #vatniksoup, I’ll discuss social media superspreaders. Due to their effectiveness, superspreader accounts are often used to spread "low credibility" content, disinformation and propaganda, and today this is more often done by hostile state actors such as Russia.
1/14
DeVerna et al. (2024) described superspreaders as "users who consistently disseminate a disproportionately large amount of low-credibility content," also known as bullshit. It’s worth noting, that some of these people may actually believe the lies they spread.
2/14
The numbers behind these accounts are astonishing – a study by Grinberg et al. (2019) found out that 0,1% of Twitter accounts were responsible for sharing approximately 80% of the mis/disinformation related to the 2016 US presidential election.
3/14
The same applies to COVID-19 related disinformation, as only 12 accounts the researchers referred to as the "dirty dozen", produced 65% of the anti-vaccine content on Twitter. The most famous of this group is the presidential candidate RFK Jr.:
These accounts are naturally amplified by often state-sponsored troll and bot farms. Inorganic amplifying can make the content seem more attractive to regular people through massive amount of likes and shares, a technique that’s based on basic behavioral sciences.
5/14
When it comes to geopolitics and especially the situation in Ukraine, we can easily name a few of the most prominent superspreader accounts who have no interest in the truth: Jackson Hinkle, Kim Dotcom, Ian Miles Cheong, Alex Jones, Tucker Carlson and Russell Brand.
6/14
Another good way to spot superspreaders is to check the "Community Notes leaderboard" website, where Jackson Hinkle holds the position number 4, Cheong is at 7th position, and Elon Musk himself can be found at spot #39.
7/14
Naturally, the platform’s owner also often comments and shares content from these people & even engages in conversations with them on Spaces, because apparently he wants to be surrounded by conspiratorial "Yes Men",instead of doing tough interviews with people like Don Lemon.8/14
Most superspreader accounts have very little interest in the truth, as the nature of social media encourages you to go for maximum engagement (likes, shares, comments). On X, this even affects your ad share revenue, basically allowing people to earn money through lies.
9/14
There are many examples of pro-Kremlin narratives being spread by these accounts. One of them is the lie that Zelenskyy "bought a mansion from King Charles". The news came from a AI-generated fake news blog, and was spread by large accounts like Liz Churchill’s.
10/14
Another fake story about the "US-funded Ukrainian bioweapons labs" that even made it to the mainstream was started by QAnon follower Jacob Creech AKA @WarClandestine, who later on bragged about making money from the ad share revenue system of X.
11/14
Most of the content promoted and made up by these large accounts draw inspiration from various conspiracy theories like QAnon, PizzaGate, or The Great Reset. They often also share photos in wrong context, for example photos from Syria are told to be from Gaza.
12/14
As I’ve stated many times before, there are no downsides to rage farming and spreading lies online, and after Elon took over it has actually become a viable monetization strategy that can make you relatively rich.
13/14
Hostile state actors have also figured out the potential of using superspreaders to amplify their false narratives. For example, Russia's embassy accounts often tag people like Jackson Hinkle in their posts, hoping they'd share the content to their large following.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I talk about populism. Populism includes a range of political stances with the focus on the idea of the “common people” in opposition to the “elites”. In recent decades, populism has been on the rise around the world,and especially in the US & Europe.
1/25
At its core, populism pits “the people” against “the elites.” It’s a political approach that claims to represent the common folk, often oversimplifying complex issues and tapping into frustrations. Populism can be left-wing, right-wing, or somewhere in between.
2/25
In the US and Canada during the 19th and early 20th century, populist sentiments often came from the small independent farmers, “the people”, who were opposing the bankers and politicians, or “the elites”. The People’s Party in the US was considered…
In today’s vatnik soup, I’ll discuss how Estonia, Latvia & Lithuania cut the cord on Russian energy, further reducing their reliance on the Kremlin.
At the same time, the Baltics set an example for EU countries like Slovakia & Hungary whose leadership still worships Putin.
1/24
Moscow has long used its vast natural gas reserves as a geopolitical weapon, manipulating energy supplies to keep neighbors obedient. They’ve used the “energy weapon” several times, with the most blatant cases of Kremlin blackmail coming of course from Ukraine.
2/24
Let’s rewind back to the 1990s: The USSR dissolved, but Russia inherited the gas reserves, pipelines, and Gazprom — its political weapon. Meanwhile, the Baltic states were politically free but economically tied to Russia, heavily reliant on Russian gas.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce an Estonian politician, Jana Toom (@JanaToomEE). She’s best-known for promoting pro-Kremlin viewpoints both in domestic Estonian politics and in the European Parliament.
1/22
Toom’s mother, Margarita Chernogorova, studied law in Leningrad & worked for the Communist Party. She was also a confidant to the most notorious leader of the Estonian Soviet Socialist Republic, Karl Vaino. One of Chernogorova’s tasks was to suppress the Singing Revolution.
2/22
During the early 90s Toom lived with her husband in Snezhinsk, Russia and returned to Estonia in 1994. Soon after, she joined the editorial board of Molodyož Estonii, a paper known for being a mouthpiece for the Leninist Communist Youth League during the Soviet era.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll discuss the Kremlin’s toolbox at sea. Recently, we have seen several sabotage operations allegedly conducted by Russia & its allies, especially in the Baltic Sea region. Since 2023, there have been several underwater cables cut by ships’ anchors.
1/18
Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine,the Baltic Sea has become a hotspot for NATO-Russia rivalry. This rivalry ramped up in Sep 2022,when the Nord Stream gas pipelines were sabotaged by an unknown perpetrator (some blame a “pro-Ukraine group”, others, the Russians).
2/18
These sabotage operations in the Baltic Sea now target critical infrastructure like Internet and energy cables, links that are vital for European communication and trade. Russia and its allies allegedly use these acts to test NATO’s resilience and response.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll discuss the absolute state of X in January 2025. Since its acquisition by Elon Musk, this platform has rapidly transformed into his personal political tool and a breeding ground for hate speech and disinformation.
1/22
Not everyone is following this shitshow as closely as I am, so I thought it would be good to write a summary of all the changes that have happened on this forum and outside of it. These changes have drastically changed how the platform operates and who gets “a voice” here.
2/22
Elon’s team has been tweaking the algorithm many times after the takeover. One of these tweaks happened already around Nov 2022, when the platform heavily suppressed the visibility of pro-Ukraine accounts. This change was then noticed & reported by many pro-Ukraine accounts.
3/22