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Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
@TheStudyofWar
May 30 • 7 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
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Russian forces recently advanced north and northeast of Kharkiv City, near Kreminna, Chasiv Yar, and Avdiivka. 🧵(1/7)



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2/ Geolocated footage published on May 29 indicates that Russian forces recently marginally advanced within southeastern Hlyboke (north of Lyptsi and Kharkiv City).
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3/ The commander of a Ukrainian battalion operating in the Kharkiv direction stated that Russian forces are accumulating personnel near Hlyboke using light vehicles such as motorcycles and ATVs to bring infantry close to the frontline.
4/ Russian forces recently advanced northeast of Kharkiv City near Vovchansk as Russian forces continued assaults in the area on May 29. Geolocated footage published on May 29 indicates that Russian forces advanced within northeastern Starystya (SW of Vovchansk). Image
5/ Russian forces recently advanced near Kreminna amid continued Russian offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kremina line on May 29. Geolocated footage published on May 29 indicates that Russian forces recently advanced east of Torske (west of Kreminna).
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6/ Russian forces recently made marginal advances east and southeast of Chasiv Yar. Geolocated footage published on May 29 shows that Russian forces have advanced south of Ivanivske (southeast of Chasiv Yar) and within the Kanal Microraion in eastern Chasiv Yar.[
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7/ Russian forces recently advanced northwest of Avdiivka. Geolocated footage published on May 29 shows that a Russian mechanized squad advanced to a windbreak just southeast of Novopokrovske (northwest of Avdiivka). isw.pub/UkrWar052924

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Jun 1
More Key Takeaways from the May 31, 2024 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment (🧵1/7):

Ukraine signed long-term bilateral security agreements with Sweden, Iceland, and Norway on May 31.
2/ Ukrainian forces conducted a series of drone and missile strikes against a Russian long-range radar system in occupied Crimea and an oil depot in Krasnodar Krai on May 31 following the May 30 Ukrainian strike against the Kerch Strait ferry crossing.
3/ Although Russian forces made significant tactical gains in northern Kharkiv Oblast in early May 2024, Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov heavily overestimated Russian advances in Ukraine since the start of 2024.
Read 7 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
May 31
NEW: US and German officials confirmed that the United States and Germany have changed their policies to allow Ukraine to use their provided weapons to strike Russian territory with some restrictions but did not offer precise details. (🧵1/7)Image
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2/ Western media reported that the Biden administration gave Ukraine permission to use US-provided weapons, including GMLRS rockets, for "counter-fire purposes" against the Russian forces conducting assaults in northern Kharkiv Oblast but has not changed its policy restricting Ukraine from using US-provided weapons to conduct long-range strikes elsewhere into Russia
3/ It is unclear if the United States will allow Ukraine to strike Russian forces that are massing across the border but have not yet attacked into Ukrainian territory.
Read 7 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
May 31
Russian President Vladimir Putin continued efforts to address Russia’s ongoing demographic crisis as part of the “Year of the Family” 2024 domestic policy initiative.

More Key Takeaways 🧵(1/6)
2/ French officials reportedly may soon announce that France is sending military trainers to Ukraine.

Western countries continue efforts to increase artillery production and procurement for Ukraine.
3/ NATO member states reportedly lack sufficient air defense capabilities to protect members of the Alliance in Central and Eastern Europe in the event of a full-scale attack.
Read 6 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
May 31
Senior Ukrainian military officials reported that Russian forces are transferring forces to northern Kharkiv Oblast from other sectors of the frontline, indicating that the Russian military continues to prioritize efforts to draw and fix Ukrainian forces in northern Kharkiv. (1/5)Image
2/ The Russian military's transfer of reinforcements to Kharkiv indicates that the Russian military likely continues to prioritize efforts to draw and fix Ukrainian forces from critical sectors of the frontline in eastern Ukraine and establish a "buffer zone" in northern Kharkiv.
3/ Russian forces likely intend to launch the second phase of their offensive operation in northern Kharkiv Oblast following their intended seizure of Vovchansk, although positional fighting and possible Ukrainian counterattacks could require Russian forces to conduct another wave of intensified assaults in the area to complete the seizure of the settlement.
Read 5 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
May 31
NEW: US President Joe Biden reportedly approved a policy change that will permit Ukraine to use US-provided weapons, including GMLRS rockets — but not longer-range ATACMS missiles — to strike within Russian territory near the border with Kharkiv Oblast.
🧵(1/6)Image
2/ It is unclear how far into Belgorod Oblast the US is permitting Ukrainian forces to strike with US-provided weapons, or if Ukraine would be allowed to strike Russian force and equipment concentrations in Kursk and Bryansk oblasts.
3/ Russian military targets outside the immediate border area with Kharkiv Obl. are also legitimate military targets, however, & continued restrictions on Ukraine's ability to strike targets elsewhere in Russia hinder Ukraine's ability to defend itself against Russian aggression.
Read 6 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
May 30
NEW: Advisor to the Head of the Ukrainian President's Office Mykhaylo Podolyak stated that US-provided military aid has started arriving on the frontline but that it will take "weeks" for the gradual increase in US-provided military aid to reach "critical volumes." (1/3)Image
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2/ Western officials are increasingly suggesting that they support Ukraine's right to use Western-provided weapons to strike military targets in Russia. Image
3/ Other Western countries have recently noted that they do not impose restrictions on Ukraine's ability to use weapons they have provided to strike military targets in Russia.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 29, 2024: isw.pub/UkrWar052924
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Read 7 tweets

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