Ian Ellis Profile picture
May 31 8 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Admiral Paparo’s reaction after going back & forth with the longest-serving Chinese Ambassador to the U.S. at #SLD24 🧵

“You’re speaking as if all the panelists here want to fight. We are the life insurance policy against fighting. We have children in uniform. And that is the very last thing that we do.

Deterrence is our first duty. The assumption somehow that all of us want to fight, & you are the lone human being on this panel that wants peace — if that is the point you're making, my dear friend, that is not the case.”

Thread with a few clips & quotes:
Admiral Paparo, Commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, was part of a panel with Cui Tiankai, who was the longest-serving Chinese Ambassador to the U.S., at the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore.

“We’re sitting on a panel called deterrence & reassurance. And the very first statement that we made was that deterrence is our first duty... we want peace every bit as much as you do.”
Paparo was responding to this commentary from Tiankai, who said “having two major military blocks confronting each other, with very high risk of real war or even nuclear wars — is that a right approach?”
“I certainly understand you. I'm not questioning your personal intention or your willingness, your devotion to peace. I have no question about that. But I remember Dr. Henry Kissinger told me time and again that the First World War started without anybody planning for it.

So we have to warn against that. Despite all the good intentions — things could still go wrong.”
“Dr. Kissinger told me two months before he died: I approve of what you're doing. And I think you should be as strong as you possibly can until such time as you have the ability to have a more constructive bilateral relationship.”
Last year at Shangri-la, China’s Minister of National Defense Li Shangfu shook hands with U.S. Secretary of Defense Austin in a “surprise exchange,” but refused direct talks. A month or two later, Li disappeared from the public eye, & formally stripped of his titles in October. Image
During the panel discussion, Paparo referenced the Pacific Century:
On day two of #SLD24, the U.S. Secretary of Defense responded to a question from a Chinese PLA Colonel in the audience (and got a round of applause):

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More from @ianellisjones

Jun 1
Another revealing exchange between U.S. & Chinese defense officials at #SLD24

U.S. SECDEF Lloyd Austin received a round of applause after responding to a PLA Colonel, who said NATO expansion led to the war in Ukraine.

“I respectfully disagree with your point that the expansion of NATO caused the Ukraine crisis... 👏

The Ukraine crisis obviously was caused because Mr. Putin made a decision to unlawfully invade his neighbor.”

Thread with clips & quotes:
On day one, Admiral Paparo also pushed back on statements made by the former Chinese ambassador to the U.S. (that ended with smiles & a handshake)
U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin fielded a question from PLA Colonel Cao Yanzhong, who said “the eastward expansion of NATO has led to the Ukraine crisis,” and asked, “is the U.S. planning to build a NATO-like alliance system in the Asia-Pacific region?”
Read 7 tweets
May 31
Major rotation of U.S. aircraft carriers over the next few months:

- USS Ronald Reagan (CVN 76) departed Japan for the final time & on patrol in the Western Pacific
- USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN 71) carrier strike group (CSG) left Singapore & now operating in the South China Sea
- The Dwight D. Eisenhower (CVN 69) CSG is underway in the Red Sea, & will eventually be relieved by USS Harry S. Truman (CVN 75)
- USS George Washington (CVN 73) arrived in Argentina & will circumnavigate South America to link up with Reagan in CA before heading to the Indo-Pacific
- USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72) is underway conducting exercises off the West Coast in preparation for an upcoming Pacific deployment
- USS Carl Vinson (CVN 70) was in Los Angeles for Fleet Week, & will participate in the RIMPAC exercises held near Hawaii from 26 June to 2 AugustImage
Thread with more info on scheduled deployments & rotations:
More detail on U.S. Navy CSGs & ARGs:
Read 6 tweets
May 30
China’s recent military exercises surrounding Taiwan “looked like a rehearsal” for an invasion, Admiral Samuel Paparo, Commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, told Nikkei on Wednesday.

“We watched it. We took note. We learned from it. And they helped us prepare for the future.”
“The U.S. government charges me with being ready today, tomorrow, next month and next year, in accordance with the Taiwan Relations Act.”
“The lessons of the last five years have shown that we’re living in an increasingly chaotic and disordered world.”
Read 6 tweets
May 28
🚨 Japan intercepts Chinese WL-10 recon/attack/EW drone for the first time

On 27 May, Japanese fighters monitored the UAV over the East China Sea. Flight path indicates ISR along the Okinawa prefecture & southwest islands, home to PAC-3 missile systems, & toward Kadena Air Base. Image
On 27 May, the Japan Air Self-Defense Force (JASDF) intercepted a Chinese PLA WingLoong 10 UAV over the East China Sea. This was the first time the type (referred to as WL-10 by the Japanese MOD, but designated WZ-10 by the PLA) was monitored by Japanese fighters.
Read 6 tweets
May 27
China’s latest round of military exercises encircling Taiwan was significant

- Largest fleet of PLA Navy & Coast Guard integrate & practice a blockade
- Further normalization & targeted pressure on frontline islands
- Highly publicized & propagandized

Wrapping up my coverage 🧵 Image
If you enjoyed my coverage & would like to support my work — your email goes a long way. Will be launching before the end of the month: Image
Joint Sword 2024A kicked off on 23 May:
Read 7 tweets
May 24
🚨 JOINT SWORD DAY 1 BRIEF

- China launched a simulated blockade around Taiwan
- 49 PLA aircraft detected & 35 entered its ADIZ, the largest violation of 2024
- Encircled by 19 PLAN warships & 16 Coast Guard vessels
- Taiwan deployed HF-3 missiles

Everything you need to know: Image
Yesterday, China launched exercise Joint Sword 2024A, encircling Taiwan in what it called a "strong punishment" following the inauguration of President Lai Ching-te.

Thread tracking breaking news:
Taiwan’s defense ministry detected 49 Chinese PLA aircraft & 35 entered its air defense zone — the largest violation of 2024.
Read 8 tweets

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