Admiral Paparo’s reaction after going back & forth with the longest-serving Chinese Ambassador to the U.S. at #SLD24 🧵
“You’re speaking as if all the panelists here want to fight. We are the life insurance policy against fighting. We have children in uniform. And that is the very last thing that we do.
Deterrence is our first duty. The assumption somehow that all of us want to fight, & you are the lone human being on this panel that wants peace — if that is the point you're making, my dear friend, that is not the case.”
Thread with a few clips & quotes:
Admiral Paparo, Commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, was part of a panel with Cui Tiankai, who was the longest-serving Chinese Ambassador to the U.S., at the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore.
“We’re sitting on a panel called deterrence & reassurance. And the very first statement that we made was that deterrence is our first duty... we want peace every bit as much as you do.”
Paparo was responding to this commentary from Tiankai, who said “having two major military blocks confronting each other, with very high risk of real war or even nuclear wars — is that a right approach?”
“I certainly understand you. I'm not questioning your personal intention or your willingness, your devotion to peace. I have no question about that. But I remember Dr. Henry Kissinger told me time and again that the First World War started without anybody planning for it.
So we have to warn against that. Despite all the good intentions — things could still go wrong.”
“Dr. Kissinger told me two months before he died: I approve of what you're doing. And I think you should be as strong as you possibly can until such time as you have the ability to have a more constructive bilateral relationship.”
Last year at Shangri-la, China’s Minister of National Defense Li Shangfu shook hands with U.S. Secretary of Defense Austin in a “surprise exchange,” but refused direct talks. A month or two later, Li disappeared from the public eye, & formally stripped of his titles in October.
During the panel discussion, Paparo referenced the Pacific Century:
U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin fielded a question from PLA Colonel Cao Yanzhong, who said “the eastward expansion of NATO has led to the Ukraine crisis,” and asked, “is the U.S. planning to build a NATO-like alliance system in the Asia-Pacific region?”
Major rotation of U.S. aircraft carriers over the next few months:
- USS Ronald Reagan (CVN 76) departed Japan for the final time & on patrol in the Western Pacific
- USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN 71) carrier strike group (CSG) left Singapore & now operating in the South China Sea
- The Dwight D. Eisenhower (CVN 69) CSG is underway in the Red Sea, & will eventually be relieved by USS Harry S. Truman (CVN 75)
- USS George Washington (CVN 73) arrived in Argentina & will circumnavigate South America to link up with Reagan in CA before heading to the Indo-Pacific
- USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72) is underway conducting exercises off the West Coast in preparation for an upcoming Pacific deployment
- USS Carl Vinson (CVN 70) was in Los Angeles for Fleet Week, & will participate in the RIMPAC exercises held near Hawaii from 26 June to 2 August
Thread with more info on scheduled deployments & rotations:
China’s recent military exercises surrounding Taiwan “looked like a rehearsal” for an invasion, Admiral Samuel Paparo, Commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, told Nikkei on Wednesday.
“We watched it. We took note. We learned from it. And they helped us prepare for the future.”
🚨 Japan intercepts Chinese WL-10 recon/attack/EW drone for the first time
On 27 May, Japanese fighters monitored the UAV over the East China Sea. Flight path indicates ISR along the Okinawa prefecture & southwest islands, home to PAC-3 missile systems, & toward Kadena Air Base.
On 27 May, the Japan Air Self-Defense Force (JASDF) intercepted a Chinese PLA WingLoong 10 UAV over the East China Sea. This was the first time the type (referred to as WL-10 by the Japanese MOD, but designated WZ-10 by the PLA) was monitored by Japanese fighters.
China’s latest round of military exercises encircling Taiwan was significant
- Largest fleet of PLA Navy & Coast Guard integrate & practice a blockade
- Further normalization & targeted pressure on frontline islands
- Highly publicized & propagandized
Wrapping up my coverage 🧵
If you enjoyed my coverage & would like to support my work — your email goes a long way. Will be launching before the end of the month:
- China launched a simulated blockade around Taiwan
- 49 PLA aircraft detected & 35 entered its ADIZ, the largest violation of 2024
- Encircled by 19 PLAN warships & 16 Coast Guard vessels
- Taiwan deployed HF-3 missiles
Everything you need to know:
Yesterday, China launched exercise Joint Sword 2024A, encircling Taiwan in what it called a "strong punishment" following the inauguration of President Lai Ching-te.