1/ Israel makes a lot of noise. Make no mistake; Israel also sheds lot of blood and destroys a lot of space, but it makes a lot of noise as it does so. Noise has been a Netanyahu trademark since he was a young up-and-comer. Noise isn't necessarily self-praise. Just noise. --->
2/ This helps to blur lines and disguise faults and failures. There are always so many distractions when attempting to consider Israeli policy and actions! Puppet politicians contributing inane opinions, conflicting military accounts, general whining... a lot of noise. --->
3/ But sometimes, if you have patience, the noise fades and you are left with unimpeachable truth, a clear reflection of mindset and follow-through measures. When this happens, it is worth a reflection even as the usual onslaught of
noise continues unabated. --->
4/ IDF debriefings about the Rafah tent massacre are being released. According to these debriefings Israeli intelligence efforts focused exclusively on the tin shack that housed the two "senior Hamas commanders". (Reminder- they had last engaged in terrorism 20 years ago.) --->
5/ This shack was part of a dense compound of similar shacks surrounded by fabric tents. No thought, according to the IDF, had been given to the presence of civilians in adjoining shacks. No thought had been given to the flammable material of which the tents were made. --->
6/ The number of bombs dropped on the compound is debatable, but it ranged from six to ten. The IDF claimed they were 17 kg bombs. That was just the weight of the explosives. The bombs weighed more than 110 kg each. Their blast radius was 600 meters. They were hugely lethal. --->
7/ The truth that emerges from these debriefings (remember, official IDF) does not indicate a conscious plan to kill as many Palestinians as possible. I believe the IDF when it says "no thought was given". There were goals and benchmarks. There was no room for context. --->
8/ That is the horrible truth. Israel's genocidal campaign in Gaza has come to be through no thought being given. Gazans and Palestinians are not objects of Israeli thought. They are not worthy. Genocide requires meticulous planning of actual destruction. This is different. --->
9/ The decades of dehumanization were meticulous. The eradication of Palestinian presence from Israeli space was meticulous. The oppression and the occupation were not, I think, means for physical annihilation. They successfully shaped Israeli minds devoid of Palestinians. --->
10/ When it was time for "war", when the dogs could be let loose, there was no need for "thought". In fact, no thought needed to be given. The outcome was irrelevant as long as Israeli benchmarks were made. The Palestinians were not actually there, after all. --->
11/ The genocide is a product of "no thought was given". It isn't the other way around. Israel had become a master of dehumanization, negating its Palestinian subjects (and citizens). The IDF isn't lying when it says "no thought was given". That is the motto of the genocide.
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1/ Another reason for my cautious optimism regarding a Gaza deal is the Israeli military's new-found passion for starting a war with Lebanon. The Israeli press today was full of reports about exercises held by IDF HQ and IDF Northern command. War is, apparently, inevitable. --->
2/ What is the connection to Gaza? The IDF is giving up on Gaza. As far as its senior leadership is concerned, they are both progressing as planned (they promised "years") and very much aware of the mendacity behind any claim of "victory". They know they have failed. --->
3/ They know something else. Israel's political leadership will happily treat the IDF as the donkey in a grand game of "pin the tail". The IDF can score no points in Gaza any longer. Its senior commanders will be blamed by the politicians for October 7th. No wins anywhere. --->
1/ Things are starting to get interesting. Netanyahu needs to make a choice. He can side with his religious right supporters. They will follow him fervently as long as he toes the line. They will drop him instantly if he appears to stray even the tiniest bit. --->
2/ He can also bet on the less fervent Israelis, those who have been demonstrating against him for months. Why bet on them? Because he knows they may dislike him personally but many of them agree with his policies. He sees his poll numbers rising. --->
3/ Why would anyone vote for a clone like Gantz, who differs only slightly (if at all) from Netanyahu, when you can vote for the original? And if the original manages to make a hostage deal, a real triumph may be in the making. Israelis will demonstrate this evening. --->
1/ No one seems to have fully endorsed or even to have taken full responsibility for the plan presented by Biden. He suggested it was an "Israeli plan". Netanyahu was quick to to reiterate that Israel would not end the war. Hamas welcomed the plan ifnit would end the war. --->
2/ This sorry state of affairs has generated much anger. Why was nothing being done, clearly and in forthright fashion? Why wasn't Biden simply stopping this with a single phone call, like Reagan in 1982? The actions of Israel and the United States are indefensible. --->
3/ Still, I think they reflect the ills of the system in place more than they indicate an abuse of this system. The international order is skewed. Israel represents the epitome of this order. This isn't about the inherent evil of Jews. It is about the tenacity of injustice. --->
1/ Returning to Israel after eight days of travel, tired and heartbroken. I am reading Israeli responses to the Rafah massacres and studying official Israel's plans and predictions (worth mentioning: Israel is looking for "alternative local leadership" as it destroys Gaza). --->
2/ The imperviousness of the Israeli public cuts me to the quick. Support for the war remains a consensus. Soldiers have begun to die again. 100000 Israeli are still displaced. The economy is in tatters. Netanyahu is beginning to gain in most polls. A cosmic vicious circle. --->
3/ Israel's genocide is grim and glum. Many Israelis will tell you that those celebrating are "messianic", and that once the "war" is over we will get our priorities in order and stop funding and protecting settlements in the West Bank. That was our mistake, you see. --->
1/ Israel is stepping up its warmongering in Lebanon. One can only suppose that this is m response to Israel's awareness that its Palestinian chickens have come home to roost. In true hitman style, defense minister Galant presented photos of dead Hizballh commanders. --->
2/ It is always "personal" with Israel. just as the massacares in Rafah were justified by "killing terrorists", so is "Nasrallah dragging Lebanon into a harsh reality", said Galant. The eyes on Rafah must also turn to Lebanon. Rumors are beginning to circulate in Israel. --->
3/ The "inevitable" war will take place in September. Why is it inevitable? Because you can't really negotiate with Hizballah, right? They will always want to "destroy" us in the end. You also can't restore the faith of Israelis in their military by deploying more troops. --->
1/ The decision made by Norway, Spain and Ireland to recognize Palestine will not stop Israel's genocidal campaign im Gaza. It will, however, make life much more difficult for Israel by exposing just how flimsy and structurally incoherent Israel's house of cards really is. --->
2/ Genocide is undersrood to be an expression of strength, a display of might so great it can simply defy the international order's most accepted moral principle. Israel's genocide is not a demonstration of strength but of a debilitating weakness. Israel is out of tricks. --->
3/ With embassies to be established in Ramallah, Israel will no longer have complete freedom to "tolerate" settler violence, for example. IDF soldiers are quick to arrest left-wing activists and Palestinians when they tangle with settlers. Not an option with diplomats. --->