2-4 Here's the data for the US. 2022-2024 is still provisional data. Note the big drop in cases in 2020 (green) which is definitely attributable to respiratory protection and social distancing. A lower number also contributed to keeping cases low in subsequent years.
3-4 Pay particular attention to 2024 (red). We have almost as many cases as last year already, and summer and fall are when we tend to see the most cases.
4-4 Be sure to get vaccinated, especially if you are going to be around infants and young children, especially if you are pregnant. If an infected infant requires hospitalization, 1 out of 5 will get pneumonia (lung infection) and 1 out of 100 will die.
COVID will cause pandemics of chronic disease. I think it will be a number of year before we really have a grasp of the scale of what our indifference has done. One of my questions is who will care for all of these people?
2- The MI Health Council started creating an annual report called the MI Healthcare Workforce Index in 2023. The 2024 report came out just over a week ago.
I found what CDC is now releasing for COVID data. It's pretty bleak. The data comes from 98 counties in 13 states. They even made a surprising admission.
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Even someone with zero statistics training would realize that this is not a representative sample by any means and does not characterize meaningful trends, except perhaps in MD.
3- More info is available on the page describing their methodology. It looks to me that they are really just gathering clinical data and not bothering with population impacts.
1-4 They pulled the plug. It's official. The well has gone completely dry. These were the two main datasets I used for my state and metro graphs.
2- In my region, I saw that about 80% of the hospitals were still reporting data, so I was hoping I could at least provide that data along with the drop in facilities reporting, like I had done with suspected COVID admissions.
3- The timing of this is awful. We are seeing the FLiRT variants becoming dominant around the world, but are going in blindly. I also have suspicions that burying the data is a political move. I'm disgusted and disheartened.
"COVID-19 might confer a larger risk of dementia than influenza, and that (in the short term) the risk of severe neurological impairment as a sequela of SARS-CoV-2 is significant, driven by vascular and probably other complex (possibly amyloid-centric) processes."
3-3
My biggest question is who will be around to care for those in the dementia pandemic to come as a result of mass disease? Be sure to open the doc in part 8 of this thread.
I unrolled this because it is so important. I've spoken on antibiotic resistance at conferences before. If we lose effective antibiotics, we enter what is known as the post-antibiotic era.
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Mostly this had been driven by improper prescribing by physicians, inadequate controls in less developed countries, use as growth promoters in agriculture, and adding them to consumer products.
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The post antibiotic era means that even a minor scrape or cut could easily drive hospitalization and death. In addition, elective surgery would become a thing of the past because of the high risk involved.
Since we have a G4 coronal mass ejection inbound, I thought I would share a very abbreviated narrative of an exercise I wrote and facilitated with different teams around the world. I'm leaving out the details of questions I probed them with around their responses.
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"NASA indicates that a solar super storm or geomagnetic storm was ejected from the sun this
morning and is traveling on a path that will directly intersect with Earth. This storm is currently rated
as a G5 or ‘Extreme’ storm on their Geomagnetic Storm Scale...
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...expectations are that it will reach the earth’s atmosphere within the next 24-72 hours. NOAA hopes that the storm will dissipate and be reduced to a G-4 or G-3 storm by the time it reaches the earth’s atmosphere...