eigenrobot Profile picture
Jun 6 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
while it would be very sad if the jewish people of israel were driven from their land i would view the aftermath in the region with a certain kind of amusement as aid dollars cratered and the palestinians quickly realize they have no ability whatsoever to run a normal society
within ten years as they starved and bled and died at their own hands they might even come to look back fondly on their time in an "open air prison" when they could blame other people for the problems that, fundamentally, had always been their own
three quarters of a century since they lost a stupid war and they've wasted every moment of it Image
thats not what im saying at all

in fact, as events have demonstrated not even the jews can fix them
i dont think its a racial issue; it seems probably mostly cultural to me

it is, also, what i believe is most likely the case

do you think the gazans are in any way likely, if they suddenly came into possession of the whole of israel, to flourish
theyve had control of gaza for nearly two decades and all theyve done with it is leech aid from developed countries and cannibalize their existing infrastructure while firing shitty rockets at a neighbor that could wipe them from existence in an instant
regardless of the cause i believe this to be true

while some are quote tweeting me angrily and accusing me of wicked thoughts no one has provided any evidence of palestinian competence in any civilized avocation

if they ever catch the car theyve been chasing theyre screwed. fin

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More from @eigenrobot

Jun 7
i would take the opposite side of this bet

of course we will never be able to directly test it, but if you had a dataset of former colonial nations you might be able to get at it directionally

here's how
we don't get to see these counterfactuals, but we can look at things like

- first order relationship of post-colonial governance capacity with duration of vassalage

- pre/post colonial comparison of governance within societies, and the relationship of that change with duration
- trajectory of governance capacity post-vassalage full stop

- trajectory of governance capacity post-vassalage as a function of the duration of colonization

there are more esoteric things one could probably do but this is a good start

yes selection issues etc etc
Read 5 tweets
Jun 6
there's an acemoglu paper studying the impact of the ADA on employment rates of disabled people

the empirics arent that interesting but during the setup he points out with a toy model that it's not obvious what direction the net effect ought to be
the issue is that tho on the margin it makes discrimination against disabled people more costly by creating a liability for such discrimination, it also makes employing them more costly for the same reason

eg if such a hire underperforms, firing them might not be worth the risk
if you're a public figure and you find yourself fired, i can imagine it might be tempting to use the occasion to lash out at your erstwhile employer

this is a terrible idea if you ever want to work again, partly because it signals to potential employers that you are a liability
Read 5 tweets
Jun 2
it took me more time than i care to admit to understand which character was intended to be the protagonist in this comic
i personally believe its inappropriate to publicly identify as "attracted to people who are not your extant spouse"
Read 10 tweets
May 28
if you have an authority above you, you're not sovereign, you're a vassal at best

i don't think this is controversial?

all international law that matters afaik is the result of treaties that are implemented in the legal codes of local sovereigns so idk what this dudes deal is
"i love international law" thats crazy man you know who else loved international law Image
Read 9 tweets
May 28
i'm actually kind of astonished people are still pushing this, it feels antiquated and pointless

is this a nervous tic? somehow supported by constituents as a hopeless crusade?

actually--i'm very curious about this--what do dems and leftists even care about as issues rn?
yeah guys i know outgroup bad i was actually curious if anyone had issue importance numbers ready at hand but i can dig them up too
gallup, aggregate

much to ponder


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Read 4 tweets
May 27
it is unfortunately probable that AI will cage a large portion of the world in a kind of totalitarian serfdom the likes of which has never been seen and far beyond the darkest nightmares of orwell
consider maoist china or the soviet union under lenin

of course they would have _liked_ to have a commissar in every home, but that is insanely expensive, and good commissars are hard to come by in any case

AI solves this
these countries of course were already totalitarian and so the only limit was the availability of technology to implement such an outcome

what of more liberal nations with limited government? surely they would never voluntarily do this to themselves?

well. I'm not so sure tbh
Read 16 tweets

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