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Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
@SimonWDC
Jun 8 • 7 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
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In May 272,000 jobs were created in US, far exceeding expectations. Wage growth was robust. My job tracker now comes in at:

33.8m jobs - 16 yrs Clinton, Obama
15.6m jobs - 3+ yrs Biden
1.9m jobs - 16 yrs 2 Bushes, Trump

Biden 8x jobs as last 3 GOP Presidents *combined* 1/ Image
The job creation rate has been 40x greater per month under Biden than under the last 3 GOP Presidents.

Last month's 272,000 jobs is over 2 years of GOP growth in a single month. 2/ Image
Since 1989 and a new age of globalization began, 51m jobs have been created in America. 49m of those have been created under Dem Presidents - essentially all of them. Only 1 US political party been good at this capitalism thing - the Democrats. 3/ Image
There has been a huge and consequential increase in household net worth in America this year.

We are clearly better off today under Joe Biden. 4/

Under Biden we've seen the best job market since the 1960s, the lowest poverty rate ever recorded, and the lowest uninsured rate in US history. The ACA has given tens of millions of Americans better and healthier lives. 5/

The Wall Street Journal recently described the US economy under Joe Biden as the "envy of the world." 6/ Image
The Economist wrote about America's "extraordinary startup boom" under Joe Biden. 7/ Image

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More from @SimonWDC

Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
May 30
Very much enjoyed this smart @RonBrownstein @CNN deep dive into data suggesting that Biden is doing better with voters more likely to vote in 2024, and Trump is doing a bit better with a wider electorate that includes many disinterested voters. 1/

cnn.com/2024/05/29/pol…
To me the biggest question is what happens with those disinterested voters who go through the process of becoming a voter. Will they come to vote more like those who are paying closer attention and become more Dem and help Biden win? I think this is the likely scenario. 2/
In election after election since Dobbs when voters have been given the choice between pragmatic Ds and extremist MAGAs voters have chosen Dems.

Our well-funded and muscular campaigns have put this choice to voters repeatedly, and we keep winning 👇3/

hopiumchronicles.com/p/since-dobbs-…
Read 6 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
May 26
In 2022 Rs worked hard to craft the false "red wave" narrative about the election.

They're doing it again this year - lies about size of crowds, fundraising; claiming polling lead when there isn't one; showy events in D states, voting groups. 1/

hopiumchronicles.com/p/voting-on-da…
This bravado is covering for very weak GOP, who've been losing elections across US, struggling to raise hard dollars, underperforming public polls in primaries, dozens of party leaders indicted, natl campaign a shambles, more "bad candidate" problems 2/

hopiumchronicles.com/p/more-evidenc…
While Rs are weak, Ds are strong: winning elections across US since Dobbs, meaningful hard dollar/organizational advantages, encouraging Senate/House polling, D Govs in 5 of 7 battleground states, Biden has been good President/country is better off 👇 3/

hopiumchronicles.com/p/id-much-rath…
Read 7 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
May 13
Some notes on NYT poll...

Like other recent polls we see MI/PA/WI up for grabs and Biden performing better among LVs.
NYT LVs, Biden-Trump:
MI 47-46
PA 45-48
WI 46-47 (Biden leads among RVs)

More on why Biden's strength w/LVs matters below: 1/

hopiumchronicles.com/p/more-evidenc…
As with other recent polling, findings about life satisfaction remain remarkably high.

74% satisfied
22% not satisfied

Simply there is not broad discontent in America, part of why Dems keep winning elections across US. 2/ Image
The big finding in these NYT polls is Biden's weakness with young and people of color. Recent large sample polls had very different results with 18-29 year olds:

Pew Biden 59-38 (+21)
Harvard/IOP Biden 56-37 (+19)

We will see. 3/

iop.harvard.edu/youth-poll/47t…
Read 4 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Apr 8
In other news it is now undeniable that there is a Russian fifth column operating in United States trying to destroy the country and the global democracy movement from within.

In the last week Kennedy made it clear he is seeking to become a leader of this fifth column.
That MAGA is a Russian fifth column is now being openly discussed by Republican leaders themselves as they look on in horror at what has become of the party of Reagan.

Could RFK have constructed a more pro-Russian position?

“This is the reality that every American Citizen faces — from Ed Snowden, to Julian Assange to the J6 activists sitting in a Washington DC jail cell stripped of their Constitutional liberties.”

washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/…
Read 4 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Apr 6
With another roaring jobs report - 303,000!!! - my monthly jobs tracker now comes in at:

33.8m jobs = 16 yrs Clinton, Obama
15.2m jobs = 3+ yrs Biden
1.9m jobs = 16 yrs 2 Bushes, Trump

8 times more Biden jobs than last 3 R Presidents COMBINED. 1/ Image
The rate of job growth has been 40 times higher under Biden than it was under the last 3 GOP Presidents. 40 times. Last month's 303,000 jobs would be 2 1/2 years of job growth under Republicans. 2/ Image
Since 1989 51 million jobs have been created in America. 49 million - 96% - of those have been created under Democratic Presidents. Essentially all of them, over 3 and half decades. 3/ Image
Read 4 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Feb 28
Morning after Michigan thread:
- Biden wins big, breaks 80%, uncommitted at a very modest 13%. Opposition to Biden foreign policy limited, but intense.
- Trump underperforms public polling again, 4th state in a row. Trump/RNC are struggling. More 👇1/

hopiumchronicles.com/p/bidens-succe…
For Dems, big takeaway - there just isn't a big backlash in party against Biden's handling of Israel-Hamas:
- Uncommitted got 11% vs Obama in 2012, 13% vs Biden
- In Econ/YouGov Dems approve of Biden for pol 71-21, 18-29s year olds give good marks. 2/

hopiumchronicles.com/p/joe-biden-is…
As @Lawrence and I discussed last night on @TheLastWord, Dems are having a real debate about foreign policy right now, and that's healthy. What democracies do.

Biden has work to do to get his coalition together, as all candidates do 8-9 months out. 3/

Read 6 tweets

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