What makes Budapest unique?
It wasn't just 2 cities (Buda + Pest) but 3-4!
Why?
And why is it where it is?
Why did it become the capital of Hungary?
It's no coincidence, and it explains the history of the country
Look at this:
Thread 🧵
The Pannonian Basin, this huge plain surrounded by mountains, was going to have a capital. But where would it be?
It would probably be on the main artery: the Danube, which splits the plain in half 1. Navigable all the way to Germany—fantastic for trade 2. Drinking water, great for living 3. Water for irrigation ➡️ crops
But early on the Danube had another huge advantage:
Look at the extent of the Roman Empire. Can you see what was its border in that region?
Let's zoom in: It was the Danube!
It was large enough that it was a perfect border, very hard to pass, so easy to defend
Romans built many cities on the Danube
The capital of the region would eventually be on that river. But where exactly?
The entire basin seems flat... but it's not
Left: topography of the Pannonian Basin (red=mountains)
Right: Highlighting the topography of the plain
Notice that mountain range that penetrates the basin?
If we zoom in, we see this well: Budapest is on the Danube, but also close to that mountain range. Why is this useful?
Because the elevation creates a ford, which makes the river more easily crossable (see yellowish on the image)
This is probably one of the reasons why the Romans built a city there—on an ancient trading path
This is what the Roman city looked like, compared to the Budapest area called Óbuda today (for Old Buda).
That pass was very important, because controlling it meant controlling both the west side of the Danube, the border, and the trade in the area
That's why the Romans built not one, not two, but three forts there!
• Aquincum was in the main city
• Transaquincum was on the other side of the Danube, to control all passage
• Contra Aquincum was where Pest is today
Notice by the way how all these cities are called after Aqua—latin for water. That's because Budapest is not only bathed by the Danube, but also by springs coming from the mountains nearby, and the dozens of hot springs in the region. Here's a mosaic of a Roman bath in Obuda
Today Budapest has the most hot springs and hot baths of any capital in the world
The Romans appreciated that, and so they built Aquincum (which became a capital of the Pannonia Region) because of:
• Danue
• Ford
• Trade
• Hot springs
But Buda & Pest are not where Aquincum or Transaquincum were. Why?
The Mongols
Horse-ridden, they were able to pass the mountains that protect the Pannonian basin
They destroyed the east
When winter came, it froze the Danube. They crossed it & destroyed the rest of the basin
The rulers decided it was not enough to have the protection of the Danube. They also needed the protection of a hill. So they moved the government south, to the Buda Hill
For some time, the government was split between Visegrád and Buda. You can imagine why by looking at a picture of the Visegrád castle:
Visegrád was easily defensible because of the mountains, but it had a big drawback: the mountains made trade very hard. It was far away from the commercial center.
What was the commercial center of the area?
Pest
Why?
Pest had already hosted Contra-Aquincum centuries earlier. What's special about it?
It's close to this ford we were discussing, but also something else:
• It's flat
• It used to be protected by an arm of the Danube! Here's a picture:
You can "see" that arm to this day, if you zoom in on the topography of the area. Look at the light blue area around Contra Aquincum with white lines and arrows (the colors mean it's at a lower level than the rest of the ground)
Over the centuries, Buda and Pest co-evolved and grew into the administrative & trading capital:
1. The region was great because:
• Danube ➡️ Trade
• Center of the Pannonian Basin ➡️ control
• On a traditional trade route, probably because of its ford
Buda and Pest are both in that region, clode to each other, but also:
2. Buda was defensible:
• On the west side of the Danube, good against attackers from the east
• On a hill
3. Pest was
• Flatter, so easier access to river trade
• Yet protected by an arm of the Danube
Over the centuries, Buda and Pest co-evolved:
• Buda became the administrative center, richer and calmer
• Pest became the trading center, bustling with life
They have conserved these characters to this day
Despite being connected by a permanent bridge in the 19th C
And that's why Budapest is the capital
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Much more detail about Budapest in this (premium) article
Why is Hungary so small?
As this map shows, it could be bigger
It used to host one of the world’s most powerful empires—Austria-Hungary
Now it’s tinier & poorer. What happened?
Explaining it also explains Orbán, or why Hungarians hate their borders🧵
You see that big plain surrounded by mountains? That's a perfect region for a single country: well-connected, fertile plains, protected by an easily-defensible wall of mountains.
That is, indeed, where Hungary was for nearly 1000 years!
It's called the Pannonian Basin
All these mountains catch humidity that flows down as rivers, which criss-cross the country, bringing lots of irrigation
The biggest one is the Danube, so big & gentle that it's navigable, connecting it with Germany & creating trade and wealth along its controllable path
Two shocking events from last week unmasked eco-terrorists disguised as environmentalists:
1. The Philippines banned golden rice, condemning thousands of children to blindness and death 2. German Greens lied to closed nuclear plants
This is what happened and how to reverse it:
1. Golden Rice Ban
Golden Rice has added vitamin A over 100,000 children every year and turns blind over 100,000 more
Golden Rice has additional vitamin A, and eliminates that problem
But Greenpeace got a Filipino court to ban it. Why?
The court says "there's not enough evidence". But there is, proven by safety tests from countries like the US, Canada, and NZ. It is just like rice, except with more Vit A
You think housing prices will keep going up because you've seen it all your life. But this is a historic anomaly that is likely to reverse soon: Prices might start shrinking in many places.
This thread is the case against investing in housing:
Our perception of real estate prices is extremely biased.
Most ppl alive today have only experienced them since WW2, but that's a completely anomalous period!
Prices before did not grow as much. Here are real prices for 14 countries
What happened?
Supply and demand
The last 80 years have seen a growth of housing demand never seen before. At the same time, supply has been shrinking consistently. These trends are all reverting now. Let's look at them in detail:
Why do Jamaicans speak English, when most of its neighboring countries don’t?
Why was the pirate capital there?
Why is it underwater now?
Why did pirates drink rum?
Why are most Jamaicans black?
This map of shipping lanes today gives you a hint:
Jamaica is in the middle of all these shipping lanes, but isn't a major shipping hub today
This is not new: Back in Spanish colonial times, Jamaica was not in the main trade routes either
Spain's main goods were silver from Mexico and Peru and luxury goods from China
Spaniards gathered them in Panama, Portobello, Cartagena, and Veracruz
Ships arrived from Spain to Puerto Rico and left via Habana (Cuba)
Jamaica was not a main port
Why?
This machine makes fuel from thin air
It's carbon neutral
And it does this at record-low costs
Energy and the environment will look completely different in 10 years
Here's why: 🧵
The problem with fossil fuels today is not that we burn them, it's where they come from: They had been locked in the ground for millions of years and now they're back in the atmosphere. The pbm is the "fossil", not the "fuels"
If we make fuels out of thin air, we can burn them
How can we do it?
Natural gas is mostly methane (CH4)
You just need some energy to force some carbon (C) to bing to hydrogen (H)
Carbon can come from air (CO2)
Hydrogen can come from water (H2O)
The energy can come from the sun (solar panels)
This video of the Rock of Gibraltar gives an intuition for why some areas of the world have deserts next to rainforests
What's happening here?
How can you use that to predict where there will be deserts or rainforests?🧵
Look at the map below: In some places, deserts and lush forests are side by side. Why?
The mountain chains between them
The effect is called the Rain Shadow:
• Air comes wet from the sea
• As it hits mountains, it goes up
• Higher altitudes are cooler, so the air cools
• That condenses water (like the droplets on you Coke glass)
• Rain falls
• Air is dry past the mountains