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Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
@Mylovanov
Jun 13 • 6 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
Putin loses at G7

1. Led by the US and France, G7 agrees to give $50bln to Ukraine backed by Russian assets

2. US and Ukraine sign a security agreement

3. Russia is pissed and promises retaliation 1/
4. NATO is set to allow itself a "greater role" in Ukraine aid

5. Biden imposes new sanctions targeting Russian defense industry

6. Biden says air defense to Ukraine will take priority over other countries 2/
7. Zelensky says China promised him not to sell weapons to Russia

8. Zelensky: the Ukraine US security agreement is a bridge to NATO membership 3/
But ...

1. Is the $50bln a golden handshake from the US? Will the US be able to continue to support Ukraine in 2025 at the same rate? 4/
2. Will the US and allies allow Ukraine to strike deeper into the Russian territory?

3. Do the allies continue to be afraid of Russia and self-restrain from providing Ukraine with the most relevant weapons? 5/
4. Will the Ukrainian economy hold and mobilization work?

5. Is there a realistic strategy to stop the war, let alone win it? 6X

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More from @Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jun 15
The G7 pledges to combat Russian shadow fleet used to evade oil export sanctions.

Research @KSE_Institute shows Russia tripled this fleet to 435 vessels in 2024 from 143 in 2023, heightening concerns about oil spills along EU shipping routes. 1/ Image
@KSE_Institute Russia is boosting its shadow fleet with old ships destined for scrap. An oil spill is not a question of if but when, which would trigger severe sanctions on fleet facilitators. Yet, EU elections and local politics are diverting G7's focus 2/

buff.ly/45nBKhJ

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@KSE_Institute Research by the Kyiv School of Economics shows that the shadow fleet now handles about 60% of Russia's crude exports and 45% of oil product exports independently of restricted maritime services. In 2023, Russia still relied heavily on Western services 3/

buff.ly/4eqgE6a
Image
Read 8 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jun 14
Ukrainian woman escapes Russian occupation by walking through the front line over a bridge in Kherson

On June 11, the Ukrainian military spotted a woman on the surviving part of the Antonivskyi Bridge, standing in the side of the occupied Oleshky 1/

After the woman saw the drone, she showed it her Ukrainian passport.

The drone escorted the Ukrainian woman to the positions of Ukrainian forces. She was then transported by boat to the territory controlled by Ukraine 2/
The soldiers who rescued her said the woman did not know that Antonivskyi Bridge was destroyed, so she was walking towards it hoping to cross it.

The operation to evacuate her lasted about six hours 3/
Read 7 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jun 12
G7 agree to use Russian assets to give Ukraine $50 bln by the end of this year

This is a major blow to Russia 1/
G7 leaders had aimed to agree a deal on using the profits from the interest on 300 billion euros ($325 billion) of frozen Russian central bank assets to help Kyiv, using the profits as collateral for a loan of up to $50 billion 2/
We have an agreement, a French official said ahead of the summit tomorrow 3/
Read 6 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jun 10
Mustafa Nayem, the head of Ukrainian reconstruction agency, resigned today on the first day of the Ukraine recovery conference in Berlin

The media and politicians say that’s a major scandal - a top official resignation - well timed for the conference.

I disagree 1/
I know Mustafa well and some might say we are friends. I certainly view him as my friend.

He is most know as a top investigative journalist who started the 2013-2014 revolution against the pro-Russian President Yanukovych 2/

ft.com/content/22cea3…
In the fall of 2013, Yanukovych abruptly pulled out from the EU association negotiations and opted out to join a trade union with Russia.

Mustafa triggered the protests by posting in FB a call to get together on a major square in Kyiv. 3/ Image
Read 17 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jun 10
Ukraine has 22 out of EU’s 34 critical minerals.

If Russia seizes the territory with these materials, they will go to China

This is what these materials are 1/
Rare Earth Elements. They are chemical elements essential in the manufacturing of a wide range of high-tech products and advanced technologies, including:
2/
1. **Electronics**: Smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices.
2. **Green Technologies**: Wind turbines, electric vehicle batteries, and other renewable energy technologies.
3/
Read 8 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jun 9
Brussel: Ukraine ready for EU membership talks, FT reports

The EU Commission recommends starting EU accession talks with Ukraine and Moldova this month, hastening the decision due to Hungary's upcoming EU presidency. But I believe Hungary will try to delay and derail. 1/ Image
One ongoing concern for Ukraine's EU application is the perceived and actual corruption, along with the influence of oligarchs on politics. In my view, this concern is somewhat unjustified, but it remains a reality. 2/

buff.ly/3RltNDX
The commission now asserts that Ukraine meets criteria such as anti-corruption measures and restrictions on political lobbying and the EU membership negotiations can go ahead. Good news! 3/
Read 15 tweets

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