Lazarus Long Profile picture
Jun 14 21 tweets 10 min read Read on X
It will be a miracle if H5N1 does not go full explosive pandemic.

I actually spent a chunk of time trying to figure out how to get OSHA involved.

🧵 on what THEY know, and TRANSMISSION.

tinalexander.github.io/notes/2024/06
So, the USDA wants you to not be worried. They EXPECTED numbers to go up.

But they forgot to tell their boss, @SecVilsack, who says it will be isolated and burn out, because they have biosecurity plans available, and understand how it's transmitted.

agriculture.com/usda-aims-to-i…


We do see it as kind of a naive population where we see those numbers go up that’s expected. That’s not necessarily alarming in the sense of we understand how this disease spreads.  However, to get really further ahead in this space. Again, it goes back to the biosecurity we’re really wanting all industries all to really up their biosecurity, have those enhanced biosecurity plans. We do have through our funding mechanisms, again, options for unaffected, as well as affected herds to both be able to increase biosecurity plans on site to one, keep disease out of their herds. And two, to keep d...
“We are trying to essentially corner the virus” within infected herds so it eventually dissipates, he said during a teleconference.
The USDA’s strategy against bird flu in dairy cattle is to identify infected herds and wait for the virus to die out within the herds, said Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack on Monday. “I’m confident we have a good understanding of the virus and how it is being transferred,” he added.
He said that on June 4th, and when there were 80 herds, 9 states.

Now, there are 97 herds, 12 states.

Their preventive measures have been in place since May 1.

THEIR PREVENTIVE MEASURES ARE NOT WORKING.

Why? We have to know HOW it is transmitted.

A reporter asks the task force - obviously, you think contaminated clothes are the source.

Here's a good synopsis of the Michigan report they mention. That synopsis mentions that it would be good to implement the Secure Supply Biosecurity Plan.
. michiganfarmnews.com/usda-releases-…

I saw in the Michigan report, it talked about shared workers being that only transmission link between dairy and poultry. I mean, have you looked into the possibility that infected workers were the vector? Or is there a reason that you think contaminated clothing is more likely? Thanks.
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USDA APHIS replies that they know that shared clothing is a risk factor.

Got that - just a risk factor. We'll come back to that because I went digging.

@USDA_APHIS then goes on to state that they DEPEND ON PUBLIC HEALTH TO TELL THEM IF PEOPLE ARE INFECTED. I saw in the Michigan report, it talked about shared workers being that only transmission link between dairy and poultry. I mean, have you looked into the possibility that infected workers were the vector? Or is there a reason that you think contaminated clothing is more likely? Thanks.  Kammy Johnson, APHIS [00:20:22]  That’s a great question. And thank you for bringing that up.  When we look at those genetic sequences, we do see that there are relationships and between those viruses, and we are relying on our public health colleagues to tell us and have some indicator on whether or not pe...
45 people have been tested. Total.
Across 12 states and 97 farms.

So, the USDA is telling us not to worry because they are depending on public health to test people to let us know if it is spreading in people.

Who are not being tested.

cdc.gov/bird-flu/h5-mo…
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Not coincidentally, did you know that 10% of poultry workers test positive for H5N1?

Per @NIOSH, in DHHS (NIOSH) Publication Number 2008–128



"Protecting Poultry Workers from Avian
Influenza (Bird Flu)"

In which they recommend respirators or PAPR. cdc.gov/niosh/docs/200…

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Which brings us back to the vaunted @USDA_APHIS Secure Supply "No respirators required" plan from 2017 👇.


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Did you notice that @USDA_APHIS actually did NOT ANSWER if infected workers were the reason for the spread? Image
They just focused on the clothes.

But speaking of clothes - is it because your pants leg sneaks up into your nose?
No. It's because virus contaminated aerosols (dust, respiratory, fecal, milk - all possibilities) land on your clothes.

As you move, or wind hits them, they resuspend into the air., and they get inhaled.

This is why Secure Supply has Tyvek coveralls.

NIOSH also has Tyvek Image
coveralls. But NIOSH ALSO HAS RESPIRATORS, AND has a full on donning and doffing procedure. It is deliberately designed to lower the risk of inhaling those aerosols as you take off the overalls, gloves, boot coverings.

Remove clothes, coverings with respie and goggles on. Image
Then remove goggles and respirator. Wash hands. Image
Shower. Image
And that is just for clothes.

Respirators are also so workers don't inhale the aerosols straight from the dust, cow breath, dried fecal particles, milk aerosols.
When we turn to the vaunted Secure Supply BIOSECURITY website for dairy producers, not a respirator in site.

More examples....



PDF for

The ONLY time respirator is mentioned is in reference to spraying disinfectants. Once. securemilksupply.org/milk-producers…
securemilksupply.org/Assets/SMS_Enh…

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So, I am really at a loss as to get someone to change that Secure Supply website done in 2017 in light of the airborne aerosols of H5N1.

@CorsIAQ, I couldn't help notice that UC Davis was one of the contributors.

Any chance you can gt that dept to reach out?

Cheers either way!
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@CorsIAQ Almost forgot - an assumption that @USDA_APHIS is making.

That public health will be able to have some indicator if people have been infected.

There is no such guarantee. There will be asymptomatics. Presymptomatics. Symptoms like SARS2.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.11…


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I was wrong. I said 97.

104 herds infected.

From 36 on May 1st which is when all of their current mitigations were all in place.

At what point, @Alexander_Tin @HelenBranswell, for the USDA and CDC, do they say the current strategy is not working?

Is this considered success @SecVilsack ?

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More from @LazarusLong13

Jun 15
Worried about H5N1? Get in the habit of using a food thermometer.

Whole beef cuts: 145°F
Ground beef: 160°F
Chicken, Eggs, Pork: 165°F

Pork was surprisingly hard to run down. Found it below.

Dog meat not discussed. Even our science is biased.

academia.edu/download/64909…
Looks like scholar Google has it cached.

Click on the PDF edu link and save it. 674 pages of Avian Influenza.


scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&…
Read 4 tweets
Jun 8
Are you a Covid Careful living with a Covid Not-So-Careful? Need a place to demask? Sleep

Have your own bed? Time to positive pressure a bed tent with a HEPA that blows clean air out the top, and dirty air in through the bottom.

The HEPA is on its side, zipped in the tent.
Image
Image
You are going to keep the bed tent so full of clean air so that it comes out the gaps in the zippers.
Non-affiliated links. Amazon so easy to return if not your cup of tea

Ablackout bed version one of these.


Video here:


A HEPA that blows out the top, and in through the bottom. Like a Levoit Core 400s
a.co/d/6BekBYv
amazon.com/ive?ingressTyp…
a.co/d/e7sKlx6
Read 5 tweets
Jun 7
‼️BY JUNE 10TH ‼️

Do you want universal N95s?

Do you want CMS cracking the whip on the hospitals on Covid infections?

Thread on how-to.

Link at end.
Best if you make a .docx .pdf .RTF

(See below for other file types).

It's also best if you do your own words, personalize it politely, see recommendation in 2nd pic.
Image
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But you are busy. I get it.

Here's mine.
Change the italicized part to what you want. Save As PDF. Go.
docs.google.com/document/d/1z-…
Image
Read 6 tweets
Jun 6
North Carolina mask law is still a disaster.

Besides the medical or surgical mask (N95,N100 is not a mask), there is a bigger issue.

/1
Image
"shall remove the mask upon request by a law enforcement officer"

A strict reading would be they could dictate when you put it back on by simply repeatedly requesting you to remove it.
" temporarily remove the mask upon request by the owner or occupant of public or private property where the wearer is present to allow for identification of the wearer."

This is strictly unconstitutional as this would require you to show photo ID.

"temporarily" in terms of
Read 5 tweets
Jun 6
H5N1. There is some bullshit going on.

Raise your hand if you were hoping that H5N1 was mutating to be mild based on USDA statements.

AND in this story,
"A (USDA) spokesperson said the agency knew of a few deaths but that the vast majority of cows recover well."
/1
But thanks to @Reuters, we can now immediately see the @USDA_APHIS is bullshitting us.

Because if REUTERS has to hustle out to see what the actual death rate is, and comes up empty-handed for the majority of the states?

What chance do any of us?

The USDA should have these Image
numbers immediately available.

"Vast majority" - the USDA IS PLAYING WORD GAMES with a disease that starts with two words "HIGHLY PATHOGENIC"

90% is not a vast majority. 99% is. Image
Read 11 tweets

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