The Russian Defense Ministry continues to be in chaos. Putin has made another reshuffle, appointing his cousin's daughter Anna Tsivileva (née Putina) to one of the positions of deputy defense minister. One of Russia's most corrupt officials. Before that, she managed the
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"Defenders of the Fatherland" fund. This is a fund to help participants in the "special military operation." Now her responsibilities will include organizing social and housing support for military personnel. Construction is almost the biggest area for corruption. Pavel
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Fradkov has been appointed as another deputy. He was the first deputy of the Chief of the Presidential Property Management Department of the Russian Federation. Leonid Gornin has been appointed to the position of First Deputy Minister of Defense. Previously, he was the
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First Deputy of the Minister of Finance. Now he will oversee the financial support of the armed forces. These names may not mean much to an uninitiated person, but this is not so important. What is important is that when Andrei Belousov took the post of Minister of Defense,
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he came without a team and now Vladimir Putin is appointing assistants to him. Since the money began to run out, he decided to bring bureaucrats to these positions. And relatives at the same time. None of them have any idea about the army. Only distantly. Tsivileva became
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famous for the fact that when her "Defenders of the Fatherland" fund received in June 2013 1.314 billion rubles, more than 70% of this fund was assigned to employee salaries. Plus the costs of maintaining the office and training coordinators. In total, 97% of the fund went
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to its maintenance. 3% was allocated for psychological assistance to veterans. Later, the government allocated another 5 billion rubles to the fund. In addition, soldiers complained about the fund that it did not transfer the required payments. So the new team of the
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Minister of Defense, called upon to fight corruption and reduce expenses, will work great. Great for Ukraine. The first thing these people will most likely start doing is conducting audits and calculations. Putting things in order and seeing where and how they can cut
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expenses. Of course, for their own profit. In addition, these people have never worked in the same team and most likely there will be a struggle for funding. And there is less and less finance. Such team building in the middle of the Russian offensive will only add disorder
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and chaos. Again, this does not mean that the Russian army will soon collapse. It still has a lot of cannon fodder. It still has a lot of resources. But the fact that Putin started talking about peace again last week and this time his demands were a little more modest
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than before, says, that he understands that there are problems and he is scared. The more aid to Ukraine and the stronger the unity of the West, the more Putin is afraid. His flight to North Korea, possibly for new ammunition in exchange for technology, also speaks of
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problems. Putin has long been afraid to fly anywhere. This time he removed several fighter planes from the front for escort. The window of opportunity for Russia is closing. The offensive on Kharkiv has failed. There are no successes on other parts of the front either.
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Ukraine has more and more allies and weapons supplies. There is still a difficult and long struggle ahead, but it is obvious that Russia's problems are only accumulating and new people in the army leadership will only worsen the situation.
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Russia has once again staged a media stunt with the story about a drone attack on Putin’s residence. In the Novgorod region no one heard air raid sirens, yet according to Lavrov, 91 drones were launched from Ukraine and all of
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them were shot down. There is not a single video and not a single piece of evidence. Why is this needed? This entire performance was staged specifically for Trump. Putin personally called the American president and told him about it. Russia has long convinced Trump that it
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is Zelensky together with the “warmongering shadow government of Europe” who allegedly do not want the war to end. This show was played out so that Ukraine would be blamed for the failure of peace talks. Unfortunately, with Trump, this works. Meanwhile, Lavrov declares that
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Daily strikes by Ukrainian drones and missiles on Russian oil depots, warehouses and refineries have created an image in the information space of a “leaky” Russian air defense system. This image sharply contrasts with what Russian propaganda had been instilling in its audience🧵
for decades, namely the idea of an “impenetrable shield” capable, according to Defense Minister Andrey Belousov, of intercepting up to 97 percent of targets. The reality of a full scale war has proven far more complex. Ukraine has not managed to destroy Russian air defense as a
single integrated system, but it has succeeded in exposing its real limits. As analysis by the Royal United Services Institute shows, the strength of Russian air defense depends not only on missiles and radars, but also on industry, logistics and the ability to replenish losses
Seven German journalism students tracked Russian-crewed freighters lurking off the Dutch and German coast and connected them to drone swarms over military bases. Using public tracking tools, their own drones and even driving 2500 kilometers while following a ship, they produced🧵
a far more coherent picture of the Germany and Netherlands drone mystery than months of official hand-wringing and coordinated stonewalling. “Our trail leads to Russia,” the team concludes. “Not beyond doubt, but it’s currently the most probable explanation. We systematically
laid both things side by side: the secret reports about drone incidents and the routes of the ships. You can at least recognize a pattern.” They did not find a drone on any ship and they cannot prove causation, but they established the following: ships with Russian crews showed
Brussels has found a way to make decisions on blocking Russian assets without the consent of all EU member states, the Financial Times reports. This would allow the assets to be frozen indefinitely rather than having the blockade renewed every six months as is currently 1/9
the case. According to the publication, this is made possible by one of the EU treaty provisions stating that unanimous approval is not required in situations of economic shocks, which Brussels considers the war in Ukraine to be. Until now, when extending the freeze, there 2/9
was a risk that one EU country, for example Hungary, could oppose it, and without unanimous agreement the assets would be unfrozen. In early December, the European Commission approved two options for financing Ukraine for 2026 and 2027. The first plan involves providing 3/9
Russia is laying the groundwork to make the 1990s look like a walk in the park. Everyone says Russia is returning to the nineties, but what does that mean? The collapse of the Soviet Union was driven by many factors. Economic problems had already begun in the 1970s. The USSR
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economy was built on the export of energy resources (oil and gas), metals, timber and grain. Most of the revenue went into the arms race of the Cold War. This is very similar to Russia today, whose military budget has reached record levels. The 1973 oil crisis initially
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worked in the USSR's favor by increasing export revenues, but soon an event occurred that had a greater impact on the crisis of the 1990s than anything else - the war in Afghanistan. Although the Soviet Union spent about $20 billion on the war, this was negligible compared
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US-Russia negotiations will not lead to peace. Diplomacy with Russia does not work and this truth is something the Trump administration refuses to see. The more we learn about the details of the US-Russia deal on Ukraine, the clearer it becomes that this administration 1/9
is pursuing only personal gain, both in the form of stakes in Russian business and in the form of a share of the frozen Russian assets whose unfreezing after a peace deal the US administration insists on. Russia is not striving for any peace and has never done so - this is 2/9
obvious to anyone who truly understands the issue. Russia uses the same old Soviet negotiation tactics that Kaja Kallas described when she quoted Andrei Gromyko. Three things: first demand the maximum. Do not ask but demand something that has never been yours. Secondly, 3/9