Artur Rehi Profile picture
Jun 18, 2024 13 tweets 5 min read Read on X
The Russian Defense Ministry continues to be in chaos. Putin has made another reshuffle, appointing his cousin's daughter Anna Tsivileva (née Putina) to one of the positions of deputy defense minister. One of Russia's most corrupt officials. Before that, she managed the
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"Defenders of the Fatherland" fund. This is a fund to help participants in the "special military operation." Now her responsibilities will include organizing social and housing support for military personnel. Construction is almost the biggest area for corruption. Pavel
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Fradkov has been appointed as another deputy. He was the first deputy of the Chief of the Presidential Property Management Department of the Russian Federation. Leonid Gornin has been appointed to the position of First Deputy Minister of Defense. Previously, he was the
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First Deputy of the Minister of Finance. Now he will oversee the financial support of the armed forces. These names may not mean much to an uninitiated person, but this is not so important. What is important is that when Andrei Belousov took the post of Minister of Defense,
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he came without a team and now Vladimir Putin is appointing assistants to him. Since the money began to run out, he decided to bring bureaucrats to these positions. And relatives at the same time. None of them have any idea about the army. Only distantly. Tsivileva became
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famous for the fact that when her "Defenders of the Fatherland" fund received in June 2013 1.314 billion rubles, more than 70% of this fund was assigned to employee salaries. Plus the costs of maintaining the office and training coordinators. In total, 97% of the fund went
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to its maintenance. 3% was allocated for psychological assistance to veterans. Later, the government allocated another 5 billion rubles to the fund. In addition, soldiers complained about the fund that it did not transfer the required payments. So the new team of the
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Minister of Defense, called upon to fight corruption and reduce expenses, will work great. Great for Ukraine. The first thing these people will most likely start doing is conducting audits and calculations. Putting things in order and seeing where and how they can cut
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expenses. Of course, for their own profit. In addition, these people have never worked in the same team and most likely there will be a struggle for funding. And there is less and less finance. Such team building in the middle of the Russian offensive will only add disorder
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and chaos. Again, this does not mean that the Russian army will soon collapse. It still has a lot of cannon fodder. It still has a lot of resources. But the fact that Putin started talking about peace again last week and this time his demands were a little more modest
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than before, says, that he understands that there are problems and he is scared. The more aid to Ukraine and the stronger the unity of the West, the more Putin is afraid. His flight to North Korea, possibly for new ammunition in exchange for technology, also speaks of
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problems. Putin has long been afraid to fly anywhere. This time he removed several fighter planes from the front for escort. The window of opportunity for Russia is closing. The offensive on Kharkiv has failed. There are no successes on other parts of the front either.
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Ukraine has more and more allies and weapons supplies. There is still a difficult and long struggle ahead, but it is obvious that Russia's problems are only accumulating and new people in the army leadership will only worsen the situation.
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More from @ArturRehi

Jan 10
The outgoing Biden administration will be remembered in history as an example of failed U.S. security assistance policy. Enormous sums allocated by the United States for aid to Ukraine have remained uncontracted. Of the many billions of dollars provided through the USAI
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program, only $13 million were committed to contracts. Approximately $10 billion remains unused, and its allocation will be handled by the new administration. For comparison, $4.6 billion in replacement funds were obligated during the same period. While the United States
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continues to declare itself Ukraine’s strongest ally, its delays lead to significant losses among Ukrainians. Ukraine depends on international aid, and without the support of its allies, it would not have been able to hold back Russia’s advance for so long. However,
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Read 5 tweets
Jan 7
Russia exploits the energy crisis in Transnistria to escalate tensions in the region and shift blame onto Ukraine. Moldova offered assistance with fuel and gas supplies, but the government of the unrecognized republic refused the help. Playing the victim and portraying
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Ukraine in a negative light now serves their interests much better. The same tactics are employed by other allies of Putin and Moldova's neighbors - Hungary and Slovakia. The Kremlin uses these situations as part of a massive information campaign against Ukraine, aiming
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to influence public opinion across Europe. Propagandists are on the ground, producing videos showing freezing, impoverished residents left without gas. Although Hungary and Slovakia secured gas supplies through the TurkStream pipeline, costs have risen significantly.
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Read 12 tweets
Jan 6
Happy New Year! So many events have unfolded during the break that it’s hard to choose a topic for an article. Perhaps the most pressing issue today is the new offensive in the Kursk region. Since the operation has just begun, and naturally, the Armed Forces of Ukraine
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keep their plans secret, reports on Telegram suggest the offensive is progressing successfully. Ukrainian forces are actively using electronic warfare systems. Regarding the Donetsk region, Russia continues its advance, though the pace has noticeably slowed, which does not
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make the AFU’s job any easier. In Pokrovsk, Russian drones are operating intensively. Multiple sources have noted that the main issue on the Pokrovsk front is internal problems within the Ukrainian army, as reported by numerous military insiders. There are shortages of
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Read 18 tweets
Dec 16, 2024
This week, we received an answer on how effective the Korean troops are and how much they are helping Russia in the Kursk region. Footage of North Korean attacks demonstrates that they lack the skills to conduct modern warfare, which was not a surprise. They managed to
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capture several trenches, which were eventually recaptured by Ukrainian forces. The North Koreans became easy targets as they advanced through open fields in large groups. They proved to be ineffective, but it should not be forgotten that Ukrainians still have to repel these
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attacks, incurring their own losses. The situation remains difficult on the Pokrovsk direction as well. However, there have been some changes and personnel reshuffles. For a long time, reports from the area highlighted inadequate command, which led to the advancement of
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Read 15 tweets
Dec 11, 2024
No dictatorship lasts forever, and all dictators are mortal. Putin, due to his age alone, may "kick the bucket" very soon, although, unlike ordinary Russians, he can afford proper medical care. The events in Syria are clearly a significant blow to his nervous system and
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heart health. Such a scenario is now easy to imagine within Russia itself. The fall of Assad created a power vacuum in Syria, and now several countries are advancing their interests. Sunnis backed by Turkey, Kurds supported by the U.S., factions supported by Israel, Iran and
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remnants of Hezbollah, along with the remains of Russian units — all of it has become a chaotic mix. It's far too early to speak of an end to the crisis. Stability in Syria will not return soon. Over the years, Assad destroyed the moderate opposition, leaving only the most
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Read 9 tweets
Dec 9, 2024
Russia continues to advance and achieve local successes in the areas of Pokrovsk and Kurakhove. However, it is difficult to call this a success, as it comes at a huge cost in Russian losses. In this sense, the report differs little from previous ones from this section of the
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front. But the main events of recent days are, of course, in Syria. The regime of Bashar al-Assad has fallen, and it took only a few days for this to happen. Bashar al-Assad was the last dictator from the era of the Arab Spring. Ben Ali, Hosni Mubarak, Abdelaziz Bouteflika,
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Muammar Gaddafi – for various reasons, they are no longer in power. Among all the countries of the Middle East and North Africa, Syria saw the highest number of casualties and destruction. Protests, which escalated into a civil war, began in 2011. Losing power and control,
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Read 22 tweets

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