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Jun 18 7 tweets 2 min read Read on X
1/ More than 10,000 people have been charged with refusing to serve in the Russian armed forces since 2022, with nearly 8,600 sentences being passed. Cases of refusal are currently setting new records, with as many as 35 verdicts a day in April 2024. ⬇️ Image
2/ Mediazona reports a huge increase in cases since September 2022, when military personnel were forbidden from resigning. They include 9,059 cases of unauthorised abandonment of a unit, 627 cases of failure to comply with an order, and 339 cases of desertion.
3/ Before September 2022, such cases were rare. They have now reached record highs. In May 2024 alone, there were 929 criminal cases of unauthorised abandonment of a unit, failure to comply with an order, and desertion. Up to 35 verdicts have been announced daily.
4/ While some of these have resulted in show trials and prison sentences (see below), judges usually pass suspended sentences under which the accused is sent back to the front line.
5/ As Mediazona has previously noted, this means that they "became more dependent on their commanding officers who could report a subordinate at any moment — and his suspended sentence would turn into an actual prison term."
6/ Between 2021 and 2023, the number of cases of unauthorised abandonment (known as "going to Sochi", from the Russian acronym SOC – equivalent to AWOL) has more than tripled. It's continued rising through 2024 even as punishments have been increased
7/ The steady rise in cases, month on month, likely reflects the increasing strain on the Russian army and the erosion of morale as Russia continues to suffer huge numbers of casualties in the Ukraine war. /end

Source:
zona.media/news/2024/06/1…

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Jun 13
1/ Unfortunately this is an absolutely predictable consequence of the Kakhovka dam's destruction. Agriculture in Crimea and coastal Ukraine is effectively finished for the foreseeable future.
2/ This will have huge implications for the region. Its economy is largely based on agriculture (developed in Soviet times) - without the canals fed from the dam it's an arid near-desert. With no work and no water, much of the population will have to leave.
3/ The ecology developed over the last 70 years will largely disappear too. When the topsoil is dried out, it'll blow away in the dust storms that used to plague the region before it was irrigated by the canals. Even when (if) the dam is restored, it'll take decades to undo that.
Read 4 tweets
May 28
1/ Major General Ivan Popov, recently arrested by Russia's FSB on charges of fraud, reportedly believes he was set up by his former superior General Valery Gerasimov after selling scrap metal to raise funds for his troops.
2/ According to a source cited by the VChK-OGPU Telegram channel:

"After Shoigu was removed from the post of defense minister, Popov refused the option offered to him earlier to resign for health reasons.
3/ "Popov argued that he believed that Gerasimov, the chief of the General Staff, who was the main organizer of the harassment against Popov, would be the next to resign.
Read 8 tweets
May 26
1/ A Russian soldier who says he was raped by African mercenaries in Ukraine asks for advice:

"Hello. I ask anonymously.
I am a soldier of a motorised rifle brigade, which is currently performing combat missions in the Kharkov region.
2/ "I thought for a long time whether to write about it at all, but finally decided to do it. In general, I don't know how to say it properly. I was raped. It happened a week ago. We were already in the [Special Military Operation] area. They sent Africans with us.
3/ "We realized right away that we couldn't trust these cocksuckers. They don't speak Russian, they always stay aloof, and it's not clear what they have in mind. One day it so happened that I was resting after my shift, and other guys from my unit went on a mission.
Read 7 tweets
May 20
1/ Pressures from the war in Ukraine are reportedly contributing to a massive staff shortage in Russia's internal security forces. The Interior Ministry is said to be short of 152,000 staff. As a result, it is reportedly "paralysed" and unable to do its job of fighting crime. ⬇️ Image
2/ The VChK-OGPU Telegram channel reports that Interior Ministry head Vladimir Kolokoltsev recently told Russia's Federation Council (the Russian legislature's upper house) that his ministry was short of 152,000 personnel. This figure had increased by 150% in the last 6 months. Image
3/ This follows reports last year about tens of thousands of vacancies in the Ministry of the Interior (MVD), with many policemen and other security personnel quitting to find better prospects elsewhere. The situation appears to have got worse since then.
Read 10 tweets
May 20
1/ Two more incidents have been reported of Russians being fined or denounced for association with the colours of blue and yellow – Ukraine's national colours. They include a journalist who was denounced for being photographed in a yellow jacket against a blue sky. ⬇️ Image
2/ The journalist, Vologda region reporter Antonida Smolina, was photographed wearing a yellow down jacket with a cloudy blue sky in the background. After the picture was published on her social media (probably VK) page, she was denounced by a certain Valery Nikolaevich P.
3/ According to Smolina, the complaint stated that she was "photographed in a yellow down jacket against the blue sky, thereby causing associations with enemy symbols, discrediting our government and army." A policeman came to her house to interview her.
Read 10 tweets
Apr 30
1/ @konrad_muzyka has published an excellent if rather gloomy thread on the current situation in Ukraine. In the interests of helping it to reach a wider audience, I thought an English translation would be useful.
2/ "I invite you to a short thread about the current situation on the frontline. In short, the situation looks very bad and is not expected to improve in the coming weeks.
3/ There are three reasons for the current state of affairs and in principle there is nothing revelatory here, as the problems on the Ukrainian side have been known for a long time: lack of ammunition, manpower, fortifications.
Read 17 tweets

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