Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jun 22 18 tweets 6 min read Read on X
As the end of this video details, the "Birds of Magyar" had a radio repeater drone right on top of that RuAF Drone unit occupied the building in order to be able to inspect its insides with an FPV drone.

A drone war organizational change🧵
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It looks like the "Birds of Magyar" repeater drone was also relaying Russian drone analog video back to its drone operators.

The seamless integration of SIGINT within drone unit ops, without reference to any other organization, or higher command, is not Western practice with drones.

2/
In the US Army, SIGINT & Jamming belong to one Military Intelligence.

Drones belong, based on size, too the following:
1. The Division aviation brigade (Group 4 - MQ-1C Grey Eagle)
2. The Brigade combat team (Group 3 - RQ-7 Shadow) and,
3. Battalion & below (Group 1 - RQ-11B Raven)

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What jumps out as technologically obsolete about the US Army's fielded drone fleet is:

"Where are the multi-copters, Bro?!?

No Baba Yaga's FPV mother ships with radio repeater payloads live near the US Army.

4/
And the light tooth to tail ratio of a Baba Yaga multicopter drone compared to US Military drone practice has to be seen to be believed.

5/
Three things that fairly scream tactical obsolescence for the systems requirements for the US Army's "Future Tactical Unmanned Aircraft System" are the following-

1. The lack of a drone machine gun payload requirement,

6/

2. The lack of an unguided munitions payload module,

3. The lack of an FPV mothership payload/repeater module.

7/

These three lacks are a matter of public record that are obvious when you look at Defense News articles on when the system specifications were written.

Drone tech moved far faster than US military procurement.

8/
defensenews.com/land/2023/02/2…
The US Army drone fleet is organizationally, technologically and tactically incapable of duplicating the "Birds of Magyar" battlefield performance.

And no amount of money is going to solve this issue.

Turf battles from obsolete centralized organizational empires prevent it.
9/
There is no way that the Divisional Artillery command & control/JAG officer collateral damage assessment empire that grew up from 2008 onwards will tolerate battalions dropping anti-tank mine class ordnance...
10/

...from drones without them p*ssing in the low level rules of engagement to slow things down, and most importantly, justify their now obsolete in the age of A.I. & parasitic job slots.

11/

The kind of centralized command & control plus centralized 155mm battery formations US Army artillery use are technologically obsolete in the face of superior enemy jamming, enemy counter battery radar numerical superiority & a drone filled skies.

12/
The Ukrainian creation of the highly distributes/horizontal Geospatial Intelligence for the art of Artillery or "GIS Arta," and its successor tablet/cellphone technology based C3I systems, were geared for a heavy jamming environment...

13/
...and have proven uniquely suited for drone warfare.

Whatever strengths the US Army thinks AFTADS still has...

...it is incapable of providing either of those.

14/
And the US Military Intelligence branch will fight to the death to prevent any loss of the SIGINT & Jamming missions which drive the branch budget.

15/
These sort of issues are why Ukraine's Zelinsky government created a separate drone branch over the bleeding bodies of its ground and air force flag ranks protecting their organizational budget turf.

16/
It was the only way to clear the Ukrainian ground forces of the "organizational kudzu" to accomplish the military missions demanded by an existential war the age of drones.

Nothing less will work for the US Army, as the WW2 proved.



17/17 End
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More from @TrentTelenko

Jun 22
Gosh,

Remember all the X accounts claiming these turtle tanks were the answer to Ukrainian FPV drones and a sign of Russian strength?

Not so much.⬇️

They are, in fact, a "flaming datum" of Russian military-industrial weakness.

A Lanchester Smiles🧵
A turtle tank is an obsolete tank without both traverse & elevation gear & a gun loader (perhaps w/o even a beach?) turned into a scrap steel MT-LB personnel carrier with a very low powered drone jammer on top.

2/
There are other, very vital, things missing from this T-62.

The copper cables for the tank intercom have been stripped while it was in storage, before refurbishment, and have not been replaced.

The TC can't talk to the driver!😱

The explosive from the ERA is missing.
3/
Read 14 tweets
Jun 20
The problem the Russians have in the small drone category is their centralized procurement model.

That model can make a lot of any one design.

It is forever behind the observe orient decide act (OODA) loop in terms of innovation

AFU Procurement model🧵
1/
...compared to Ukraine's decentralized/competitive procurement model of drone procurement.

Ukraine is perfectly willing to ignore "Not invented here" to get something right now like this:

2/
A Lithuanian design for Ukraine right now in any numbers beats the politically perfect for the centralized procurement pubahs we see in Russia...

...or the USA or that matter. Which doesn't make much of that one perfect design.

3/

Read 5 tweets
Jun 19
This is Ukrainian FPV drone air superiority...arriving.

It is also represents the complete technological obsolescence of the USMC/US Army C-UAS, M-LIDS & M-SHORAD programs.

1/
Assuming an FPV interceptor is a $1000 a shot because of improved kinematic performance & specialized light weight fragmentation warhead.

Everything you see in photographs below is obsolete from a cost effectiveness perspective.

2/
FPV drones are "disintermediated" from any ground or vehicular infrastructure.

Any flat piece of ground or even a human hand to launch them will do.

3/
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Read 9 tweets
Jun 19
I'm beginning to think a Baba Yaga or some other compound helicopter mothership drone is taking Ukrainian FPV's to altitude for the interceptor role.

FPV's have a limited battery charge.

If they go to 5K or 10K feet height, they can't have much range at intercept altitude.

1/
FPV's berthed under the wing of something like AeroVironment’s JUMP 20 that has a 14 hour endurance and an FPV repeater can "delouse" Ukrainian rear areas of Russian Orlan-10/Zala ISR drones.

2/
Starting at the same or higher altitudes as a Russian Orlan-10/Zala.

These Ukrainian compound helicopter-sailplane mothership drone launched FPV interceptors would have a lot more range than any ground launched FPV.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Jun 17
The issue for any logistical multi-copter is water.

Water is heavy and a soldier needs a minimum of 2 liters of water a day. In heavy combat in high heat/stress environments, soldiers need several times that.

2 liters of H2O masses 4.4 Ld/2kg .

RuAF Drone H20 logistics🧵
1/
Assuming that multicopter drone was airlifting 100 kg of kitted out soldier. It could deliver 50 soldiers worth at minimal daily H2O sustainment.

For the cut off 400 RuAF mobiks at at the Vovchansk Aggregate plant, that is 8 big drone round trips.
2/
Given the nature of Ukrainian drone fighting methods, the airspace over this plant have been filled with grenade dropping and FPV drones.

Any drones the RuAF are using to resupply have to be smaller and faster.

(map H/T @f76pacificator)

3/
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Read 9 tweets
Jun 17
This is a thread of Russian motoblock "Forward Edge Conveyors" (TPC) _MEETING THE DRONE_.

The Russians have been using these TPC for most of the Russo-Ukrainian War.


1/
Read 10 tweets

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