Nigel Farage's claims that the West allegedly provoked the Russian invasion of Ukraine are not coming out of nowhere, and the context behind this picture from a few years ago helps understand his claims. Left: Farage, right: Nadia Borodi (Sass). 1/10
Borodi is originally from Ukraine, and together with her partner Oleh Voloshyn they operated an agent network in Europe on behalf of Ukrainian pro-Russian politician Viktor Medvedchuk. Left: Borodi, right: Voloshyn. 2/10
While still in Ukraine, and when Ukraine still tolerated (mistakenly) agents of Russian influence, both promoted pro-Kremlin politics, and actively used European politicians for their objectives. Here's Borodi with Nicolas Bay of the French National Front/Rally. 3/10
Through Voloshyn/Borodi, Medvedchuk would also cooperate with the German far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD): from left to right, Oleh Voloshyn, Petr Bystron (AfD), Viktor Medvedchuk, Maximilian Krah (AfD) and Ulrich Singer (AfD). 4/10
One special area of interest for Medvedchuk was also the British far right: UKIP/Brexit Party (now Reform UK), and Borodi/Voloshyn actively engaged with members of Nigel Farage's political project: Nathan Gill, David Coburn and Jonathan Arnott. Here's Borodi with Gill. 5/10
Through Voloshyn and Borodi, UKIP/Brexit Party were connected to Viktor Medvedchuk's media projects that were run by Artem Marchevsky. Here's a panel at the European Parliament in Strasbourg in 2019 featuring David Coburn, Nathan Gill, Marchevsky and some others. 6/10
Voloshyn and Borodi fled Ukraine just one month before the beginning of the Russian full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Medvedchuk failed to flee, was arrested and then exchanged for several Ukrainian PoWs. Marchevsky fled Ukraine and somehow settled in Czechia. 7/10
Neither Medvedchuk nor Marchevsky retired from pro-Russian activism. Medvedchuk started cooperating with the Russian Social Design Agency infamous for “Operation Doppelgänger”: 8/10euobserver.com/news/ar53fd9f38
And as we now know, Medvedchuk and Marchevsky set up the Russian front media organisation "Voice of Europe" that was busted by the Czech intelligence earlier this year: 9/10 bbc.com/news/world-eur…
The "Voice of Europe" promotes Eurosceptic politicians, and especially those who voice ideas close to what Farage said about the West, Russia and Ukraine. Given the many connections between Farage's political project and pro-Kremlin operatives, this is hardly surprising. 10/10
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Moscow’s ultimate goal in its war against Ukraine was stated by Putin as early as April 2008 at the Nato summit in Bucharest: the eradication of Ukraine as an independent state and nation. 1/8
The Kremlin envisions to achieve the first part of its aim by dismantling Ukraine, annexing most of it into Russia, and leaving the barely functional remnants to neighbouring European countries with historical ties to those regions. 2/8
Poland would be offered Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk, and Volyn regions; Hungary – Transcarpathia; and Romania – Bukovina and Southern Bessarabia. In fact, Russian officials have already made some of these offers. 3/8
It's relatively straightforward to anticipate the political warfare tactics Russia might employ against the West. The key lies in understanding the tactics Russia believes the West is using against it. Russia feels justified in "returning the favour" – in other words, it often mirrors the actions it perceives the West is directing toward it, responding in kind based on what it considers hostile practices. 1/5
The Putin regime believes that Western nations are interfering in Russian internal politics, supporting opposition leaders and influencers, anti-governmental protests, and media and NGOs critical of the Kremlin to foster unrest. In a “reverse-engineering” mode, Russia is supporting all Western-based stakeholders that challenge the mainstream authorities. 2/5
The Kremlin believes the West conducts propaganda and disinformation campaigns to tarnish Russia’s image internationally, blaming it for various global issues and spreading anti-Russian narratives. Russia does and will continuing doing exactly what it accuses the West of doing. 3/5
A quick take on the Georgian parliamentary elections the day after: the situation, I’m afraid, looks desperate. 1/13
The pro-regime exit poll gave the lead to the ruling pro-Russian and anti-Western “Georgian Dream” party run by the richest Georgian oligarch Bidzina Ivanishvili (56.1%), while the two exit polls commissioned by two pro-democratic TV stations projected a victory of the potential coalition of several pro-Western parties. 2/13
Objectively, none of the three exit-polls can be fully trusted. However, the official results of the elections are in favour of the Bidzina regime (53.92%). 3/13
While I am generally supportive of the idea of offering NATO membership to Ukraine without including territories outside of Kyiv's sustainable control under the Article 5 umbrella, I think we should be honest to ourselves: if that, indeed, happens, Ukraine will unlikely ever re-gain those territories in any foreseeable future. 1/10
The reason why the above-mentioned security arrangement cannot be called "a divided Germany scenario" lies in the conceptual difference between the Soviet occupation of parts of Germany and Russian occupation of parts of Ukraine. 2/10
The Soviet occupation of East Germany was predominantly a traditional case of occupation despite the Soviet efforts at long-term ideological transformation. The Russian occupation of parts of Ukraine, however, dramatically diverges from classical cases of occupation, as it is underpinned by the genocidal intentions. 3/10
Earlier this month, Italian cities saw a pro-Russian billboard campaign: “Russia is not our enemy” was written on billboards that also depicted an Italy-Russia handshake. The billboards also called on stopping to provide money for “weapons for Ukraine and Israel”. 1/15
Ukraine’s Embassy in Italy responded quickly to the campaign saying that it was “deeply concerned by the arrogance of Russian propaganda” in Rome and asking the Rome authorities “to reconsider granting permits for such posters that have a clear purpose of rehabilitating the image of the aggressor state” 2/15
CNN alleged that an Italian group called “Sovranità Popolare” (Popular Sovereignty) was behind the campaign (), but the group itself – although avowedly pro-Russian – denied it was responsible for the campaign: 3/15edition.cnn.com/2024/09/13/eur… sovranitapopolare.org/2024/09/25/gue…
A brief comment on the FT recent piece on Michel Houellebecq. First, a quote. 1/6
When I read "Submission" - knowing that it was considered controversial - I actually could not understand why it was seen as such. I myself thought it was some artsy porn tinged with parlour political conversations - a sort of a pale, hollowed-up version of revolutionary porn of Marquis de Sade. 2/6
Of course, Houellebecq saw "Submission" - with its political context of an Islamist takeover of France - as a novel discussing "the hypocrisy of 'the moral Left'" that submitted to Islamisation. 3/6