Joni Askola Profile picture
Jun 26, 2024 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1/10 The dispatch of north korean troops to support russia in its genocide in Ukraine exposes the grim truth about russia's faltering invasion and also highlights the inadequacy of Western escalation management. Image
2/10 There are rumors that north korea plans to deploy an engineering unit to Donetsk to aid russia in its unsuccessful invasion and genocide of Ukraine. Image
3/10 If verified, this demonstrates yet another dismal symbolic setback for russia, as it appears incapable of invading Ukraine without direct military intervention from its allies. Even with such support, its prospects for success seem bleak. Image
4/10 This underscores the complete failure of Western appeasement toward russia, a development that should not come as a surprise to anyone. russia's allies, including china, have continued to escalate their support for russia. Image
5/10 South Korea and Japan should urgently reconsider their policies and begin providing military assistance to Ukraine in response. Image
6/10 north korean troops should also compel the West to take action by increasing aid to Ukraine and lifting restrictions. Image
7/10 The use of north korean troops and ballistic missiles by russia should be sufficient to compel the West to remove all restrictions on matters such as deep strikes inside russian territory. Such action would be only equitable. Image
8/10 russia is on track to lose the war in Ukraine. The only potential game-changer would be a direct intervention by russia's allies, coupled with substantial material support from china. Image
9/10 The West must revise its strategy to prevent this outcome, and if it occurs, it will need to significantly increase its efforts. Image

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More from @joni_askola

Nov 18
1/13 Could Europe defeat Russia in a real war?

On paper yes. In reality, we are not ready.

Power without readiness is weakness.

Here is why Europe would struggle and what must change to deter Russia before it is too late🧵 Image
2/13 The problem is not just weapons.

Europe is behind not only in unmanned warfare, but also in coordination between public institutions, industry, and citizens.

Infrastructure and societal resilience matter as much as tanks and missiles Image
3/13 Europe has everything it needs to beat Russia: huge population, strong economies, advanced industry, innovation, and allies.

On paper, we should easily outmatch Russia. Yet if war started tomorrow, we would struggle and struggle for a long time before turning things around Image
Read 13 tweets
Nov 17
1/7 The Trump–Vance war is being fought behind the scenes.

What would a Vance victory mean for US policy?

He is even worse and more dangerous than Trump ⬇️ Image
2/7 This fight is unfolding in private meetings, donor networks, and media ecosystems that most people never see.

Vance’s backers/owners Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, and their associates are leveraging the Epstein files in an effort to sideline Trump and elevate Vance before 2028 Image
3/7 Trump was always just a stepping stone.

He is old, unpopular, and tainted by Epstein files.

They need to avoid being stained by him. That is why Vance stays silent on Epstein emails Image
Read 7 tweets
Nov 16
1/5 The Trump–Vance war has started.

Who will win? ⬇️ Image
2/5 Trump is not just fighting Democrats.

He is fighting an internal war against his own VP Vance and the billionaires who put him there. Vance is backed and owned by Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, and their circle.

They picked him as Trump’s VP for one reason: to make him president Image
3/5 To Thiel and Musk, Trump is a stepping stone. They needed him to open the door to power.

Now that Trump is old and unpopular, they need him gone as fast as possible.

Every day he stays weakens and stains Vance. They want time to make Vance popular before 2028 Image
Read 5 tweets
Nov 16
1/5 Russia was cocky and will pay for it.

It started the war with tons of air defense interceptors and batteries.

Now Ukraine’s deep-strike campaign is draining them fast.

Russia even wasted S-300 interceptors by firing them as ground-to-ground missiles at civilians ⬇ Image
2/5 Those S-300 interceptors were meant to protect Russia’s skies.

Instead, Russia burned through them hitting apartment blocks.

Now Ukraine’s drones and missiles are striking refineries and depots.

Russia is running out of the interceptors it desperately needs Image
3/5 Ukraine’s deep-strike strategy is working.

Every refinery hit forces Russia to scramble for air defense. Every drone swarm costs Russia interceptors it cannot replace fast enough.

Russia will try to ramp up production, but it will not be enough Image
Read 5 tweets
Nov 14
1/5 Getting rid of Trump would be great. But his VP JD Vance? Even worse!

Authoritarian, isolationist, pro-Russian, owned by dangerous foreign-born billionaires, and obsessed with anti-democracy ideas.

Here’s why Vance is more dangerous than Trump👇 Image
2/5 Trump is impulsive and transactional.

Vance is calculated. He said he would refuse to certify an election if he thought the media was “unfair.”

That’s not bluster. It’s a blueprint to replace rule of law with rule of bad men Image
3/5 Vance has reinvented himself repeatedly: born James Donald Bowman, became James David Hamel, then JD Vance. Three legal name changes. Who does that? Who is JD Vance?

Opportunism isn’t skin-deep. It’s his core. He will say anything to climb higher Image
Read 5 tweets
Nov 14
1/7 Something basic yet crucial to understand about the war in Ukraine: Invading and defending are not the same.

Russia, the invader, will lose. Ukraine, the defender, will win.

Here’s why👇 Image
2/7 Too many think war is like a football game with equal objectives. Wrong.

The invader loses if it fails to conquer. The defender loses if it fails to protect.

Different objectives, different stakes Image
3/7 It is much easier to defend than to attack. History proves it.

Powerful armies often fail against smaller defenders: Finland vs USSR in the Winter War, Afghanistan vs USSR, and now Ukraine vs Russia Image
Read 7 tweets

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