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Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
@TheStudyofWar
Jun 27 • 3 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Russian forces recently advanced northeast of Kupyansk amid continued Russian offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line on June 26.

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2/ Ukraine’s pervasive shortage of critical air defense missiles is inhibiting Ukraine’s ability to protect its critical infrastructure against Russian strikes. Image
2/ Russia and Iran signed a memorandum on June 26 regarding the supply of Russian gas to Iran, following reported disagreements between Russia and the People's Republic of China (PRC) on the Russian supply of gas to the PRC. isw.pub/UkrWar062624
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More from @TheStudyofWar

Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Jun 29
NEW: Putin directed the production and deployment of nuclear-capable short- and intermediate-range missiles, likely as part of the Kremlin's ongoing reflexive control campaign to influence Western decision making in Russia's favor. (🧵1/5)Image
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2/ Putin attended a Russian Security Council meeting in which he claimed that Russia had vowed to uphold the INF's provisions against producing or deploying intermediate-range ground-based missiles until the United States violated these provisions and that Russia must now also produce and deploy such systems.
3/ The United States withdrew from the INF treaty in 2019 due to Russian violations of the treaty with its development, testing, and deployment of intermediate-range 9M729 (SSC-8) missiles, and Russia suspended its participation in the INF in response.
Read 5 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Jun 26
NEW: Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei expressed foreign and nuclear policy views on June 25 that closely align with ultraconservative hardline presidential candidate Saeed Jalili’s views, possibly indicating that Khamenei endorses Jalili in the upcoming election. Khamenei’s views also signal the supreme leader’s opposition to reformist candidate Masoud Pezeshkian. 🧵(1/6)
2/ Gaza Strip: Israel assesses that it will complete the intense phase of ground operation in the Gaza Strip within a few days. Hamas will very likely exploit the Israeli raid system to reconstitute its combat units and reassert its governing authority across the Gaza Strip. Image
3/ Hamas is disrupting Israeli efforts to create nascent governing authorities that exclude Hamas’ political wing. Hamas reportedly killed two clan leaders in the central and southern Gaza Strip as part of this effort.
Read 6 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Jun 25
NEW: Ukrainian forces recently regained lost positions in Vovchansk in northern Kharkiv Oblast, and Russian forces recently advanced near Siversk and Avdiivka in Donetsk Oblast.

Two major international bodies—the International Criminal Court (ICC) and the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) — announced decisions on June 25 confirming Russia's long-term perpetration of war crimes and human rights violations in Ukraine.

More Key Takeaways ⬇️🧵(1/7)Image
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2/ Russia and Venezuela signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) aimed at countering "coercive measures," likely to demonstrate to the West that the Kremlin holds influence in the Western hemisphere.
3/ Ukrainian forces conducted a drone strike on a Russian ammunition depot in Voronezh Oblast on June 25 and recently conducted strikes on Pantsir-S1 air defense systems in Belgorod Oblast with unspecified weapons.
Read 7 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Jun 24
Additional key takeaways 🧵(1/5):

Russian forces recently seized Shumy, southeast of Toretsk, and advanced near Donetsk City and Robotyne.Image
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2/ The Russian MoD accused Ukrainian forces of conducting a short-range ATACMS strike against occupied Sevastopol on June 23.

Russian milbloggers widely criticized the Russian MoD and Russia’s occupation authorities in Crimea for failing to prevent the strike and sufficiently protect Russian civilians.
3/ Ukrainian forces struck a Russian motorized rifle regiment command post in Nekhoteevka, Belgorod Oblast.

Recent drone footage showing a Russian soldier executing a wounded fellow servicemember exemplifies the brutal culture that is pervasive within the Russian Armed Forces.
Read 5 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Jun 23
NEW: Hamas appears to be accelerating its reconstitution effort in the Gaza Strip by beginning to regenerate its forces through recruitment. Hamas appears to be successfully reconstituting itself militarily and politically in areas where the IDF is no longer present. 🧵(1/5)
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2/ Israeli forces have engaged Palestinian fighters in at least four locations in the West Bank since CTP-ISW's last data cutoff on June 22. Image
3/ Lebanese Hezbollah has conducted at least six attacks into northern Israel since CTP-ISW's last data cutoff on June 22. Image
Read 6 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Jun 23
NEW: Russian forces appear to be intensifying the tempo of their offensive operations in Donetsk Oblast while decreasing the rate of attacks in northern Kharkiv Oblast — consistent with ISW's assessment that Russian offensive operations in Kharkiv Oblast are primarily intended to fix and distract Ukrainian forces in order to allow Russian forces to intensify elsewhere in the theater. 🧵(1/8)Image
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2/ Russian forces intensified assaults in the Toretsk-Horlivka direction (SW of Chasiv Yar and NE of Avdiivka) on the night of June 18 and maintained a relatively high rate of attacks in this area between June 19-22, reportedly making several tactical gains in the area.
3/ Russian forces have been generally inactive on this sector of the front throughout the course of 2024, so their activation and intensification are noteworthy.
Read 8 tweets

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