Thread by @dolphin_dane

The Big Eurovision Prediction Survey 2025 - Participants results thread 🧵

In this thread I will reveal the results of the survey, including the average participation chance and most likely artists to represent each country, all based on your predictions. I will be going from least to most likely participating country

Overall, you predict an average of 36.46 countries participating. You have 32 countries with a chance over 80%, 10 under 20% and 11 somewhere in the middle. For 44/53 countries, you have submitted enough artist predictions for me to compile an overall top

53. MOROCCO:
Participation chance: 0.46%
Not enough artist predictions

52. RUSSIA:
Participation chance: 0.58%
Not enough artist predictions

51. BELARUS:
Participation chance: 1.24%
Not enough artist predictions

50. TURKEY:
Participation chance: 4.33%
Not enough artist predictions

49. HUNGARY:
Participation chance: 4.99%
Top artist predictions:
1. Andras Kallay-Saunders
2. Leander Kills
3. Azahriah
4. Adam Szabo
5. Orsovai Reni

48. SLOVAKIA:
Participation chance: 5.16%
Not enough artist predictions

47. ANDORRA:
Participation chance: 6.09%
Top artist predictions:
1. Susanne Georgi
2. Siderland
3. Nicoleta Sava
4. Julieta
5. Sofia Coll

46. KAZAKHSTAN:
Participation chance: 8.91%
Not enough artist predictions

45. BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA:
Participation chance: 11.51%
Not enough artist predictions

44. LIECHTENSTEIN:
Participation chance: 14.07%
Not enough artist predictions

43. BULGARIA:
Participation chance: 22.52%
Top artist predictions:
1. Victoria
2. Poli Genova
3. Dara
4. Dara Ekimova
5. Alma

42. KOSOVO:
Participation chance: 25.16%
Top artist predictions:
1. La Fazani
2. Angus Dei
3. Rona Nishliu
4. Bana Zahiti
5. Luan Durmishi

41. MONACO:
Participation chance: 29.64%
Top artist predictions:
1. Charles Leclerc
2. Severine
3. Jenifer
4. Josh Stanley
5. George Clooney

40. MONTENEGRO:
Participation chance: 30.64%
Top artist predictions:
1. Enisa
2. Ivana Popović-Martinović
3. Who See
4. Rambo Amadeus
5. Nina Zizic

39. ROMANIA:
Participation chance: 33.96%
Top artist predictions:
1. Dora Gaitanovici
2. Andrei Duțu
3. Aledaida
4. Wrs
5. E-an-na

38. NORTH MACEDONIA:
Participation chance: 44.84%
Top artist predictions:
1. Lara Ivanova
2. Antonia Gigovska
3. Bobi Andonov
4. Daniel Kajmakovski
5. Tamara Todevska

37. CZECHIA:
Participation chance: 64.42%
Top artist predictions:
1. Pam Rabbit
2. MYDY
3. Elly
4. Elis Mraz
5. Barbora Mochowa

36. NETHERLANDS:
Participation chance: 68.6%
Top artist predictions:
1. Joost Klein
2. Numidia
3. Froukje
4. Ilse DeLange
5. Bente

35. ISRAEL:
Participation chance: 73.16%
Not enough artist predictions

34. SAN MARINO:
Participation chance: 77.36%
Top artist predictions:
1. Senhit
2. XGiove
3. Valentina Monetta
4. Serhat
5. Le Deva

33. AUSTRALIA:
Participation chance: 78.43%
Top artist predictions:
1. Jaguar Jonze
2. Sheppard
3. Dami Im
4. Casey Donovan
5. Charley

32. MOLDOVA:
Participation chance: 80.09%
Top artist predictions:
1. Aliona Moon
2. SunStroke Project
3. Lidia Isac
4. Valeria Pasha
5. Zdob si Zdub

31. GEORGIA:
Participation chance: 85.73%
Top artist predictions:
1. Bedford Falls
2. Lizi Japaridze
3. Iru
4. Nini Badurashvili
5. Tamta

30. AZERBAIJAN:
Participation chance: 87.13%
Top artist predictions:
1. Aisel
2. Mila Miles
3. Alizade
4. Mamagama
5. Emy Lia

29. ICELAND:
Participation chance: 89.18%
Top artist predictions:
1. Sigga Ózk
2. Bashar Murad
3. Hatari
4. Fridrik Omar
5. Reykjavíkurdætur

28. ARMENIA:
Participation chance: 89.25%
Top artist predictions:
1. Malena
2. Meghu
3. Parg
4. Athena Manoukian
5. Iveta Mukuchyan

27. LATVIA:
Participation chance: 89.55%
Top artist predictions:
1. Aminata Savadogo
2. Vēstulēs
3. Marcus Riva
4. Patrisha
5. Citi Zēni

26. SLOVENIA:
Participation chance: 89.99%
Top artist predictions:
1. Luma
2. July Jones
3. Maja Keuc
4. BQL
5. Klara Jazbec

25. NORWAY:
Participation chance: 93.77%
Top artist predictions:
1. Keiino
2. Ulrikke
3. Elsie Bay
4. Gaute Ormåsen
5. Miia

24. IRELAND:
Participation chance: 93.92%
Top artist predictions:
1. Ailsha
2. Jedward
3. Connolly
4. Cmat
5. Erica Cody

23. MALTA:
Participation chance: 94.52%
Top artist predictions:
1. Matt Blxck
2. Aidan
3. Ryan Hili
4. Brooke
5. Denise

22. LUXEMBOURG:
Participation chance: 94.98%
Top artist predictions:
1. Krick
2. CHAILD
3. Naomi Aye
4. Joel Marques Cunha
5. Edsun

21. POLAND:
Participation chance: 95.79%
Top artist predictions:
1. Jann
2. Alicja
3. Justyna
4. Dominik Dudek
5. Margaret

20. PORTUGAL:
Participation chance: 96.35%
Top artist predictions:
1. Edmundo Inácio
2. Ivandro
3. João Borsch
4. Barbara Bandeira
5. Claudia Pascoal

19. SERBIA:
Participation chance: 96.41%
Top artist predictions:
1. Zorja
2. Sara Jo
3. Teodora
4. Filip Balos
5. Breskvica

18. UKRAINE:
Participation chance: 96.63%
Top artist predictions:
1. KRUTЬ
2. Khayat
3. TUCHA
4. YAGODY
5. Artem Pivovarov

17. ALBANIA:
Participation chance: 96.71%
Top artist predictions:
1. Elvana Gjata
2. Elsa Lila
3. Arilena Ara
4. Mal Retkoceri
5. Inis Neziri

16. FINLAND:
Participation chance: 96.82%
Top artist predictions:
1. Bess
2. Sara Siipola
3. Erika Vikman
4. Kuumaa
5. Cyan Kicks

15. CYPRUS:
Participation chance: 96.84%
Top artist predictions:
1. Evangelia
2. Ivi Adamou
3. Josephine
4. Eleni Foureira
5. Loukas Giourkas

14. BELGIUM:
Participation chance: 97.04%
Top artist predictions:
1. Chérine
2. Gala Dragot
3. Pommelien Thijs
4. Maksim Stojanac
5. The Starlings

13. DENMARK:
Participation chance: 97.19%
Top artist predictions:
1. Nicklas Sonne
2. Eyjaa
3. Emmelie De Forest
4. Andreas Odbjerg
5. Basim

12. LITHUANIA:
Participation chance: 97.29%
Top artist predictions:
1. Monika Marija
2. Shower
3. Moniqué
4. Gebrasy
5. Jessica Shy

11. GREECE:
Participation chance: 97.36%
Top artist predictions:
1. Evangelia
2. Josephine
3. Anastasia
4. Marina Spanou
5. Eleni Foureira

10. ESTONIA:
Participation chance: 97.5%
Top artist predictions:
1. Ollie
2. Tommy Cash
3. Ant Nurhan
4. Sissi
5. Cecilia

9. ITALY:
Participation chance: 98.2%
Top artist predictions:
1. Annalisa
2. La Rappresentante di Lista
3. Geolier
4. Tananai
5. Madame

8. AUSTRIA:
Participation chance: 98.26%
Top artist predictions:
1. Anger
2. Aut of Orda
3. Teya
4. Cesar Sampson
5. Julia Steen

7. CROATIA:
Participation chance: 98.34%
Top artist predictions:
1. Damir Kedžo
2. Let 3
3. Zsa Zsa
4. Mia Negovetić
5. Marko Bošniak

6. SPAIN:
Participation chance: 98.59%
Top artist predictions:
1. Agoney
2. Rigoberta Bandini
3. Vicco
4. Angy Fernandez
5. Tanxugueiras

5. UNITED KINGDOM:
Participation chance: 98.91%
Top artist predictions:
1. Rina Sawayama
2. Rebecca Ferguson
3. Tom Grennan
4. Birdy
5. London Grammar

4. GERMANY:
Participation chance: 99.17%
Top artist predictions:
1. Electric Callboy
2. Felicia Lu
3. Ryk
4. Gregor Hägele
5. Madeline Juno

3. FRANCE:
Participation chance: 99.23%
Top artist predictions:
1. Santa
2. Yseult
3. Anne Sila
4. Maëlle
5. Izïa

2. SWEDEN:
Participation chance: 99.59%
Top artist predictions:
1. Smash Into Pieces
2. Maria Sur
3. Medina
4. Liamoo
5. Dotter

1. SWITZERLAND:
Participation chance: 99.82%
Top artist predictions:
1. Nuit Incolore
2. Gjon’s Tears
3. Lo & Leduc
4. Priya Ragu
5. Cha Da Fö

And that's all! Throughout the 2025 season, I will issue a series of surveys, with the goal of predicting the outcome of the contest. Fill out this brief survey to have the upcoming surveys/results of their simulations send directly to you
forms.gle/oZRt3qbvsnHTC2…

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