Clément Molin Profile picture
Jul 3, 2024 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
🎉Vous êtes 20 000 à me suivre !

Alors je vous propose quelques cartes pour détailler ce thread d'hier en vous remerciant pour vos retours !

🧵10 mars 2022, oblasts de Kiev, Soumy et Tchernihiv, nord de l'Ukraine 🇺🇦 1/9⬇️
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Carte générale du front nord le 10 mars 2022. L'armée Russe contrôle les routes principales, évite les villes sous contrôle sois de l'armée ukrainienne, soit des civils de la défense territoriale + forces locales (police).
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Au nord est, peu ou pas de résistance Ukrainienne. Konotop, Mena et Hloukhiv sont sous le contrôle des civils qui refusent l'entrée de l'armée Russe qui prend soin de contourner ces villes.

Incertitude pour Chotska et Krolovets.
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Autour de Tchernihiv et Nizhin, la 1ère brigade de chars, en partie encerclée résiste avec la 117ème brigade de défense territoriale de Tchernihiv.

Les principaux combats se déroulent au sud de Tchernihiv, l'armée Russe tente d'encercler la ville.
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Entre Prylouky et Nizhyn, les unités de la 1ère armée de tanks de la garde ont percé les défenses à al jonction de la 58ème brigade motorisée et de la première brigade de chars autour du 3 mars 2022.
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Devant Kiev, les unités Russes fatiguées par un voyage de 400km, des combats permanents contre les FS Ukrainiennes et la bataille de ralentissement va se confronter à la 72ème brigade mécanisée qui les attends.
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Plus à l'est, à la frontière de l'oblast de Poltava, les unités Ukrainiennes mettent la pression sur les routes le long d'une ligne Prylouky-Romny-Hadiatch-Orkhtyrka.
La résistance se poursuit à Leybedine et Soumy.
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Tout cela évidemment dans la perspective de la première véritable contre offensive de la guerre lorsque la 93ème brigade mécanisée repousse les Russes de Trostianets et libère Soumy de l'encerclement dans le prochain thread.
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Je vais améliorer cette carte pour avoir une idée précise de l'ordre de bataille autour du 10-15 mars, lors de l'avancée maximale de l'armée Russe.

Merci à ceux qui me suivent depuis peu et ceux qui me suivent depuis le début !
9/9 Image

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More from @clement_molin

Jun 11
Last night, multiple Ukrainian 🇺🇦 units hit the bridges leading to Crimea, further isolating the peninsula from the land bridge to Russia 🇷🇺

At the same time, strike campaign continues on multiple key roads, with over 375 vehicles and trucks hit since early May.

🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️Image
Crimea is connected with southern occupied Ukraine by multiple key bridges.

The one in Chonhar was hit few days ago by multiple drones, which forced the russians to put up a pontoon bridge for their road traffic.
At least 3 bridges have been recently hit. The one in Henichesk, the ones in Armyansk and in Stavky.

As we can see on the video, these strikes are putting holes in the middle of those key bridges. Any consolidation attempt will probably be hit. Image
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Read 13 tweets
Jun 7
Ukraine 🇺🇦 continues its massive mid-range strike campaign against russian 🇷🇺 logistics.

Since early May, more than 290 russian trucks and vehicles have been hit. I have now mapped 210 strikes since january.

🧵THREAD🧵1/14 ⬇️ Image
The strike campaign is guided by multiple units, using a large veriety of drones.

The backbone of it are the FP-1/2 strikes on key logistics hubs, mainly oil/fuel depots, trains, gas stations, electric substations and rear bases.

Those strikes are often guided with AI. Image
The latest video recently published showcased some strikes around Melitopol (few missed) with Hornet drones.

Interestlingly, everything is not blurred, which helps understanding how they are using those drones.
Read 16 tweets
Jun 5
In southern Ukraine 🇺🇦, Russian 🇷🇺 forces continue their offensive from Hulialpole to Orikhiv, a strategic town

I mapped more than 1 400 Russian airstrikes, supporting multiple offensive axes in May, while Ukraine nearly finished its fortifications.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️ Image
In May 2026, Russia conducted 7 486 airstrikes, I managed to locate 52% of those.

18% of those strikes are targeting ukrainian positions near Hulialpole. We can add as well 6% of related airstrikes in Novopavlivka and Zaporizhzhia areas. Image
These airstrikes have a very surprising precision (much more than elsewhere on the front), primarily targeting treelines and villages, where soldiers and drone teams are hiding. Image
Read 16 tweets
Jun 4
Ukraine 🇺🇦 continues to launch an important number of mid-range strike, targeting Russian 🇷🇺 logistics in occupied territories

Since early may, more than 270 trucks have been hit, together with multiple fuel depots and trains.

🧵THREAD🧵1/14 ⬇️ Image
In total, Ukraine 🇺🇦 striked around 270 trucks and vehicles more than 20km from the frontline since early may.

I still need to add earlier proofs, but this number is probably closer to 350-400 confirmed losses this year. Image
This strike campaign is only started, progressively scaling. Drones are primarly targeting key roads as well as fuel trucks in occupied territories.

In Crimea, a widespread fuel penury is ongoing after Ukraine's repeated strikes. Image
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Image
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Read 14 tweets
May 31
Did Nikol Pashinyan save Armenia 🇦🇲 from disappearing?

One week before historic parliamentary elections in which he leads the polls, the outgoing prime minister defends his record.

Russian 🇷🇺 interference in the country has been increasing recently.

🧵THREAD🧵1/19 ⬇️ Image
In 2018, a popular uprising erupted in Armenia after President Serzh Sargsyan circumvented the constitution to secure his re-election as prime minister.

Riding the wave of the Velvet Revolution, Nikol Pashinyan arrived with a promise: to reduce corruption and the influence of the oligarchs.Image
The country's independence in 1991 came amidst pogroms and war with Azerbaijan. Backed by Moscow, Yerevan and the Nagorno-Karabakh separatists won the war and established the separatist Republic of Artsakh.

This republic encompassed the territories of Nagorno-Karabakh, as well as the surrounding areas, historically home to approximately one million Azerbaijanis and Kurds, who were expelled and forced to live in overcrowded Baku for years. Azerbaijan was humiliated.Image
Read 19 tweets
May 29
Since the year started, Ukraine 🇺🇦 launched more than 1 000 mid-range drone strikes (only geolocated ones).

The intensification of strikes against russian 🇷🇺 logistics (150 vehicles, 30 trains, 400 warehouses) is a real game-changer in the war.

🧵THREAD🧵1/24 ⬇️Image
The ukrainian mid-range drone strike is quite recent. It started at the end of last year and quickly intensified in 2026.

Ukraine is using :
🔹Big fixed wings drones : FP-1/2
🔹Small fixed wings drones : Hornet/Bulava/RAM X...
🔹Short/Long range FPV.

Here 2 Hornet on a truck :
In total, I gathered more than 1 000 geolocations since january 2026 (sources provided at the end of the thread).

35% of the strikes hit depots and warehouses (we don't know what is inside most of the time). 20% hit vehicles and 7% hit air-defense. Image
Read 24 tweets

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