arctotherium Profile picture
Jul 7 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Very strongly disagree. I don't think class is a very important point of conflict today (race >> sex/age >> class), but to the extent it is, the upper-middle class (say 80th-99th percentile) has a lot to benefit from RW politics. First, Affirmative Action screws this group.
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Second, Asian immigration. Asian immigrants mostly compete with this group, and have driven an extreme (and much lamented) intensification of the education rat race in the 21st century. Restricting it (needed for political reasons anyways) would greatly benefit the UMC.
Third, income tax - this group makes a lot of money, but it's mostly income, not capital gains, and thus it suffers a lot from America's extremely progressive taxation system. Image
Fourth, city living. Good government (meaning punishing criminals and having basic infrastructure work) is very important to making cities livable. The UMC can get around these problems by forking over $$$, but would benefit a lot from basic tough-on-crime policy.
If anything, I would say the UMC has the most to gain, materially, from right-wing politics, though the least to gain socially (since social breakdown, while very much present, is much more under control than in the rest of the country).
The big exception here is those elements of the UMC that work for the government, directly or indirectly (NGOs, regulation-created jobs, education system). This is a big group, but someone who wants society to work can't appeal to rent-seekers through their material interests.

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More from @arctotherium42

Mar 19
Book thread on "Into the Cannibal's Pot", written in 2011 (pre-Great Awokening) on post-apartheid South Africa and its relevance to America, by the daughter of an important anti-apartheid activist. Image
Mercer directly compares the ethnic transformation of America via Hart-Celler to the turnover of the state to the ANC in South Africa. Same process, just slower. She is very hostile to both Hart-Celler and Civil Rights.
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The book is full of incredibly vicious crime stories. One of reminded of how over-the-top horrific black-on-white crimes in the US tend to be. Image
Read 32 tweets
Mar 14
Book thread on "The Billionaire's Apprentice," by Anita Raghavan, an Indian-American journalist. It chronicles the rise and fall of three-time McKinsey director and Goldman-Sachs board member Rajat Gupta and billionaire hedge fund manager Raj Rajaratnam. (1/n) Image
Raghavan refers to Rajat's generation as the "twice-blessed," benefitting from both the end of the Raj and the passing of the Hart-Celler act of 1965, which allowed them to escape their newly independent homeland and come to the US instead, where they quickly rose to the top.
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The book spends some time chronicling the ethnic divisions in NY finance and business. There was a WASP ethnic clique and a Jewish one, and the newly arriving Indians quickly set up their own. The usual process was firms beginning to hire Indians to get a leg up on...
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Read 14 tweets
Feb 5
Book thread on @peterbrimelow's Alien Nation. This book was published in 1995, but unfortunately it is still relevant almost 30 years later. If anything, it was too optimistic. Image
It is not just illegal immigration that is out of control; legal immigration is too. Immigration is in effect an imitation civil right, extended indefinitely to a group of foreigners selected arbitrarily and without regard to American interests. Image
Many other issues (crime, healthcare, education) have an unspoken immigration dimension.

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Read 52 tweets
Sep 16, 2023
Sean Last has correctly pointed out that Ellis Islander assimilation is mostly a myth, at least politically. When looking at white ethnic groups, generally only the traditionally Protestant ones are majority (R). Image
But was a simple partisanship analysis misses is that this is basically a consequence of the Mean Voter Theorem. Whites are still a supermajority of US voters, so the dividing line between parties is among generally leftish white ethnic groups.
If you look at political views (specifically: govt redistribution, free speech, gun ownership, govt regulation, and postmaterialist values), rather than partisanship, there is a clear clustering of white ethnic groups. Image
Read 5 tweets
Sep 8, 2023
Murder rates are often used as proxies for crime rates in international and cross-temporal comparisons because murder definition/reporting is consistent. Other crimes like rape (definition creep) or theft (goes unreported if not likely to be punished) don't have this property.
However, medical advances (both in terms of technique and access) have a massive effect on murder rate. Injuries that would kill someone in 1950 are usually treatable today, with huge improvement since the Vietnam war. The gap with pre ~WW2 (before antibiotics!) is even larger. Image
Note that "improved medical care" doesn't just cover medical tech; transportation and communication improvements are also very important. Getting to the hospital fast leads to massive difference in survival rates. Presumably ubiquitous cell phones make this even quicker today.
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Read 15 tweets
Dec 27, 2022
The idea that Europeans are generally politically to the left of Americans because of American occupation seems quite wrong. The most infamously leftist country in the world is Sweden, never occupied.
The actual occupation governments, set up shortly after WW2 by the Americans, tended to be quite right-wing, conservative, and anticommunist (without much in the way of "social liberalism" either).
The postwar Labour-governed UK was famously more leftist then most of Western Europe or the US. I won't deny that the UK was extremely in hock to USG at this point, but Labour was not imposed by USG and their ideas/personnel predated WW2 and had continuity w/ UK, not so much US.
Read 7 tweets

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