Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jul 8 10 tweets 3 min read Read on X
The idea that:

"Camouflage will save Artillery from drones” just got hit in the breach block.

Quadcopter drones can stalk you through trees and brush like a mine carrying suicidal infantryman that can fly.

Drone War HR🧵
1/
There is no such thing as cover or dead ground for infantry, artillery, or armor to hide from FPV drones.

"Cover" consists of actively sensing if you are in radio line of sight of an operational drone.


2/
"Every ground combat soldier an electronic warfare operator" is where we are going in the next three years.

The human resource implications of this transformation for Western armies are devastating.

3/
Essentially current Western army flag ranks are like 1914 horse cavalry generals transported to the 1980's.

Everything they knew in terms of combat experience, institutional training and budget politics is negative value added in this new drone combat paradigm.

4/
Captains and below in the officer corps are both young and flexible enough to adapt to the new reality.

Major through full Colonel will be one of three things:

Adaptable;
Useless dead weight;
Actively negative value added.

5/
The centuries long institutional advantages of Western militaries in generating ground combat power at intercontinental distance are gone until the new Electronic Warfare skills set are generated from private to flag rank.

6/
Current Western ground combat flag ranks ability to adapt to the the new radio-electronic combat drone paradigm rivals that of the Chief executive of Arianespace 10 years ago to adapt to the oncoming SpaceX reusable rocket paradigm.

7/
Technologically incompetent senior leadership happens when shifts in technology arrive.

We saw it with horse cavalry and battleships versus machine guns and carrier dive bombers.

We are seeing it now with reusable orbital rockets and drones.
8/

Image
Image
Image
Only defeat, bankruptcy or outside intervention can cure the problem.

Western political elites would have to choose wisely to accomplish that outside intervention.🙄

So I'm placing my bets of a Vietnam class defeat being required to make this drone combat change.

9/9
@threadreaderapp unroll please

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Trent Telenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TrentTelenko

Jul 8
White smoke is gasoline.

Black smoke is jet fuel.

This was Ukrainian inflatable MIG-29 decoy whose gasoline generator fuel tank blew up.

Reading the smoke is not just for Catholics🧵
1/
This is a stock jet fuel fire image from a fire fighting exercise, note the black smoke.

2/ Image
A gasoline station station fuel pumps burning makes white smoke.

Smoke color means things, even if you are not Catholic.
3/3 Image
Read 4 tweets
Jul 7
@secretsqrl123 has gotten a lot of guff because he called out the sub-standard Russian potable water logistics into Kherson.

The people doing so are demonstrating their H20 logistical incompetence.

I did a 'net search on "Desert Hydration" that found this chart⬇️

H2O🧵
1/
Image
That military chart came from the article at the link.

It gives you an idea exactly how bad a logistical situation the Russians are in with potable water in Kherson.

You need 19 liters of H2O working at 43 Deg. C, which is 109 deg. in freedom units.

2/
outdoorhub.com/how-to/2011/06…
Image
The crossover ambient temperature that causes a doubling of potable water requirements is 38 deg. C or 101 deg. in freedom units.

You go from 1/2 a liter of water a an hour to one liter an hour to function.

@secretsqrl123 was low balling by talking 4 liters a day for 100K.
3/ Image
Read 16 tweets
Jul 5
Oh heck yes, AFU is hunting Russian H2O trucks! ⬇️

@secretsqrl123 has sussed out the Russian potable water supply chain and it involves a thrown together bubba engineering with palletized IBC containers used by restaurants for vegetable oil.

Russian H2O supply chain🧵

1/
This is an ICB container.⬇️

Six were on that Russian truck.

Likely they were man-handled onto the truck empty, lashed down, and filled by hose.

2/ Image
This is a Russian IBC water container that was burnt to nothing in a forest fire.

The RuAF Bubba-engineering IBC water truck rolls up to one of these and refills it with a gravity fed hose.

Note the steel pail & bottles to move water to trenches⬇️
3/

Image
Read 9 tweets
Jul 5
I've been asked to post my four appearances on Paul Woodadge's @WW2TV youtube channel to X.

This was about MacArthur's "Wild Weasel" radar hunters before the term was invented.

Dr Bellamy was PhD heavy lifter here.

Section 22 Radar Hunters


1/
This is the story of Master Technical Sergeant Dermott H. MacDonnell and how his performance as chief radar operator for Marine Air Group 23’s (MAG-23) SCR-270 radar...

The Horseshoe Nail of Victory of the Guadalcanal Air Campaign

2/
...made the difference between keeping and losing daylight air superiority over Henderson Field in the darkest days of the Guadalcanal campaign.

And why you don't know this.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 4
What you are seeing here is the world changing as the barriers to entry to strategic bombing fall.

OWA Drones carry 1/5th the warhead of a Tomahawk just as far for 1/10th the cost.

There are many who say this means OWA drone can't hurt enough target sets to be effective.
1/
Strategic bombing history says otherwise.

Incendiary devices were 10 times as effective at destroying urban areas than high explosive per unit mass per the US Strategic Bombing Surveys'.

2/ Image
Sending twice the warhead mass of incendiaries of a unitary explosive warhead Tomahawk for the same price is 20 times as effective and requires 10 times the air defense missile warshot or gun based ammunition to protect any target.

3/
Image
Image
Read 15 tweets
Jul 3
The use of crippled/wounded Russian men as soldiers is not the only or even the most important indicator that Russia has hit the mobilization wall⬇️

Nor are female prisoners, foreign mercs or DPRK soldiers.

Russia is now deploying Hitlerjugend-esque child-soldiers.

Wall🧵
1/
This trial use of 17 year olds by Putin reported by Ukraine's Center for National Resistance (CNR) closely mirrors the Hitlerjugend Division of the Waffen SS in the Normandy summer of 1944.

The end game of this desperation measure...

2/
ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/388…
...in Feb/Mar 1945 was the Waffen SS using 14 year old kids.

Per the CNR Report:

"Currently, Russia is actively recruiting members of patriotic movements, in particular, the network of military education centers "Warrior" and "Yunarmiya" (Young Army). Teenagers aged 17

3/ Image
Read 15 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(