Ian Ellis Profile picture
Jul 9 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
🚨 Breaking: China moves the Shandong carrier strike group into the Western Pacific

Japan’s defense ministry confirmed the aircraft carrier, escorted by some of China’s newest & most advanced warships, was 500km SE of Okinawa, Japan, 9 July

1st transit east of Taiwan in 2024 🧵 Image
Thread tracking increased & interesting PLA military activity in the Indo-Pacific:
Source + translation:

“At approximately 7:00 a.m. on Tuesday, July 9, the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force confirmed that four Chinese Navy vessels, namely, the Kuznetsov-class aircraft carrier Shandong (ship number "17"), the Renhai-class guided missile destroyer (ship number "106"), the Luyang III-class guided missile destroyer (ship number "164"), and the Jiangkai II-class frigate (ship number "571"), were sailing in waters approximately 520 km southeast of Miyako Island (Okinawa Prefecture), and confirmed the takeoff and landing of carrier-based fighter jets and helicopters from the Chinese Navy Kuznetsov-class aircraft carrier Shandong.”
Japan’s Self-Defense Forces conducted #警戒監視 #情報収集 operation using the Maritime Self-Defense Force’s 5th Escort Division’s “Akebono” (Sasebo).

In addition, the Self-Defense Force’s Air Force fighter jets were deployed to counter the Shandong’s carrier-based fighter jets. Image
The Shandong CSG is comprised of:

- CNS Shandong (17) Kuznetsov-class (Mod) Aircraft Carrier
- CNS Xi’an (106) Renhai-class guided-missile Cruiser/Destroyer
- CNS Guilin (164) Luyang lll-class (Mod) guided-missile Destroyer
- CNS Yuncheng (571) Jiangkai ll-class guided-missile FrigateImage
To the east, #RIMPAC2024 — the world’s largest naval exercise — is underway in Hawaii, featuring 40+ U.S. & partner nation ships, including aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson (CVN 70) & 3 submarines.

Timing here is no coincidence.
This is Shandong’s fourth deployment to the Western Pacific. The last time the CSG entered WESTPAC was late October/early November 2023. Quick comp:

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More from @ianellisjones

Jul 11
🚨 New record: Largest Chinese single-day violation of Taiwan’s air defense zone (ADIZ) ever recorded

66 PLA aircraft were detected around the island — 56 crossed the ADIZ & came as close as 33 nautical miles

Quick thread tracking elevated PLA military activity: Image
PLAN Shandong CSG recently entered the Philippine Sea/Western Pacific:
Read 8 tweets
Jul 8
🚨 China has moved significant firepower & naval assets into the South & East China Seas

For the first time, Beijing conducted drills within the Philippines EEZ & deployed the Shandong carrier group to nearby waters

Premier surface combatants & amphibious warships also underway Image
Thread tracking increased Chinese PLA military activity during June:
China’s massive 12,000-ton intimidator, China Coast Guard 5901 (nicknamed “The Monster”), has taken up station in the Philippines’ exclusive economic zone (EEZ) at Sabina Shoal.
Read 11 tweets
Jun 25
🚨For 5 days in a row, 4 Chinese Coast Guard ships have repeatedly entered the 12-mile territorial limit around Japan’s Senkaku islands

CCG “drove away & expelled” Japanese patrol boats & have been spotted sailing within Japan’s EEZ for 186 days straight, the longest record ever Image
While it doesn’t get as much mainstream media attention, China employs many of the same gray zone tactics around the Senkakus that they do in the Taiwan Strait & South China Sea. Worth repeating what I said below — Beijing is all over Taiwan, the Philippines, & Japan.
Three Dongdiao-class surveillance ships have also been operating around Japan over the last week (791, 795, 799), as well as a Luyang III Mod guided-missile destroyer (156).


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Read 9 tweets
Jun 19
🚨 Ayungin Attack — Shocking new details & video shows China’s “brutal assault” on the Philippines

- Chinese Coast Guard deployed tear gas
- “In a brazen act of aggression, Filipino troops valiantly fought back & defended their position”
- CCG employed physical attacks, bladed weapons, blaring sirens, & blinding strobe lights
- Threatened Philippine soldiers with axes, knives, & bolos, & began hurling rocks & other objects
- “In an act of piracy, CCG personnel proceeded to loot supplies & pilfer equipment”
- Violently attached ropes to tow Philippine boats & slashed RHIBs, rendering them inoperable

Quick thread with the latest:
Source + thread with more detail on the attack:
Everything that happened + what you need to know:
Read 9 tweets
Jun 18
New: Pentagon on China’s “very concerning” attack @ Ayungin Shoal in Philippine territory

“This kind of behavior is provocative. It’s reckless. It’s unnecessary. & it could lead to something bigger & more violent”

A significant escalation — everything you need to know 👇

• Chinese Coast Guard & Maritime Militia employed the “dangerous & deliberate use of water cannons, ramming, & blocking”
• 8 Filipinos injured, including one who lost a thumb, near Ayungin (Second Thomas) Shoal
• Collided, boarded, searched, & seized multiple Philippine boats, & confiscated firearms
• Disrupted the mission & prevented resupply
• Established & enforcing a de facto blockade
• Beijing wasted no time weaponizing a recently enacted law that allows the CCG to detain “trespassers” by force & without trial, anywhere within its vast claims across the SCS
• 3rd incident since March where Philippine personnel have been injured by Chinese forces
• Will Beijing try to normalize this hostile behavior?

🎯 “China will always claim to be the victim of their own aggression. They will blame this on the Filipinos.” @Jkylebass

Thread with sources & more info
Via @GordianKnotRay (follow for the latest) — 1951 🇺🇸🇵🇭 Mutual Defense Treaty, Article III:

“The Parties, through their Foreign Ministers or their deputies, will consult together from time to time regarding the implementation of this Treaty and whenever in the opinion of either of them the territorial integrity, political independence or security of either of the Parties is threatened by external armed attack in the Pacific.”
Read 15 tweets
Jun 16
Hellscape — new video of ultra long range drone deployed in the Indo-Pacific 👀

Vanilla has world record max endurance of 10 days & serves as a C2 “mothership” with air-launched swarm capabilities to deploy 40 micro-drones. They’re low-cost, payload agnostic, force multipliers.
Ultra long range unmanned aerial vehicle launches in support of Valiant Shield 24: DVIDS

Vanilla, an ultra long endurance unmanned aerial vehicle, is deployed in support of Valiant Shield 2024 on Andersen Air Force Base, Guam, June 13, 2024. Exercises such as Valiant Shield allow the Indo-Pacific Command Joint Forces the opportunity to integrate forces from all branches of service and with our allies to conduct precise, lethal, and overwhelming multi-axis, multi-domain effects that demonstrate the strength and versatility of the Joint Force and our commitment to a free and open Indo-Pacific.Image
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Read 8 tweets

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