- Exhausts Taiwan’s military & personnel (scrambling & responding to every sortie, transit, op, etc)
- Costs money, time, & resources
- Wears down equipment, requires more maintenance & repairs
- Allows China to constantly probe & test Taiwan’s defenses, responses, & protocols
- Practice drills & exercises, interoperability
- Daily & near continual ISR
• • •
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- 4 Chinese warships crossed into the U.S. EEZ near Alaska
- PLA & Russian Navies conducting joint drills in WESTPAC
- Record-breaking military activity around Taiwan
- Surging ships into the South China Sea
- Shandong carrier group underway
A lot going on 🧵
USCG: The crew of U.S. Coast Guard Cutter Kimball (WMSL 756) detected 3 Chinese vessels ~124 miles north of the Amchitka Pass in the Aleutian Islands, & an HC-130J aircrew from U.S. Coast Guard Air Station Kodiak detected an additional vessel ~84 miles north of the Amukta Pass.
All four of the People’s Republic of China vessels were transiting in international waters but still inside the U.S. Exclusive Economic Zone, which extends 200 nautical miles from the U.S. shoreline.
The USCG did not confirm the composition of the Chinese surface action group, but it’s likely made up of ships I included below from Eastern Theater Command.
Note: In September 2021 & 2022, USCG cutters deployed in the Bering Sea also encountered PLA Navy surface action groups.
🚨 Breaking: China moves the Shandong carrier strike group into the Western Pacific
Japan’s defense ministry confirmed the aircraft carrier, escorted by some of China’s newest & most advanced warships, was 500km SE of Okinawa, Japan, 9 July
1st transit east of Taiwan in 2024 🧵
Thread tracking increased & interesting PLA military activity in the Indo-Pacific:
“At approximately 7:00 a.m. on Tuesday, July 9, the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force confirmed that four Chinese Navy vessels, namely, the Kuznetsov-class aircraft carrier Shandong (ship number "17"), the Renhai-class guided missile destroyer (ship number "106"), the Luyang III-class guided missile destroyer (ship number "164"), and the Jiangkai II-class frigate (ship number "571"), were sailing in waters approximately 520 km southeast of Miyako Island (Okinawa Prefecture), and confirmed the takeoff and landing of carrier-based fighter jets and helicopters from the Chinese Navy Kuznetsov-class aircraft carrier Shandong.”
China’s massive 12,000-ton intimidator, China Coast Guard 5901 (nicknamed “The Monster”), has taken up station in the Philippines’ exclusive economic zone (EEZ) at Sabina Shoal.
🚨For 5 days in a row, 4 Chinese Coast Guard ships have repeatedly entered the 12-mile territorial limit around Japan’s Senkaku islands
CCG “drove away & expelled” Japanese patrol boats & have been spotted sailing within Japan’s EEZ for 186 days straight, the longest record ever
While it doesn’t get as much mainstream media attention, China employs many of the same gray zone tactics around the Senkakus that they do in the Taiwan Strait & South China Sea. Worth repeating what I said below — Beijing is all over Taiwan, the Philippines, & Japan.
Three Dongdiao-class surveillance ships have also been operating around Japan over the last week (791, 795, 799), as well as a Luyang III Mod guided-missile destroyer (156).
New: Pentagon on China’s “very concerning” attack @ Ayungin Shoal in Philippine territory
“This kind of behavior is provocative. It’s reckless. It’s unnecessary. & it could lead to something bigger & more violent”
A significant escalation — everything you need to know 👇
• Chinese Coast Guard & Maritime Militia employed the “dangerous & deliberate use of water cannons, ramming, & blocking”
• 8 Filipinos injured, including one who lost a thumb, near Ayungin (Second Thomas) Shoal
• Collided, boarded, searched, & seized multiple Philippine boats, & confiscated firearms
• Disrupted the mission & prevented resupply
• Established & enforcing a de facto blockade
• Beijing wasted no time weaponizing a recently enacted law that allows the CCG to detain “trespassers” by force & without trial, anywhere within its vast claims across the SCS
• 3rd incident since March where Philippine personnel have been injured by Chinese forces
• Will Beijing try to normalize this hostile behavior?
🎯 “China will always claim to be the victim of their own aggression. They will blame this on the Filipinos.” @Jkylebass
Via @GordianKnotRay (follow for the latest) — 1951 🇺🇸🇵🇭 Mutual Defense Treaty, Article III:
“The Parties, through their Foreign Ministers or their deputies, will consult together from time to time regarding the implementation of this Treaty and whenever in the opinion of either of them the territorial integrity, political independence or security of either of the Parties is threatened by external armed attack in the Pacific.”