Since january 2024, Ukraine began improving existing defensive lines and digging new ones to prepare for russian attacks.
Maps and images of those defenses :
🧵THREAD🧵1/17 ⬇️
With @Playfra0, we are mapping these defensive fortifications.
What have we observed ? New fortifications everywhere, improving of old defensive lines, from 2014, 2022 or even 2023.
Here is the line south of Zaporizhia city.
Here is an example for Orikhiv, which we renamed "fort Orikhiv".
This is just north of that strategic town in Zaporizhia oblast. You can see some dots which are russian airstrikes.
Here is a clear view of this city which is a road and rail hub. The terrain south of the city is mainly mined.
The new defensive line is mainly north and west of the city, since it's too dangerous to dig near the frontline.
Here is Zaporizhia city istself with its main defensive lines south and some trenches dug in 2022 east, north and west.
In the Donbass, we have now a few fortress, including Kourakhove.
This little industrial city is located est of Donetsk city. With defenses facing every direction, the city will be the next stop after Vouhledar and Krasnohorivka.
Here is what playfra mapped around Pokrovsk. You can see a few defensive lines running around that city.
Looking east, here is how it looks. On the right you'll recognize Kourakhove, near the big green part, you have the best defenses in front of Pokrovsk. On the left you'll see the valley from Kostiantynivka to Sloviansk.
The main defensive effort is concentrated in eastern Ukraine.
On this image you can find the view from Zaporizhia-Dnipro and Kharkiv. This is north eastern, eastern and southern ukraine.
And yes, we have the same view for north-eastern Ukraine.
There is now a continuous line from Yampil (northern Sumy oblast) to Kupiansk (eastern Kharkiv oblast).
Sumy and Kharkiv have mainly turned into fortress while the line is also being dug north of Tchernihiv.
While Belarus 🇧🇾 is conducting joint exercices with China 🇨🇳, Ukraine 🇺🇦 is boosting its defenses near the border.
Here is north of Chornobyl, in the exclusion zone where we can see new trenches and anti-tank ditches.
These last months, we witnessed new defenses on all the main roads going to Belarus. This is the case for this one going from Rivne to Stoline (Belarus).
Finally, we couln't forget the southern and south-western direction. On the right is Transnistria a pro-russian separatist state.
And you'll see the black sea - dniepr defensive line from Odesa to Krivi Rih.
There are many, many other places to look at, to zoom in and to analyse.
For the ones wondering if this could help Russia, here is my response :
Russian drones are flying to Poltava and Dnipro to look at airbases, of course they can see the fortifications...
For the ones wondering about the incomplete fortifications. This happened near Kharkiv, the only place where they didn't bothered to reinforce their defenses.
Also, the main things you need in those trenches is men.
(example with K2 defending a trench).
A good example is the faith of the current Pokrovsk defensive line. without a continuous line, you can't hold, and you need to have men everywhere.
Also, these fortifications are only temporary defensive before stepping back to one to another line. (image example).
Since more than a year I'm mapping russian and ukrainian defenses around the frontline.
This work allows geolocations, analysis and precise maps.
You can follow my account @clement_molin and also @atummundi
17/17
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En janvier dernier, alors que nous avions décelé une baisse de la progression russe (données de @Pouletvolant3), l'AFP titrait le contraire : parlant d'une augmentation x2 de la progression russe.
En réalité, cette confiance aveugle dans l'ISW, sans vérification directe a joué un tour à l'AFP.
Le mois de janvier n'avait pas vu une augmentation x2 de la progression russe, à moins que l'on ne considère la vidéo d'un soldat russe, seul, avec un drapeau (mort ou vivant) comme une preuve suffisante de contrôle.
L'Ethiopie 🇪🇹 se rapproche de plus en plus de la guerre civile généralisée
La mobilisation massive de l'armée éthiopienne dans le nord, son retrait de larges zones de l'Amhara⚫️, vers le Tigré 🟡 et les tensions frontalières font craindre un conflit majeur.
🧵THREAD🧵1/24⬇️
L'Ethiopie, 2ème pays le plus peuplé d'Afrique est très régulièrement surnommée la "Yougoslavie d'Afrique", car elle est en réalité une fédération ethnique.
La lutte de pouvoir qui opposent ces ethnies provoque des conflits meurtriers.
Ces dernières semaines et en particulier ces derniers jours, l'armée éthiopienne (ENDF) a déplacé des dizaines de milliers d'hommes vers le nord du pays.
La région visée, le Tigré était déjà au cœur d'un conflit meurtrier entre 2020 et 2022 qui avait fait 600 000 morts.
Ukrainian fortifications are improving. The main defensive lines (yellow) are meant to protect Ukraine's rear.
Between these main lines, we can find multiple smaller ditches lines are barbed wire lines. This strategy is cutting the frontline :
We now have multiple squares and rectangles between main and secondary lines.
The frontline is literraly cut in pieces, the black ones are the finished/expected ones and the grey the larger ones, behind, that will be later cut in between.
Après plusieurs semaines de contre-attaques, l'armée ukrainienne a repris le contrôle de larges territoires disputés dont ~12 villages dans l'est de l'oblast de Zaporizhia.
L'armée russe 🇷🇺 a été repoussée.
🧵THREAD🧵1/18 ⬇️
Profitant de la suspension de Starling à l'armée russe (qui permettait de faire voler les drones russes et de communiquer) et de Telegram, l'armée ukrainienne a lancé une série de contre-attaques locales dans le secteur de Ternuvate et Pokrovsk'e, à l'est de Zaporizhia.
Les ukrainiens ont utilisé d'importants moyens mécanisés, une première depuis plusieurs mois, profitant notamment des mauvaises conditions météorologiques et de la suspension de Starlink qui empêchent les drones de voler.
Ces assauts ont eu lieu à l'ouest du côté de Ternuvate.