Clément Molin Profile picture
Jul 11, 2024 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Ukrainian 🇺🇦 fortress facing russian 🇷🇺 offensive

Since january 2024, Ukraine began improving existing defensive lines and digging new ones to prepare for russian attacks.

Maps and images of those defenses :

🧵THREAD🧵1/17 ⬇️ Image
With @Playfra0, we are mapping these defensive fortifications.

What have we observed ? New fortifications everywhere, improving of old defensive lines, from 2014, 2022 or even 2023.

Here is the line south of Zaporizhia city. Image
Here is an example for Orikhiv, which we renamed "fort Orikhiv".

This is just north of that strategic town in Zaporizhia oblast. You can see some dots which are russian airstrikes. Image
Here is a clear view of this city which is a road and rail hub. The terrain south of the city is mainly mined.

The new defensive line is mainly north and west of the city, since it's too dangerous to dig near the frontline. Image
Here is Zaporizhia city istself with its main defensive lines south and some trenches dug in 2022 east, north and west. Image
In the Donbass, we have now a few fortress, including Kourakhove.
This little industrial city is located est of Donetsk city. With defenses facing every direction, the city will be the next stop after Vouhledar and Krasnohorivka. Image
Here is what playfra mapped around Pokrovsk. You can see a few defensive lines running around that city. Image
Looking east, here is how it looks. On the right you'll recognize Kourakhove, near the big green part, you have the best defenses in front of Pokrovsk. On the left you'll see the valley from Kostiantynivka to Sloviansk. Image
The main defensive effort is concentrated in eastern Ukraine.
On this image you can find the view from Zaporizhia-Dnipro and Kharkiv. This is north eastern, eastern and southern ukraine. Image
And yes, we have the same view for north-eastern Ukraine.
There is now a continuous line from Yampil (northern Sumy oblast) to Kupiansk (eastern Kharkiv oblast).

Sumy and Kharkiv have mainly turned into fortress while the line is also being dug north of Tchernihiv. Image
While Belarus 🇧🇾 is conducting joint exercices with China 🇨🇳, Ukraine 🇺🇦 is boosting its defenses near the border.
Here is north of Chornobyl, in the exclusion zone where we can see new trenches and anti-tank ditches. Image
These last months, we witnessed new defenses on all the main roads going to Belarus. This is the case for this one going from Rivne to Stoline (Belarus). Image
Finally, we couln't forget the southern and south-western direction. On the right is Transnistria a pro-russian separatist state.
And you'll see the black sea - dniepr defensive line from Odesa to Krivi Rih. Image
There are many, many other places to look at, to zoom in and to analyse.
For the ones wondering if this could help Russia, here is my response :
Russian drones are flying to Poltava and Dnipro to look at airbases, of course they can see the fortifications... Image
For the ones wondering about the incomplete fortifications. This happened near Kharkiv, the only place where they didn't bothered to reinforce their defenses.

Also, the main things you need in those trenches is men.
(example with K2 defending a trench).
A good example is the faith of the current Pokrovsk defensive line. without a continuous line, you can't hold, and you need to have men everywhere.

Also, these fortifications are only temporary defensive before stepping back to one to another line. (image example). Image
Since more than a year I'm mapping russian and ukrainian defenses around the frontline.

This work allows geolocations, analysis and precise maps.
You can follow my account @clement_molin and also @atummundi

17/17

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More from @clement_molin

Aug 29
Some interesting new findings 🇺🇦🇷🇺 :

-Around 36 airstrikes just behind Kramatorsk
-Work ongoing for the prolongment of "New Donbass Line" to Sumy oblast
-Trench work : on the 1st line of New Donbass line (2nd and 3rd ditch) + parallel ditch.
-Airstrikes, old and new ditch

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Burned down area around Velika Novosilka, captured in late january by russian forces. Image
A lot of FAB impacts on treelines and around in Sumy oblast. Image
Read 9 tweets
Aug 29
En Hongrie 🇭🇺, le pion de Moscou 🇷🇺 dans la tourmente

En pleine crise diplomatique avec Kyiv 🇺🇦 et Varsovie 🇵🇱, Orban fait aussi face à une importante défiance interne, menée par Peter Magyar

La Hongrie, entre affaires de corruption, noyautage et répression

🧵THREAD🧵1/22 ⬇️Image
J'ai passé 6 mois en Erasmus 🇪🇺 en Hongrie. De manière générale, j'ai été frappé par ce côté très revanchard de la population hongroise envers le traité de Trianon il y a plus de 100 ans.

A part à Budapest, seule ville plus progressiste, et encore, la gauche n'existe presque pas Image
La droite et l'extrême droite forment environ 70% du paysage politique hongrois.

Le leader actuel est Viktor Orban, réélu premier ministre depuis 2010, son principal opposant est un ancien allié, Péter Magyar. Image
Read 22 tweets
Aug 27
Russian 🇷🇺 airforce launched 700 NEW airstrikes near Pokrovsk 🇺🇦 in 2 weeks, with more than 80% in the Pokrovsk-Dobropilla direction.

To sustain its offensives operations, Moscow also launched 800 strikes at Lyman and Siversk and 2 800 at Sumy !

🧵THREAD🧵1/19 ⬇️Image
1- Pokrovsk-Kostiantynivka

Since may, I'm mapping most of russian airstrikes betwee, the two key cities of Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka.

The frontline is 50km long and I mapped around 3 800 airstrikes there in 4 months ! Image
Here, you can find 3 different colors.

I've used red for may to june 11th. I also use red for non dated airstrikes elsewhere (Sumy, Lyman, Siversk).

Orange is for june 11th to july 11th, blue from july 11th to august 11th and finally yellow, just bellow. Image
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Read 19 tweets
Aug 26
Quelles solutions pour l'Arménie 🇦🇲 ?

Comme ce tweet fait réagir, je vous propose un retour historique, contextuel, et actuel sur la situation de l'Arménie.

Seule, isolée et oubliée, l'Arménie a les cartes en mains pour son futur, si elle choisit la paix.

🧵THREAD🧵1/26 ⬇️Image
D'abord, l'aspect géographique :

🇦🇲Arménie : 29 743 km², 2,97 millions d'habitants, PIB de 24 milliards USD.
🇦🇿Azerbaïdjan : 86 600 km², 10.11 millions d'habitants, PIB de 72,36 milliards USD.
🇬🇪Géorgie : 69 700 km², 3,91 millions, PIB de 35,35 milliards USD. Image
L'Arménie est le plus petit, le moins peuplé et le plus pauvre des 3 Etats du Caucase, sans accès à la mer, sans ressources naturelles.

L'Azerbaïdjan est 3 fois plus grand, 3.4 fois plus peuplé et 3 fois plus riche que l'Arménie, qui ne dépasse que pour le PIB par habitants. Image
Image
Read 26 tweets
Aug 25
Du Mali 🇲🇱 au Soudan 🇸🇩, le Sahel décomposé

Sur les 6 Etats Sahéliens, 5 sont en Etat de guerre, dont 3 contrôlant moins de la moitié de leur territoire national.

Rébellion de l'Azawad, groupes terroristes et guerre soudanaise, la région en pleine implosion.

🧵THREAD🧵1/24 ⬇️Image
Le Sahel se résume généralement à 6 nations principales, la Mauritanie, le Mali, le Burkina Faso, le Niger, le Tchad et le Soudan.

Le plus stable actuellement est la Mauritanie, suivie par le Tchad (l'insurrection djihadiste ne touche que le sud-ouest, au bord du lac Tchad). Image
Au Soudan 🇸🇩, une guerre civile oppose depuis le 15 avril 2023 deux "armées", les Forces de Soutien Rapide, groupe paramilitaire rebelle dirigé par Hemetti et composé des arabes du Darfour et l'Armée Soudanaise régulière, dirigée par Burhan et composée des arabes du Nil + alliés. Image
Read 24 tweets
Aug 24
L'armée ukrainienne 🇺🇦 a lancé une série de contre-attaques locales dans la région de Pokrovsk.

Dans le même temps, la zone grise continue de s'étendre et l'aviation russe 🇷🇺 bombarde massivement la zone, plus de 430 nouveaux impacts de FAB recensés.

🧵THREAD🧵1/24 ⬇️Image
Nous avons désormais tous les éléments pour confirmer l'infiltration en profondeur de soldats russes dans l'axe de Dobropilla il y a deux semaines.

Les vidéos montrent que les soldats russes étaient présent à Pétrivka, 20km de la ligne de front connue et 15km de la zone grise.
Minimiser la chose ne change en rien la réalité : les russes ont profité d'un trou entre deux unités mais n'ont pas été en mesure de l'exploiter, pourquoi ?

-Réaction rapide des ukrainiens
-Pas de logistique autre que des hommes à pieds
-Extension des lignes trop en profondeur
-Impossibilité d'acheminer des renforts face à la couverture de drones, l'absence d'abris, la présence d'obstacles et le faible nombre de passages dans ceux-ci.Image
Read 24 tweets

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