1/ Russia's war effort in Ukraine is still hampered by lying commanders, corrupt bureaucrats, an ineffective military-industrial complex, a lack of defences against drones, and chronic shortages of men and equipment, according to a Russian journalist and military commentator. ⬇️
2/ Vladislav Shurygin, an ultranationalist journalist and commentator on Russian military affairs, has written a lengthy complaint on his Telegram channel about the state of the Russian war effort. He says it is leading to massive and unnecessary losses on the Russian side.
3/ After castigating the indifference of officials and the man on the street, who he says is waiting for "'friend Trump' to give the order to end the war", he complains that "any initiative, any business drowns without a trace in the bureaucratic swamp."
4/ The average official, he says, "doesn't give a damn about anything except his own pocket, his own chair and the will of his superior ... What official in our country thinks about the country? 'Country' is something abstract."
5/ "But the office, the boss and corporate solidarity are everything!"
The Russian military's culture of lying in military reports has led to the mass slaughter of Russian soldiers, according to Shurygin.
6/ "Two and a half years into the war, and at the front lies and show-offs are still blooming like opium poppies in a Tajik vegetable garden!
7/" Some "gentlemen commanders" are already receiving their third medal for the villages and townships taken on paper. And they get away with it! How many dozens of times has Krynki been declared captured and cleared of the enemy?
8/ "A full-fledged commander (let's not say which troops) personally reported to the President of Russia about its capture back in the spring. And the point is? It was only three weeks ago that fighters on the front line confirmed that the enemy is no longer in Krynki.
9/ "How many times was Robotyne "liberated"? How many times have they reported that Klishchiivka is "ours 150%"!
10/ "But the worst thing is that then, in these "taken" places of Krynki, Klishchiivka, Robotyne, hundreds of Russian men are driven forward to slaughter, so that the boss who reports the capture, who has already drilled a hole for the medal on his uniform, can cover his ass!
11/ (This problem of institutionalised lying in the Russian military is well-known and has been the cause of many failures on the battlefield - see the thread below for a longer discussion.)
12/ Shurygin complains that "our regiments are ground down to zero in a week in senseless head-on assaults, and without any result. Because there is no electronic warfare, no drones, and the ammunition is 'limited.'
13/ "And how many regiments do we have with a full list of personnel, but as soon as the command comes to attack, to go forward, and the task is assigned to a full-blooded regiment, it suddenly turns out that a quarter of the payroll is “dead souls” [non-existent people].
14/ "Some are on the run, some have not returned from vacation, and some have generally paid their way out of the front and are safely sitting in the rear. And then there are no further miracles! The regiment is marking time, senselessly losing people and equipment.
15/ "As a result, it exposes the flanks of its more successful neighbors and, from a beautifully conceived offensive, it turns out to be a furious “offensive” with a week-long “battle for the forester’s hut” and huge losses."
16/ Ukraine's omnipresent kamikaze, reconnaissance, and long-range drones are another critical problem, which Shurygin says that Russia is failing to counter or imitate effectively.
17/ "For a whole year, drones have been keeping the infantry from raising their heads, chasing every cart in a swarm, and for a whole year we have been hearing stories from military officials that "any minute now", "soon" this problem will be solved.
18/ "But so far at the front they see "people's electronic warfare" – products made by enthusiasts – far more often than effective products of the state military-industrial complex!"
19/ (As noted in the thread below, drones produced by the military-industrial complex have often been expensive and of poor quality, while volunteer efforts to send drones to the troops fighting in Ukraine have been obstructed by the authorities.)
20/ According to Shurygin, the Russian war effort is heavily reliant on volunteers and self-purchased supplies. He writes that "cars, motorbikes, quad bikes and other means of transport are being purchased for the front", along with many other kinds of equipment:
21/ "Up to the present moment, most of the drone detectors are bought by fighters with their own money; there is still a continuous stream of volunteer cars going to the front, carrying sights, thermal imagers, Mavic [drones], camouflage nets, first aid kits, generators and…
22/ … a whole list of desperately needed equipment to the front line. ... Even now, in folk workshops, assembly of FPVs [drones] is going on day and night."
(One such "folk workshop" is discussed by @sambendett in the thread below.)
23/ The military-industrial complex has failed to produce the kind of drones that are actually needed, according to Shurygin, and has focused instead on producing expensive, unwanted hardware.
24/ "In twenty-nine months of war, state corporations have not created a single transport drone capable of delivering supplies to the front lines and picking up the wounded. Enthusiasts did! Even flying hexacopters! But there's no money to produce them!
25/ "But we have seen a lot of stories with clumsy, slow-moving machine-gun modules, which were obsolete in the era of [Dmitry] Rogozin's reign in the military-industrial complex, when they actually appeared! Costing many millions and needed by no one!"
26/ Shurygin laments the lack of defences against Ukrainian long-range drones, which he says have "long been the scourge of border and non-border regions, 'wrecking' oil depots and industrial facilities every day." He asks why there are no airborne early warning balloons.
27/ He also queries the lack of activity by the Russian Air Force against the long-range drone threat and the lack of protective facilities at Russian airfields, which has enabled Ukraine to destroy aircraft on the ground.
28/ "We have been saying for two years that the war requires the restoration of air defence forces, the return of fighter aviation to air defence – to no avail! The Commander-in-Chief of the Air Defence Forces is deaf!
29/ "So what about the fact that every month the number of enemy drones grows! But our Kinzhals [hypersonic missiles] are accurate and our missiles are fast!"
30/ "For two years we have been saying that our airfields need protective structures – shelters for aircraft and main airfield facilities. And what? Nothing! Are we waiting for another UAV attack on another airfield with an epic video from the AFU of burning Russian bombers?"
31/ He calls the current moment "a very dangerous point in the war," when Russia will either "mobilise and crush the enemy" or fall into "a bottomless swamp of 'truce'" due to "the weight of our systemic problems, bureaucratic sluggishness, indifference and apathy". /end
1/ The Trump Administration is reportedly planning to cooperate with Russia in exploiting rare earth minerals in occupied regions of Ukraine. It is also said to be planning to offer Russia the chance to exploit Alaska's mineral resources and to ease aviation sanctions. ⬇️
2/ The Daily Telegraph newspaper reports that the US Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent, has been presenting ideas on US-Russian economic cooperation to Trump ahead of Friday's summit. They are said to include:
3/🔺 US-Russian cooperation on mining Ukrainian mineral deposits;
🔺 Lifting export bans on parts and equipment needed to service Russian aircraft;
1/ The Times newspaper reports that the Trump Administration is planning to propose to Russia that the occupation of eastern Ukraine should be modelled on Israel's occupation of the West Bank, with Russia in full control but the borders remaining unchanged. ⬇️
2/ According to a Times source, "It’ll just be like Israel occupies the West Bank. With a governor, with an economic situation that goes into Russia, not Ukraine. But it’ll still be Ukraine, because … Ukraine will never give up its sovereignty."
3/ "But the reality is it’ll be occupied territory and the model is Palestine."
The proposal is said to have been raised with the Russians by Trump's envoy Steve Witkoff, who is also the US Special Envoy to the Middle East.
1/ The war in Ukraine has resulted in so many Russians joining war industries, the army, dying or being crippled that the Russian government needs to import millions of Indians and North Koreans to replace them. Ordinary Russians aren't keen, calling them unhygenic or robotic. ⬇️
2/ Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin recently admitted that the country is currently experiencing a drastic shortage of labour, due to "the consequences of the demographic collapse and the movement of workers to the military-industrial complex".
3/ Russia is forecast to be short of 2 million workers by 2030, particularly in the trade, healthcare and manufacturing sectors. An official of the Agency for Strategic Initiatives says that a shortage of construction workers could mean that housebuilding will cease in 5-7 years.
1/ A retired Russian paratrooper says that "half-dead" Russian soldiers are being sent back to the front line in handcuffs after being denied medical treatment or examinations. He complains that Putin should be conscripting foreign migrants rather than Russians. ⬇️
2/ The man, who identifies himself as Sergei from the Lipetsk region of Russia, has recorded a pair of videos complaining about the way in which the 98th Airborne Division (military unit 65451) is treating its men. He sarcastically calls it the "98th Penal Battalion".
3/ "Our valiant soldiers are being shoved into buses half dead and taken to the front lines. That's the morality of the shit commander... Why is this done by the leadership? It is not only the Airborne Forces, it is everywhere, in all directions.
1/ Elderly Russians are going to war with the explicit intention of getting killed so that their family get a 5 million ruble ($68,800) compensation payment. It's too much even for Russian warbloggers, who complain about how pointless this is. ⬇️
2/ Very elderly men – as old as 72 years – have been signing up, and dying, in disproportionate numbers. Not surprisingly, they do not make good soldiers, as the thread linked below discusses.
1/ Even as Putin prepares to meet Trump, it's worth bearing in mind that the war in Ukraine is only one of a host of grievances that Russia has against the US and the collective West. Conspiracy theories about Western anti-Russian plots are a major driver of Putin's agenda. ⬇️
2/ A commentary from the Russian journalist and blogger Anastasia Kashevarova spells out a description of what she says is how "Western narratives are being used to destroy the national identity of Russians":
3/ "Our Russian officers from the General Staff helped me greatly in analysing the situation of undermining us from within, providing food for thought and filling in the gaps in my knowledge.