Seth Abramson Profile picture
Jul 14, 2024 • 9 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
(📣) As the FBI tries to determine why a registered Republican would try to assassinate Donald Trump just days before he names a running mate and makes impossible an entirely new ticket, I suspect they will return to this reporting from around 3 weeks ago. washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/…
MORE: Image
PS: The most important evidence right now is whatever is found in the home of the deceased assassin. But the question is whether the FBI will understand what it is looking at if it turns out the decedent wanted Trump off the ticket and a new, farther-right ticket established.
PS2: When I read that breaking news from The Washington Post in late July, what struck me most was the word "most" in the report—as in, "most" of the Trump delegates the Post spoke to believed the secret rebellion against Trump was designed to *install a new ticket* in Milwaukee.
PS3: The problem those plotters presumably faced is that as soon as Donald Trump names a VP, that person ascends atop the ticket should any tragedy befall Trump. So the plotters could not really wait until the convention to try to replace Trump if that is indeed what they wanted.
PS4: The so-called Black Jacket Rebellion has a contingent in PA, the site of the attack today. To be clear, there is no particular reason to think what happened today has to do with that anti-Trump conspiracy on the far right—the FBI must just keep it in mind when investigating.
PS5: Because if it does turn out that this registered Republican was in fact a far-right radical, it poses a dilemma for the FBI in trying to determine why such a person would try to harm the head of the GOP.

The Post report is the only reporting I know of that might explain it.
PS6: But this is also why all Americans—no matter their political background—should hope that the FBI finds documents at the home of the decedent that explain what he was doing and why. It is better for the whole country if we have a very clear answer on this as soon as possible.
PS7: Having said this, I'd add that certain Boogaloo Bois have in the past spoken of trying to spark a race war or civil war by harming a leader of either party. So we can't discount the possibility of a white supremacist angle here. We'll have to wait and see what the FBI finds.

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More from @SethAbramson

Apr 10
As to the Swalwell report:

1. The truth should be worked out via legal process.
2. Dems can't have anyone facing such allegations as a candidate.
3. MAGAs wouldn't care about this; that's immaterial.
4. Politics is informing how some folks are responding; that's also immaterial.
That is, it's possible to think in terms of three distinct spheres—legal, political, moral—at once. Legally, there's nothing to say till all this is resolved in court. Politically, we know that, true or false, allegations affect who's viable. Morally, MAGAs are hypocritical scum.
Who we believe is legally immaterial; it's posturing. We don't have all the facts. I'd say the same of any politician posturing morally now; don't confuse your cynical politics with morality.

But yes—Trump should have exited the race when he faced his *67* different allegations.
Read 8 tweets
Apr 8
The torrent of lies coming from Karoline Leavitt right now is breathtaking
1 Iran has two navies; only one—the far smaller one—was destroyed
2 Half of Iran's launchers are intact
3 Iran held back its small air force—it wasn't destroyed
4 There's been no impact on Iran's nuclear capabilities
5 Only .3% of Iran's army was neutralized
6 The Strait is closed
7 There hasn't been regime change
8 U.S. casualties are over 800
9 There's no secret new 10-point Iranian peace plan, just the old one
10 Regular Iranian missile strikes continue
11 U.S. and Israeli interceptors arsenals are in a dire state
12 This war has wasted tens of billions
Read 7 tweets
Apr 2
We're in Week 5 of Trump's 2-week non-war. If we give the non-war war 2-3 more weeks it'll wrap up "weeks" ahead of schedule. Trump destroyed 100% of the 1/3rd of Iran's Navy that's non-IRGC and 0.5% of Iran's Army—i.e. all of it. Its nuke program exists *and* doesn't. Questions?
Tonight Trump explained that Iran was an imminent threat to destroy Israel because it never came close to doing so in 47 years. He explained that this non-war war is technically his third non-war war with Iran, as he won the first one in early 2020 by not fighting it. Questions?
Iran is both 10 years away from developing a missile that can hit America and also would have done so 10 years in the *past* if Trump didn't kill a guy. We know Iran has had its regime decapitated because it has the same president today it had before the war started. Questions?
Read 8 tweets
Mar 20
(1 of 2) This is inaccurate—and the truth is worse. She was already detained, and when Trump's pal heard that he contacted the White House to demanded she be deported so he'd get custody of their child. The White House complied.

I don't know what to call that, but it's criminal.
(2 of 2) But wait, it gets worse! The Trump pal demanding Trump execute a government action for his benefit has evidence on Trump's past sex crimes—which means that this situation reeks of both Bribery and Extortion.

The former is impeachable *and* criminal, the latter criminal.
MORE: Here's the full story. I know it means nothing to say this anymore, but just this one situation—as it apparently involves felonies, impeachable offenses, ripping a mother from her child, and the covering up of sex crimes—is a Watergate-level scandal.
nytimes.com/2026/03/20/us/…
Read 5 tweets
Mar 18
It looks like we have to go over this YET AGAIN for all the corporate media journalists in the back: Markwayne Mullin was selected by Trump—as are ALL Trump peons—on the basis of him having no scruples and being willing to do as he's told.

EVERYTHING he's saying today is a lie.
America has gone through this dance too many times to go through it again. Stephen Miller and others craft narratives for nominees to deliver to Congress if they think those nominations are uncertain. The narratives have nothing to do with what the nominees are tasked with doing.
They can play this game because they know that corporate media in this era has decided to act as a stenographer for whatever any liars say rather than providing any context or counterweight whatsoever.

Everything Mullin is saying is contrary to everything we know his boss plans.
Read 19 tweets
Mar 16
I do think to myself, sometimes, as an agnostic, that if there weren't only a God but a highly engaged and attentive God as evangelicals believe, that God would have in some celestial way far beyond our understanding struck down this piece of shit harder than any human in history
There's a level of hypocrisy only humans notice, then there's a level of hypocrisy so galactically astounding I think the absence of celestial retribution in the face of it may be the strongest argument yet that God doesn't exist

I remain unsure, but this tries my doubt *sorely*
What people misunderstand about Donald Trump is that they think either he believed what he was saying in 2008 or that he believes what he is saying in 2026, when of course the reality is that he was lying both times and has never in his whole miserable life believed in *anything*
Read 5 tweets

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