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Seth Abramson Profile picture
@SethAbramson
Jul 14, 2024 • 9 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
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(📣) As the FBI tries to determine why a registered Republican would try to assassinate Donald Trump just days before he names a running mate and makes impossible an entirely new ticket, I suspect they will return to this reporting from around 3 weeks ago. washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/…
MORE: Image
PS: The most important evidence right now is whatever is found in the home of the deceased assassin. But the question is whether the FBI will understand what it is looking at if it turns out the decedent wanted Trump off the ticket and a new, farther-right ticket established.
PS2: When I read that breaking news from The Washington Post in late July, what struck me most was the word "most" in the report—as in, "most" of the Trump delegates the Post spoke to believed the secret rebellion against Trump was designed to *install a new ticket* in Milwaukee.
PS3: The problem those plotters presumably faced is that as soon as Donald Trump names a VP, that person ascends atop the ticket should any tragedy befall Trump. So the plotters could not really wait until the convention to try to replace Trump if that is indeed what they wanted.
PS4: The so-called Black Jacket Rebellion has a contingent in PA, the site of the attack today. To be clear, there is no particular reason to think what happened today has to do with that anti-Trump conspiracy on the far right—the FBI must just keep it in mind when investigating.
PS5: Because if it does turn out that this registered Republican was in fact a far-right radical, it poses a dilemma for the FBI in trying to determine why such a person would try to harm the head of the GOP.

The Post report is the only reporting I know of that might explain it.
PS6: But this is also why all Americans—no matter their political background—should hope that the FBI finds documents at the home of the decedent that explain what he was doing and why. It is better for the whole country if we have a very clear answer on this as soon as possible.
PS7: Having said this, I'd add that certain Boogaloo Bois have in the past spoken of trying to spark a race war or civil war by harming a leader of either party. So we can't discount the possibility of a white supremacist angle here. We'll have to wait and see what the FBI finds.

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More from @SethAbramson

Seth Abramson Profile picture
Jul 21
(🧵) My experience with lawyers on Twitter is summarized by the thread: people reading into things I wrote ideas I never said or thought, batting down principles I never advanced because they're clearly false, and treating burning a field of straw men as intelligence. So asinine.
1/ You have to understand that many lawyers—particularly trial lawyers like I used to be—have a love-hate relationship with attention. Suffice to say very few lawyers have broken through to have a large audience online and those who haven't are pissed about it, so what they do...
2/ ...is find lawyers with larger audiences and pick stupid fights with them—like this person is here. And they do that because sometimes, as here, they get rewarded with a response because they have pissed the object of their trolling off enough to generate one. Again, asinine.
Read 31 tweets
Seth Abramson Profile picture
Jul 17
The most sober, terrifying thing I can say as a Trump presidential historian is that what happened tonight was not about you, me, or America.

He's going to do what he's going to do based on how he convinces *himself* to do it.

Nothing else matters. He's not listening to anyone.
However it came to pass—childhood trauma, genetics, dementia—this US president is now functionally a psychopath. He lives in his own reality. He converses only with himself. All America is now downstream from a madman who's not listening to anyone or anything but his own madness.
The 25th was made for this moment.

It won't be used because Trump nominated cowards.

Impeachment was made for this moment.

It won't be used because America elected cowards.

The federal courts were made to stop this.

They won't because lifetime appointments reward cowardice.
Read 4 tweets
Seth Abramson Profile picture
Jul 17
I'm watching the Trump speech because I have to for my job and it's the most batshit crazy presidential speech I've ever heard in my nearly 50 years alive

Where it's coherent—which is only intermittently—it's on its face the largest tureen of turd soup any POTUS has ever served
I'm not in the first instance saying I don't understand how anyone could believe what the man is saying but rather how anyone could *understand* what he's trying to say

In the rare moments I think I understand what he's saying, it is the biggest most insane lie I have ever heard
What the President of the United States appears to be saying tonight is that our entire government is secretly run by China and has been for years and as far as evidence of that claim is concerned there really does not seem to be any whatsoever
Read 12 tweets
Seth Abramson Profile picture
Jul 16
(🚨) PROOF EXCLUSIVE: I’ve published 1,500+ pages of bestsellers on the coup plot Trump is about to move to Stage 2. One-sentence or one-post summaries do it no justice.

đź”—:

This lengthy report will fully prepare you for what’s coming Thursday—please RT. sethabramson.substack.com/p/donald-trump…Image
1/ I understand that there are many people out there who say, OK, he is going to lie about election interference. He always does that. It is noise, not news.

These people (and their blitheness) are wrong, and wrong in a way that is going to be dangerous to the United States now.
2/ There is a reason many are demanding the Thursday speech not be televised. There is a reason many are saying it could be the most deranged presidential speech ever.

But in a way, *that* is the noise. It presumes that what matters is what he says, not what he is going to *do*.
Read 11 tweets
Seth Abramson Profile picture
Jul 5
If I'd told you that on the evening of July 4th on the nation's 250th birthday it would be 11:15PM, Trump would not yet have spoken, there would only be a few hundred people in attendance, and the event stage would be featuring a foreign opera, you would've had me committed
Whoa he just showed up and he looks absolutely livid at the tiny, low-energy crowd
Every time he strays from his milquetoast script it is either to make up lies about a Communist threat, babble repetitiously, or whine about how he has been treated

This crowd is so small I kid you not you can hear *individual people* cheering

This is humiliating to America
Read 16 tweets
Seth Abramson Profile picture
Jul 2
(🚨) So to be very clear, FIFA rules do *not* allow the USMNT to appeal the Balogun red card *on the basis of claiming the referee erred*.

But.

Under the circumstances, the USMNT should appeal on the very different grounds ESPN just reported on: misapplication of VAR protocols. Image
As ESPN explains, there's no doubt the card was issued on the basis of still images and slow-mo vids shown to the ref by VAR—and we know this because the ref didn't think the play was even a *yellow* card in real time. But such evidence can't be sent to a ref *in this situation*. Image
So considering the situation—the USMNT facing the biggest game in its history without its best player by far because of a red card almost the entire world agrees was absurd—it would be *scandalous* if the USMNT didn't at least *try* to appeal on the technical basis of VAR misuse.
Read 11 tweets

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