We need to paint an honest picture about reality.
On the current trajectory, the Western vision for Ukraine's "victory" will at best lead to a nation plagued by debt, with a totally decimated economy, with no infrastructure, no hospitals or schools. No health or education.
🧵1/
On the current trajectory, the Western vision for Ukraine's "victory" will at best lead to a nation plagued by debt, with a totally decimated economy, with no infrastructure, no hospitals or schools. No health or education.
🧵1/
There will be no children and no youth to speak of. It will be a nation of elderly with no one to care for them. A nation of amputees, with adults and children having suffered traumatic injuries from the front lines or missiles on their beds.
2/
2/
Families will be broken by death, by trauma, by distance, by separation. The emotional scars will run deep from one generation to the next. It will be a nation of angry people, betrayed by the very nations who were supposed to help them.
3/
3/
In the end, a whole, free, sovereign, independent Ukraine and Ukrainians will be effectively sacrificed by the West to Russia for the illusion of peace. The west will have sacrificed a nation of 45 mln for nothing. RU will not be deterred by victory over UA, but emboldened.
4/
4/
Assuming Russia does not strike with attack against the West soon, it will most certainly not change course if it is not fully, resoundingly defeated militarily and politically, with its ability to wage war against anyone totally destroyed.
5/
5/
Ukraine will have been sacrificed, and the West will NOT have its 'peace'. It will have hell and chaos. It will have sacrificed a nation of 45 million people, shattering international law, human rights, and morality. And for what? Not security.
6/
6/
Ukrainians may have shown remarkable, super-human resolve, resilience, bravery, courage, conviction, strength, and more over the last 10.5 years, especially over the last 2.5 years. But Ukrainians are NOT super-human, but simply human like every other human.
7/
7/
Ukrainians, as human beings, can only tolerate so much hell, so much suffering, so much war, so much death, destruction, loss, sacrifice, and so much abandonment from friends. Ukrainians can only tolerate being our shield for so long.
8/
8/
While not yet ready to give in, the hell of war (especially in the modern era) will erode at the ability to be endlessly resilient & awe-inspiring. A nation of traumatized people where children don't have access to education & health care is not sustainable. RU counts on this.
9/
9/
Ukrainians cannot live for years & years & years without heat in the winter, and without energy to even power a fan in heat waves of 40 degree C temperates in the summer. They cannot live without hospitals. Without mothers or fathers. With mined & polluted soil, water, & air.
10/
10/
Our definition of "victory" for Ukraine cannot be one where the future is so bleak. It cannot be one where some of Russia's goals of depopulation and genocide are so horrifically realized.
11/
11/
If we care at all about international law, morality, security, stability, order, freedom, human rights, and our national interests - including national security - we will stop tolerating a western vision for Ukraine that sees its destruction in its "victory".
12/12
12/12
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