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capitolhunters Profile picture
@capitolhunters
Jul 16 • 7 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
We now know Trump's campaign strategy. With JD Vance for VP, it won't be traditional: Vance, like all Peter Thiel proteges, repels voters. Trump's only path to win is by using vast sums of money to divide the left, slander Biden and Harris, and suppress the vote. Brace for it. 1/
All Thiel's candidates ooze JD's repellent brew of resentment and entitlement. So let's review, to prep: Cruz, Hawley, Masters, Vance. Ted Cruz: his Princeton roommate said "We should be afraid" and "I would rather pick someone out of the phone book". 2/
thedailybeast.com/ted-cruz-at-pr…
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Josh Hawley: his hometown newspaper crusades against him. His childhood neighbor said "I wouldn't vote for him for dog catcher. I wouldn't inflict that on the dog." Hawley won in MO, but a presidential ticket has to win nationwide. Biden can do it. 3/
archive.ph/jhuyi
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In 2022, Peter Thiel spent $30M trying to push two proteges / employees into the Senate: Vance and Blake Masters. Masters had the worst focus-group scores one consultant had ever seen. He put out a creepy ad fondling a "German" pistol. And he lost. 4/
Both Masters and Vance underperformed the GOP ticket in their states, by 6-10 points. For Masters in AZ, that was a loss. For Vance in OH, a win. The national election will be more like AZ, and Trump campaign staff know it. They cannot make JD more likeable. They won't try. 5/
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Instead $100's of M from Silicon Valley will fund a torrent of garbage. Peeling off the horseshoe left with "genocide Joe" stories. Racist slurs about Harris. Stories about doubt and division in the Dems, some greased by hidden payments. Everyone must expect that, and prepare. 6/
This race is winnable if people see what they're up against - a well-funded flood of falsehood and doubt. Biden may be uniquely qualified to withstand it: he's been attacked for years now, and nothing has worked. People just need to stand firm against fascism and fight. 7/

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More from @capitolhunters

capitolhunters Profile picture
Jul 15
Today's horror, but an expected one: Aileen Cannon has dismissed Trump's Mar-a-Lago case, exactly as predicted. No one should pretend to be shocked - no pearl clutching. This was so clearly the plan. Media, if you didn't see it, ask why you missed something so obvious. 1/
Ask how we got to this point, that obvious fuckery goes unchallenged. That media pre-comply instead of speaking truth to power. That editors don't let reporters dig. Authoritarians only succeed when institutions cede them power. We must fight back. 2/
This decision will affect the January 6 case too, everything that Jack Smith touched. Sure, it can be appealed - up to the Supreme Court that just granted Trump immunity. This was the game plan for months. Why was it not called out? Why did no one question Cannon's motives? 3/
Read 5 tweets
capitolhunters Profile picture
Jul 15
An eyewitness report now suggests JD Vance will be Trump's VP pick. If so, reporters must give context: Vance is an avatar of Peter Thiel, who bankrolled his entire career (and spent $15M for his Senate seat). And Thiel wants the presidency. Vance is a way to get there. 1/
If people are unfamiliar with Peter Thiel, he's such a Bond villain that he gets his own theme song. German-born, he can't run for US president himself, but he owns 3 Senators: Vance, Hawley, and Cruz. Vance is now his ticket to a higher seat. 2/
Vance has been financially dependent on Peter Thiel since 2016, when Thiel made him a partner in his Mithril Capital. (Peter names all his companies after Lord of the Rings.) OH journalists covered this part of Vance's career. In 2019, Thiel set him up with Narya Capital. 3/ Image
Read 11 tweets
capitolhunters Profile picture
Jul 12
People are foolishly passing around a Tim Alberta article in which he follows Trump's campaign advisers around and repeats what they say verbatim in The Atlantic: Susie Wiles wants Biden in the race to help Trump! Tim: are you so naive you can't see when you're being used? 1/ Image
How can it be a surprise to reporters that Trump lies, and so do his advisers? If someone gives you days of access, it's because you're useful. You aren't using them. They're using you. This message - "Biden is a gift" - is what Susie Wiles wanted you to print. It's a lie. 2/ Image
Alberta's article is just shockingly naive. He says Trump wants Biden because the Trump campaign has had time to prep, so new attacks are "deliberated" and "poll-tested". Something new is coming when Trump has been attacking Biden and his family for 4 years without success? 2/ Image
Read 6 tweets
capitolhunters Profile picture
Jul 5
@grantstern @JRubinBlogger It is not all Democrats, or the polls would budge. It's a coterie of largely DC-based folks, and mostly white men. For the most part they are worried about PERCEPTION of weakness. Not that Biden is old but that voters will doubt. Biden's folks need to strategize carefully.. 1/
@grantstern @JRubinBlogger Where the meta-concern is that he will lose, Biden can counter by projecting strength and citing polls. Or by going on offense: attacking Trump on Project 2025. For pundits driven by resentment of Biden, it's trickier. But appeasing can project weakness & increase the pile-on. 2/
@grantstern @JRubinBlogger Campaign consultants with decades of experience and access to polling know how to handle this more than randoms on Twitter. In at least 4 past elections media told a D nominee to drop out: Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Biden in 2020. In 3 of those races D's won. 3/
Read 5 tweets
capitolhunters Profile picture
Jul 4
To everyone appalled by NYT's July 4 op-ed "Why I don't vote. And maybe you shouldn't either", note that 1) author Matthew Walther DID vote in both 2020 and 2022, and 2) he's an extremist Catholic graduate of Hillsdale College, part of the religious-right faction behind Jan 6. 1/ Image
Walther voted in both 2020 and 2022. (His Michigan voting record was posted by Timothy Burke on Bluesky.) In fact Waltjer wrote an entire essay about voting. The NYT did not do the most basic fact-checking. Even an op-ed shouldn't be a lie. 2/
voteref.com/voters/MI/view…
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This account has written often about how Hillsdale was a driving force behind Jan 5. The "1776 Commission", chaired by Hillsdale president Larry Arnn, was the quid pro quo for support of Trump's coup - letting the religious right control US education. 3/
Read 11 tweets
capitolhunters Profile picture
Jul 2
Media failures pave the road to authoritarianism. The SC immunity decision could let Judge Cannon dismiss Trump's Mar-a-Lago case. If she does, remember: not one reporter covered her husband's work for a mafioso with ties to Trump. (Why: deference? wishful thinking? pressure?) 1/
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The Jeffrey Epstein papers show the depth of the horror: decades of world-changing scandal, rottenness in the DOJ. If not for Julie Brown of the Miami Herald, media would have missed it. Only Brown really tried. Why? And what could they be missing now? 2/
You don't lose democracy because of one man. You lose it because institutions fail. The business community says hey, might not be so bad. Reporters look away. Universities cringe: mustn't upset the donors. Pundits lob cheap shots at their own party. Someone has to do the work. 3/
Read 4 tweets

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