THREAD: Today appears to mark the beginning of a new stage in the war, evidenced by significant escalations from both the Houthis and Hizbullah, demonstrating a combination of horizontal and vertical escalation strategies and a further consolidation of the Resistance Axis' "unity of arenas" strategy. 1/
This joint escalation isn't solely a response to Israeli airstrikes against South Lebanon last night, which caused civilian casualties, but also appears to be a strategic response to Netanyahu's attempts to torpedo the cease-fire talks ahead of his visit to the US next week. It also comes against the backdrop of Israel's shift to "phase 3" of its Gaza operations, which is characterised by an intensification of targeted assassinations and aerial bombardment, that has resulted in 7 massacres this week alone. 2/
The Houthis have engaged in horizontal escalation by expanding their reach through an undetected drone attack on Tel Aviv, geographically widening the conflict zone. They simultaneously achieved a vertical escalation through the use of their newly unveiled Yafa drone with a 2000 km range, demonstrating a significant leap in their technological capabilities and operational reach. 3/
Meanwhile, Hizbullah has engaged in horizontal escalation by striking previously untargeted settlements, fulfilling Nasrallah's warning to expand the battle-space if Israel persisted in attacking civilians in Lebanon. The movement also pursued vertical escalation through the deployment of its newly revealed and locally produced Wabel rocket—a member of the Burkan family of heavy rockets and its heaviest to date at reportedly one tonne—signalling a substantial increase in destructive potential. 4/
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
