You are not the one who wins or loses any trade.
You are the executor: build the scenario, check the conditions, and click as planned.
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2/5 Remember only this:
・You are a scenario-execution machine.
・Your opinion is irrelevant. Even if you think “it might go down,” if the rules say buy, you buy.
・The only place you can play an active role is in preparation.
・You have no right to pick and choose signals. If a signal appears, you take every one of them.
・You are not responsible for wins or losses. Your responsibility is only in whether you stayed faithful to the process.
3/5 The only place where you can be active is in preparation.
There, you act in boss mode, building strategies with an edge from a long-term perspective.
You run experiments, trials, and tests, preparing thoroughly with that long-term view in mind.
But once preparation is complete and it comes time for daily trading, you are no longer the boss—you are the employee.
You must follow the rules that the boss designed with a long-term outlook, without caring about short-term wins, losses, or daily P\&L.
If there are fewer customers in the store today, you cannot just break the rules and change the price tags on your own.
The small daily losses are already calculated as costs by the boss, and even after accounting for them, the strategy is designed to remain profitable over time.
An employee who cannot follow the rules is a risk to the business itself—and will be fired.
A good trade that follows the rules is often described as boring.
But the moment you find yourself repeating “boring, boring” over and over, it’s proof that you’re seeking stimulation, and that’s a mistake.
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2/5 Consistency is absolutely essential for probability to play out.
From this perspective, trades that follow the rules or repeat the same process are often described as “boring.”
But constantly saying “boring, boring” is the wrong kind of boredom—it’s really just a reflection of your craving for stimulation.
To truly reach the right state, your perspective must shift to the long term.
You have to let go completely of the idea that you can control short-term outcomes and fully accept your true responsibility and role.
In that case, you’ll have no expectations about immediate results, you won’t crave stimulation, and you won’t feel bored at all.
Think of it like weight training.
Someone who truly understands weight training doesn’t get angry or feel stimulated just because their muscles aren’t visibly bigger right after a workout.
That’s because they’re thinking long-term from the start.
That’s what it means to approach something with a long-term perspective.
The phrase “good trades are boring” works as an antithesis to the stimulation-soaked short-term thinking behind bad trades.
It’s only an “expression.”
Actually feeling bored is dangerous.
3/5 Your job in trading is to keep functioning perfectly as part of the system.
You must not “get involved” in anything beyond what your role requires.
In any system, you yourself are the greatest risk.
– Breaking the rules to avoid a loss right in front of you
– Taking trades outside the rules to recover from a previous loss
– Hesitating to enter even when a signal appears because of trauma from the last loss
– Misreading a losing streak as a flaw in the system and “tinkering” with it out of good intentions
– Looking at charts when you shouldn’t and starting to see everything as a setup
– Taking at face value what an influential trader said on social media and closing your position prematurely
– Watching P\&L during a trade and deciding based on the number in front of you rather than the rules
These things happen because you interfere with the trading process when you shouldn’t.
Your job is to keep functioning perfectly as part of the system.
"I took a lot of losses today, so I’ll be more cautious tomorrow." 🧵
It may seem good, but treating wins as good and losses as bad ties you to short-term randomness, trapping you in an endless "improvement loop" trying to adapt to it.
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2/5 I’ve often heard traders say, “I lost a lot, so from now on I’ll be more cautious.”
It may sound like good judgment, but in this context, the only information is the outcome—win or loss.
What’s missing is the most important part: whether the result came from following the rules.
In other words, chances are high that you’re judging quality based solely on outcomes.
Even if you stick to a strategy with an edge, losing streaks will inevitably happen.
That’s natural.
What matters is sticking to the rules on the very next trade as well.
Short-term results are shaped by randomness, but it’s precisely by remaining consistent that those short-term fluctuations average out and your strategy’s true edge is revealed.
The point is not to change something because you won or lost, but to remain consistent no matter what.
3/5 Of course, if you’ve been breaking your rules and taking unnecessary losses, then saying, “From now on I’ll be careful to follow my rules,” makes sense.
The real focus should be not on wins and losses, but on whether you followed your rules.
In that case, your expression would more likely be: “Recently I haven’t been following my rules, so I’ll be more mindful to stick to them going forward.”
But the mindset of “Because I lost, I’ll do X” means you’re letting results dictate your next move.
That synchronizes your actions with short-term randomness.
Which means your actions themselves become random.
Probability can’t work that way.
And the danger is that even while losing consistency, you convince yourself you’ve “learned from losing” or “improved,” which makes it all the more insidious.
Most traders wrongly believe successful systems never lose.
They abandon strategies at the first drawdown, quitting before the edge ever materializes.
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2/5 They endlessly lament how “it’s so hard to create a system with an edge,” but the root cause lies in their mindset, lack of understanding, and absence of consistency.
Even if they already possess a system with an edge, they fail to recognize it and are unable to harness its potential.
This is because the edge exists beyond the losing streaks and drawdowns.
What needs to change is not the system itself, but your mindset and approach.
A system with an edge isn’t one that avoids drawdowns or losing streaks—it’s one that, “even after going through them,” ends up profitable over time.
In other words, as long as you stop using a system due to a drawdown or a losing streak, you will never even notice its edge, forever trapped in an endless loop of searching for one.
3/5 Every system experiences drawdowns and losing streaks.
They are an inevitable part of probability and statistics.
No matter how robust your system’s edge, losing streaks cannot be avoided.
This means if you cannot accept drawdowns, feel the urge to change something, conclude the system has no edge, and fail to maintain consistency—you will never find a system with an edge, and your capital will continue to decline indefinitely.
Why? Because no matter how much edge the system truly has, you will always doubt it during drawdowns and abandon it—consistently at the worst possible time—before you ever realize the profits that would have exceeded the losses.
When entering a trade, treat the potential stop-loss amount as a prepaid cost.
The belief that “you keep your money if the stop isn’t hit” creates a penalty illusion—harmful to discipline.
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2/5 Do not seek wins. Do not try to avoid losses.
If you’ve prepared a strategy with an edge and are executing it, you should already understand the “answer” to individual wins and losses:
you will inevitably incur losses, yet still end up profitable over the long term.
It is this confidence that allows you to act consistently, trust the process, and surrender to the edge through a large sample size.
Consistency is built on the foundation of believing that “profits will follow in due time.”
3/5 You are simply repeating an action equivalent to drawing from a favorable lottery.
Think of it as paying $1 for a 50% chance to win $2.
If such a lottery existed, you would gladly play it repeatedly.
This is what it means to profit within randomness.
The key here is that you pay the cost upfront.
You willingly pay first, fully accepting the terms.
In trading, however, the loss is realized only when the stop-loss is hit.
This leads to the perception that “your money remains safe if the stop-loss isn’t triggered,” fostering the illusion that you might somehow avoid the loss—a thought that only causes mental strain.
This mindset frames the stop-loss as a penalty.
Many people misunderstand the phrase “adapting to the market.”
It does not mean adjusting your strategy to fit the current market trend.
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2/5 To “adapt to the market” is not to change your approach constantly in response to short-term fluctuations.
It means simply to wait.
By waiting, you can consistently trade under the same conditions, making “market changes” irrelevant to you.
No matter how much the chart moves, you don’t need to capture every swing.
You only wait for the conditions that fit your plan and trade exclusively in those moments.
3/5 Those who read my blog know this already: I build scenarios in advance, wait for them, and then execute the same trade over and over only when those scenarios play out.
No matter how much the chart moves, anything that doesn’t match my setup is irrelevant to me.
I never think “It’s a waste not to capture this move” and then create a new strategy just to chase it.
In fact, I don’t even feel that the market is “changing.”
Yes, the chart in front of me moves, and if you want to call that change, fine—but at a higher level of abstraction, all you ever see are trends and ranges repeating themselves.
I see trading as the acceptance of short-term randomness and the pursuit of long-term consistency, letting the law of large numbers play out.
From this abstract and long-term perspective, the market doesn’t really appear to change.
In the end, within the repeating cycles of trends and ranges, my rules carve out the same setups for me, and I trade only those points.
Everything else is irrelevant.