Artur Rehi Profile picture
Jul 22, 2024 13 tweets 5 min read Read on X
The Central Bank of Russia is suspending the publication of statistics on the over-the-counter currency market. This follows from a message on the regulator's website. The Central Bank explains that the decision was made to limit the impact of sanctions. This means that
1/13 Image
the ruble has absolutely no clear exchange rate. Now the Central Bank sets this rate at its own discretion. But the main expectation is July 26, when the Central Bank will announce an increase in the key rate. Experts predict growth from 16% to 18% but there may be surprises
2/13 Image
Ruble exchange rate statistics are not the only information prohibited from publication. The closed nature of gasoline production statistics in Russia also leads to problems. "The first problem is that we actually do not know exactly how much is produced, consumed, and so on
3/13 Image
because now we have huge problems with the openness of statistics. Problem number two is that it is very difficult to properly plan production activities when the industry is in manual regulation mode," says Grigory Bazhenov, head of the analytical center of the Independent
4/13 Image
Fuel Union. All this leads to an unregulated increase in fuel prices in Russia. Today, the exchange price for AI-95 gasoline has reached its maximum for this year and amounted to about 74.5 thousand rubles ($850) per ton. This is evidenced by the results of trading on the
5/13 Image
St. Petersburg International Mercantile Exchange. The reasons for the current situation are an information vacuum, manual regulation and an environment in which it is unclear what volumes of refinery capacity have fallen due to UAV attacks. And due to the lack of data on
6/13 Image
production and supplies, prices can be driven up by rumors, says Grigory Bazhenov, head of the analytical center of the Independent Fuel Union. Russia continues to search for opportunities to sell LNG. "Mysterious companies" from the UAE are purchasing tankers for the
7/13 Image
transportation of liquefied natural gas (LNG), which has already led to an increase in prices for such vessels, writes the Financial Times. The publication points out that such dynamics indicate that Russia is preparing for tougher sanctions on LNG supplies and is building
8/13 Image
up its "shadow fleet" to bypass future restrictions. According to Windward, a company that consults ship owners, since the second half of last year, more than 50 LNG carriers have been purchased by companies registered in the UAE. It is noted that it is almost impossible
9/13 Image
to trace the chain of ownership in such transactions. Kpler says that such operations may be related to Russian interests. According to the company, one of these tankers is definitely loading LNG in Yamal. Russia also continues to sell gas to China. In January-June 2024,
10/13 Image
Russia supplied China with 3.515 million tons of liquefied natural gas (LNG) worth $2.066 billion, RIA Novosti writes, citing data from the General Administration of Customs of China. Compared to the same period last year, supplies fell by 9.24%. In the first half of 2023,
11/13 Image
China bought 3.873 million tons of LNG from Russia for $2.693 billion. Overall, in 2023, Russian LNG supplies to China increased by 23%. Last year, China purchased 8 million tons of Russian LNG for $5.2 billion. Western countries should increase sanctions pressure on Russia
12/13 Image
and China. China has been helping to circumvent sanctions in many ways, trying to profit from Russia's problems.
13/13 Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Artur Rehi

Artur Rehi Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @ArturRehi

Jun 16
Israel has demonstrated what it truly means to possess powerful air power — something Ukraine unfortunately still critically lacks. What else do Israel's strikes in the war with Iran reveal? Russia’s weakness. In January 2025, Russia signed a military cooperation agreement
1/11 Image
with Iran, in which both sides promised mutual military support in case of "security threats." But Russia's air defense systems did not work — nor did the agreement itself. The air defenses were neutralized in advance by Mossad agents during an operation similar to Ukraine’s
2/11 Image
Spiderweb. Israeli agents launched drones at numerous targets, including air defense systems, with these drones assembled inside Iran and launched from within the country. Now we have two countries — Russia and Iran — both bogged down in their own wars and unable to help
3/11 Image
Read 11 tweets
Jun 12
The best gift for Russia Day has been prepared by the Armed Forces of Ukraine – one million Russian army personnel neutralized. This figure does not represent the number of Russians killed, but the total losses suffered by Russia, including the wounded. The number of killed
1/13 Image
is estimated at approximately 400,000. However, this is not a reason for joy, because behind every killed Russian there is also a killed, wounded, missing, or captured Ukrainian. Ukraine’s total losses are currently estimated at around 400,000, of which about
2/13 Image
100,000–150,000 are KIA, the rest are wounded. About 10,000 Ukrainians are in captivity. One must not forget the conditions of Russian captivity compared to Ukrainian. It is no secret that Russian captivity is a real concentration camp with torture and murder. The exact
3/13 Image
Read 13 tweets
Jun 11
The threat of "little green men" appearing in the Baltic states is becoming increasingly real amid reports of Russia preparing a hybrid operation involving unmarked soldiers, as cited by German intelligence. Vladimir Putin seems to be growing more confident that with
1/8 Image
Donald Trump in the White House, he can test NATO’s resolve, exploit hesitation among some member states, and probe the reaction to the invocation of Article 5, hoping to sow doubt and create division within the alliance. However, the window of opportunity for such actions
2/8 Image
is rapidly closing for the Kremlin—Russia is exhausted by the war in Ukraine, its combat-ready forces are depleted, and its resources are limited. Yet the risk of such a step remains high, as for a limited scenario involving the deployment of a 30–50 thousand strong group
3/8 Image
Read 8 tweets
Jun 6
Ukraine does not strike at random or hit arbitrary targets. Every operation is a well-planned step. Last year’s series of strikes on oil depots, the drone attacks on military electronics factories in recent months, and now—carriers of long-range missiles. The list doesn’t end
1/7 Image
with the destruction of over 20 bombers. A fuel storage facility for those bombers was also hit in Engels, and for the first time, Ukraine successfully targets Russian Iskanders before launch. They are almost impossible to intercept and extremely deadly. The principle is
2/7 Image
simple: kill the archer, not the arrows—because that archer continues to terrorize Ukraine’s civilian population. On the night of June 6, Russia launched a massive attack on Ukraine using missiles and drones. According to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Russia launched
3/7 Image
Read 7 tweets
Jun 5
Putin responded decisively to the destruction of his air force’s aircraft—he called Trump and every possible politician in the EU. No red button—just whining that Ukraine is escalating the conflict and refusing negotiations. He also released a video accusing Ukraine of
1/12 Image
terrorism, but notably did not mention the airfields; instead, he commented on the collapse of bridges, a story mostly overshadowed by the far more significant events. He claimed it was Ukraine that has no intention of pursuing peace talks. This narrative has been ongoing
2/12 Image
for several months and is aimed entirely at the West, because it works—especially with Trump’s administration, which continues to delay the implementation of new sanctions. This entire propaganda show will continue as long as it remains effective. One of the most recent
3/12 Image
Read 12 tweets
Jun 4
Anyone claiming that Russia will now deliver a powerful retaliatory strike is likely on the Kremlin's payroll. It's been three days since Ukraine's brilliant operation, and Russia's only response has been a long-range rocket attack on Sumy. I mentioned this in my previous
1/20 Image
article, but I’ll repeat it—Russia has nothing left with which to respond. It has already thrown everything it has into the war against Ukraine. According to different sources, destroyed Russian bombers had been preparing for a new massive missile strike on civilian
2/20 Image
cities, which was supposed to be the largest of the war. Ukraine is not escalating—it is defending itself. And there's nowhere left to escalate to. Russia has no hidden secret power, as its propaganda constantly claims. Nuclear weapons? Those too are mostly a product of
3/20 Image
Read 20 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(