Russia has lost its 3rd and final operational rail ferry in the entire Black Sea.
Ukrainian forces struck the port of Kavkaz, Russian-occupied Crimea and heavily damaged the ferry Slavyanin. The Slavyanin is the last operational rail ferry Russia has in the entire Black Sea. Photo 1
Previously heavily damaged on May 30th 2024.
Conro Trader
Avangard photo
Photos 2 and 3
The only other rail fairy that was previously operational was the
Annenkov which operated the Kerch-Kavkaz Ferry which suffered multiple hull cracks in 2018 last report the vessel was beached in Aliaga Turkey November 21 2023 to prevent sinking. Photo 4
Photo from today's attack on the rail ferry Slavyanin
The consequences of the attacks on these rail ferries were immediately clear. We had a video show up on social media on June 9th showing the first freight rail train going back across the Kerch strait bridge carrying fuel.
This was the first freight train spotted crossing the bridge since February 2024. Russia now has no dedicated Rail Ferries in the entire Black Sea. They have lost the capability to transport rail cars by sea and now will have to start using the Kerch strait bridge again to supply Russian forces in Crimea and Occupied Kherson.
They have also lost the ability to ship fuel to Turkey along the Samsun-Kavkaz Rail Ferry Line
Russia's sea lift capability is now virtually non-existent and they will have to start using the bridge once again. Which now means that there will be a large quantity of explosives and fuel crossing the bridge multiple times a day, making the bridge vulnerable to significant damages if attacked.
Other consequences of this attack with the rail ferries being taken offline will likely also make the Russians reconsider whether or not to continue using regular car ferries across the Kerch strait and whether or not they want to risk losing that roll-on roll-off capability as well or preserve this capability and withdraw the ships and close the Kerch-Kavkaz Ferry.
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Updated Trump Assassination Attempt fields of view and locations.
Based on multiple videos that have come out over the weekend I have updated the locations of Police Officers and the fields of view of the two counter sniper teams, and several videos and locations of the shooter, 5 police officers, Trump and the 3 victims.
Based on all the videos so far it is almost certain that only Counter Sniper Team South had eyes on the shooter and their view was not completely obstructed by a tree. Had the shooter been 3ft further east, they would have also been obstructed by the tree and would not have had an ability to return fire leaving Thomas Matthew Crooks the ability to continue fire unimpeded at President Trump, his Secret Service detail, and the audience very likely resulting in more casualties.
Thomas Matthew Crooks had a clear line of sight on Trump and the position he selected gave him the best possible maximum concealment due to the line of trees to his front and laying on the far side of the roof with the rifle resting on the roof ridge beam. His line of fire is depicted as the 4 red arrows his position is the red dot.
Counter Sniper Team South had a line of sight on the shooter and almost certainly took the shot. Counter sniper team South line of fire is depicted as the white arrow and yellow dashed triangle is their field of view.
Counter Sniper team North had no line of sight on the shooter due to the tree. Counter Sniper Team North line of sight is depicted as the yellow dashed triangle.
3 different videos plus the account from the BBC male eyewitness had the clearest view of the shooter being near parallel to the shooter and also had line of sight of both Counter Sniper Teams and 4 police officers walking on the West, South sides of the building and several police cars and at least 1 officer on the Southeast corner of the building. Based on media reporting at least 1 officer climbed the ladder on the east side of the building.
These fields of view are depicted as the green dashed triangle.
Position of Trump depicted in Orange.
Positions depicted in Blue are the locations of;
Corey Comperatore
David Dutch
James Copenhaver
Based on the locations and field of view of the two counter sniper teams and the shooter, it appears that only the southern team depicted as team 1 was not completely obstructed by a tree. Had the shooter been 3ft further east, they would have also been obstructed by the tree and would not have had an ability to return fire leaving Thomas Matthew Crooks the ability to continue fire un-harassed at President Trump and his Secret Service detail.
Thomas Matthew Crooks had a clear line of sight on Trump and the position he selected gave him the best possible maximum concealment due to the line of trees to his front and laying on the far side of the roof with the rifle resting on the roof ridge beam. His line of fire is depicted as the red arrow.
Counter Sniper team 1 had a line of sight on the shooter and likely took the shot after orienting after the first three shots from the shooter. Counter sniper team 1 line of sight is orange dashed triangle and line of fire is the white arrow.
Counter Sniper team 2 had no line of sight on the shooter due to the tree. Counter Sniper Team 2 line of sight is depicted as the yellow dashed triangle.
BBC male eyewitnesses had the clearest view of the shooter being on equal elevation near parallel to the shooter and also had line of sight of both Counter Sniper Teams and was pointing to his left at the shooter. His point of view on the shooter is depicted as the green dashed triangle
Only been telling people this since last year and this specific line since the beginning of the year but it is now in full nearing full swing with 7 trains a day from Dontesk to Melitopol. Delivering supplies across the entire Surovikin Line.
Oh yes, because when we go to war with China that m777 howitzer It's going to be real effective trying to hit a target 4,000 miles away. Yep. Makes sense the Pacific theater is a joint Army theater you guys because we put the word joint in there that Army means the army is front and center. You heard it from the general zip it, it only contradicts 80 years worth of American strategy.
The way he comes off damn I would not want to be serving in the indo-pacific theater.
Yeah people live on land but the Pacific theater is spread out across vast bodies of water. Thousands of miles. Apart from each other, your howitzers and machine guns aren't going to do anything And how are you going to get your army equipment around the Pacific? You're going to need planes and ships, not trucks
To point out that the Army is front and center and has to be front and center in this joint operation because island nations militaries are mostly composed of an army this is the dumbest thing I've ever heard? Yeah, let's look at why those countries have predominantly land based force. They don't have money to field a vast fleet of ships and the United States has guaranteed naval protection.
Also we say joint theater, joint operation, joint this, joint that enough times will equate to. this is an Army operation now and the Navy and Air Force can leave not needed allies armed forces are like 60% army.
We don't need the Navy or Air Force because the Army can conduct asymmetrical warfare because it's jointness. Yeah, I like to see how your asymmetrical warfare is going to work over 60 million square miles
I will pull up the specific statements later tonight. To answer your question, Chris currently 12 countries have said yes
Those being 1) Estonia 🇪🇪 2) Latvia 🇱🇻 3) Lithuania 🇱🇹 4) Sweden 🇸🇪 5) Finland 🇫🇮 6) Poland 🇵🇱 7) Czech Republic 🇨🇿 8) United Kingdom 🇬🇧 9) France 🇫🇷 10) Netherlands 🇳🇱 11) Canada 🇨🇦
Want to quickly make Task Group North untenable for Russia here is a small list of items that could be targeted.
Small Sample of Rail Bridges that could be destroyed if the US would allow Ukraine to use its munitions within Russia. Aka main artery to Russian sanctuary network for Task Group North.
Small Sample of Traction stations in the region to significantly slow down and stop trains.
50.501893,36.394171
50.597474,36.631572
50.684795,36.627270
50.834872,36.632233
51.026501,36.704556
51.242811,36.699644
51.406387,36.749953
51.612260,36.495825
51.675180,36.345807
51.783258,36.234444
52.355047,35.506940
52.495404,34.205583
52.824511,34.488934
51.295585,37.617854
51.321066,37.863157
51.764592,38.110092
52.133010,38.284011
52.462199,38.599069
52.611567,38.579712
Small Sample of Power Stations that is destroyed would degrade the electrified rail network in the region.
53.108208,34.045558
53.150838,34.854057
52.728483,38.359184
52.484599,39.424350
52.539213,40.071931
51.056322,37.905889
50.195482,38.167724
50.605910,36.665825
50.657039,36.415182
This doesn't even include everything nor does it include Bed Down Locations, Troop concentration centers, C2 nodes, Air Defense, Fighting positions, weapon depots, munition depots, fuel depots list goes on and on but bare minimum if the trains can't function or have to be pushed an entire oblast away there goes the supply chain fuelingTask Group North and there goes the timely supply of Food, Fuel, Water, Munitions, and Equipment
If this was any other country that rail bridge right there would have been destroyed weeks if not months ago to prevent Task Group North from forming in the first place making these new offensive by Russia an untenable plan.
These are the consequences and the price that Ukraine is paying with slaughtered civilians in Vovchansk because President Biden, the National Security Council, Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense continue to deny Ukraine the ability to strike Russian objects that are directly supporting Russia's military operations within Russia. The policy made by this administration that such necessary strikes are "offensive" in nature and will only support "defensive operations" is not only inaccurate, but is actively degrading Ukrainian military operations and is ultimately endangering Ukrainian civilians and directly leading to unnecessary loss of life and property.