Crémieux Profile picture
Jul 26, 2024 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
The National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) handicaps energy developers and subjects them to a stifling bureaucratic process that is preventing them from building the energy infrastructure America needs to get and stay ahead of its geopolitical rivals.

🧵 Image
NEPA means review.

If you want to build something, the environmental impact has to be assessed. You need an environmental impact statement, and it can take a long time to deal with those.

So long, in fact, that many projects just shut down. Image
These projects are not one-offs either.

In fact, most solar and pipeline projects get hit by environmental impact statements, and large portions of them are canceled after putting up with the delays. Image
Often when we talk about the government impeding progress, we talk about invisible graveyards.

For example, in the 1980s, it was alleged that the FDA created an invisible graveyard of gay men who couldn't get sufficient medical treatment for HIV as a result of agency decisions.
With NEPA, it's harder to see what the regulations cause us to miss out on because the graves aren't usually so literal.

But we have something very close: wildfires.

I'm sure some of you will remember when the sky over San Francisco turned an eerie red. Image
Destructive wildfires are unfortunately common in the U.S., but they don't have to be

Sadly, when the Forest Service applies to treat more forest to prevent wildfires, they have to undergo NEPA review, delaying their ability to do their jobs.

Result? Flammable, overgrown woods. Image
The irony of the "National Environmental Policy Act" is that it is killing the environment.

Entrepreneurs and the government alike want to do things to make the U.S. a greener, safer, and less polluted place, but NEPA has made that process arduous and often impossible.
Like the Jones Act, NEPA must be fixed.

All of this comes from @AidanRMackenzie's new piece on NEPA and the need for reform.

Go give the piece a read: ifp.org/how-nepa-will-…

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More from @cremieuxrecueil

Apr 6
The state of Louisiana has managed to reduce its Hepatitis C death rate by nearly a sixth in just a few years through a clever public health program🧵 Image
Louisiana's success has to do with the recent development of a miraculous change in how Hepatitis C (HCV) is treated.

Prior to 2013, HCV was primarily treated with drugs like interferon and ribavirin, but the drugs were not consistently effective at clearing the virus.Image
But then the FDA approved the first direct-acting antiviral (DAA), sofosbuvir, a liver-targeting NS5B protein inhibitor that, combined with another protein inhibitor (velpatasvir), is effective in treating 95-99% of HCV patients.

That's basically everyone! Image
Read 15 tweets
Apr 5
We finally have large-scale cross-sectional functional connectome scans for people aged young and old.

The finding that was most interesting to me in all this is that the brain's functional connectome seems to grow until about age 38, whereafter it starts shrinking. Image
Ignore the tails, because they're impacted by variance.

But speaking of, it seems that the global variance in the form of the connectome also grows until about age 28, whereafter it starts becoming less variable.Image
This is really interesting new data, and I'm happy to see it published.

Hopefully in a few decades, we'll have longitudinal data to see if what we see in the cross-section holds up within individuals, too!
Read 4 tweets
Apr 5
Pirenne's thesis holds that Antiquity—the period when economic activity concentrated in the Mediterranean—ended because the rise of Islam destroyed the flow of trade across it. Image
The decline in trade that resulted from differences in faith had profound consequences for the economic geography of Europe.

Byzantine economic activity depended on trade, and it collapsed, whereas the Frankish economy, which was never trade-dependent, transformed.
The Byzantines' minting stalled and the Arabs' and Franks' increased (perhaps partly because they were cut off from one another!), providing each of their states with divergent trends in seignorage revenues and a widening gulf in the ability to fund the government.
Read 5 tweets
Apr 5
Does sugar make people fat?

That's the thesis of tons of books, articles, and bits of popular writing, but is it true?

The answer seems to be "no", but the cross-sectional evidence suggests it's "yes". Why? Because people believe the answer is "yes"!🧵

Consider this data:Image
In 2000, the U.S. government began warning people against consuming foods containing added sugars.

In 2011-12, Gary Taubes started promoting his view that sugar "sets the stage for epidemic levels of obesity and diabetes".

When people heard this, they changed habits.
The sugar share of people's carbohydrate intake fell, as my graph shows, and then everything got better...

Scratch that. It kept getting worse.

But more interestingly, sugar consumption became associated with worse socioeconomic status and health habits: Image
Read 12 tweets
Apr 4
Here's a fun question to start the thread🧵

What differentiates the countries in orange from the countries in blue?

Why did the orange countries plunge into ultra-low fertility, while the blue ones have maintained themselves better? Image
The countries in the first set are "Group 1 Nations". In the second set, they're "Group 2 Nations".

Notice anything about their growth rates? One thing is that they've all grown to similar enough levels.

Another is the acceleration of the pace of growth. Image
In Group 1, nations started off a bit richer, and they grew at a more stable pace.

In Group 2, nations started off poorer, but they caught up to Group 1 by growing faster in the latter half of the 20th century.

Their fertility rate trajectories followed suit. Image
Read 12 tweets
Apr 3
Timeline's feeling down. Thread of good news.

At every age, the incidence of dementia is down. As a society, people are no longer suffering dementia nearly as often! Image
The world over, child mortality is way down. It's unusual for parents to experience the death of a child these days, where even a century ago, it was the global norm. Image
Each year, novel gene therapies are approved.

The number of gene therapies in the pipeline is also rapidly increasing. There is tons of progress to be made here, and the main issue is regulatory.

We have lots of low-hanging fruit in curing disease! Image
Read 13 tweets

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