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Trent Telenko Profile picture
@TrentTelenko
Jul 27 • 5 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
This is a "Flaming datum" of the complete "Lanchester Square Collapse" of Russian ground based strategic air defenses.

Most VKS high altitude SAM batteries went to Ukraine...

...and died.

A Strategic Implications🧵
1/
Russian air space is as vulnerable to high altitude penetrations as it was in the 1950's.

Rather than needing SRAM's to deal with ground launched SAM batteries.

2/
 twz.com/28180/b-52-wou…
B-52's with a powerful AESA radar and a dozen SM-6/AIM-174 will overmatch any Russian Fighter air to air missile.

Especially since a B-52 could use the SM-6 booster stage on the AIM-174 that is too heavy for carrier landings on an F-18.

3/
 twz.com/air/aim-174-mi…


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And the B-52's would have ADM-160 MALD decoys on internal rotary launcher for Russian air-to-air missiles.

General Curtis LeMay is giggling beyond the grave.

4/4


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More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jul 29
I am strongly recommending reading this @wartranslated post where Alexander Kharchenko detail the collapse of RuAF motor transportation to the front lines.

FPV drones are strangling RuAF logistics in the "last 10 km" now, compared to one km in July 2023.

FPV shaping🧵
1/
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Alexander Kharchenko validates my earlier posts about there being no evidence of dedicated Russian logistics elements.

When Kharchenko talks about the need for heavy multicopter drones and uncrewed ground vehicles to move through the FPV blockade...
2/
...he says the following:

"And this should be done by specially trained advanced logistics teams."

"Advanced Logistics" is a term Kharchenko uses to describe crossing the last 10 km from trucks to tenches.

This underlines mobik "animal labor logistics"...

3/ Image
Read 17 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jul 27
I can't begin to tell you how unprecedented this statement is in the history of warfare:

Quote from Nataliia Kalmykova: "We have a very high percentage of quality rehabilitation and return to service. This is also noted by our

AFU casualty ratio🧵
1/
 pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/…
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...Western partners, those countries that have never had such an experience,such a war as ours. These are over 75% of the wounded [who return to active duty]. They have suffered injuries of varying degrees of severity."

2/
Wounded in addition to the dead are functions of prompt medical care & medical evacuation logistics.

Late 20th century combat casualty ratios are ~4 wounded for every death.

3/
Read 11 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jul 27
The primary 21st century counterbattery threat has quickly evolved into being FPV drones:

"Artillery (34) 31 Russian howitzers were damaged counter-battery fire.
27 of which used fpv drones in the counter-battery role, three from shelling."

Drones vs Artillery🧵
1/
According to @RyanO_ChosenCoy in a @secretsqrl123 space yesterday, the top end Ukrainian FPV's based in 13 inch FOV frames cost $4,000m have a 50 km one way range and has a jamming proof 5 km thermal/machine vision homing.

2/
To pull off a 50 km shot will require a few line of radio repeater drones, but this is becoming easier as Ukraine has begun deploying its Mission Control module (MCM) C4ISR technology.

3/
 mil.in.ua/en/news/ukrain…
Read 19 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jul 27
What is scary for me here is that Crooks used a commercial drone to do final surveillance of site security before his attack.

That, and this letter, indicates to me that USSS at Butler PA lacked both drone detection capability and drone jamming guns, as well as drones.

1/
It also tracks with the USSS technological backwardness with the complete lack of visible gunfire location sensors at the Butler, PA rally.

Raytheon's McKinney, TX facilities dealing with such kit were local to me in 2010

2/
 spacewar.com/reports/Acoust…


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...when I worked for DCMA Dallas.

I'd have thought every USSS Presidential candidate detail would have had them by 2016, let alone 2024.

@dbongino and @susancrabtree should be asking questions about this since no one else wants to go there.

3/3 Image
Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jul 26
The idea that there is any such thing as "Cover" from an FPV drone is purest copium.

Drone operators can land their FPV's and wait if you have have a hatch or door they cannot fly through.

1/
And when you are in any place that has an opening for radio signals and a quadcopter.

Infantry are going to lose close quarters battle fights with a high explosive kamikazes.

2/
And FPV's can follow trails under camouflage nets right into heavy weapon positions.

3/
Read 5 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jul 25
While this is true about Ex-Soviet arms stockpiles versus new production.⬇️

The thing to watch like a hawk is Russian railway operations.

Russian railway watch🧵
1/
The Russian railways living on Cold War rolling stock (40%) & infrastructure, now ended contracting out to Europe, and now has less advanced Chinese rail contractors, means Russia is on right side of the curve below.

2/
Russian railway car trucks (illustrative photo⬇️) rely upon Western SKF & Amsted cassette bearings that have not been supplied since May 2022 and the Russian co-production facilities were shut down from a lack of proprietary software...

3/
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Read 7 tweets

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