Thread by @LarrySchweikart

Per @RealSKeshel
1) The registration shifts in Arizona are so significant as to be mind blowing: it is across the board, in every single county.

2) All 15 counties now have more Rs than in 2020, both actually and proportionally.

@RealSKeshel 3) Two counties flipped completely from D to R: Navajo & Yuma

4) Even deep blue Pima shifted to the right.

5) Navajo, Mohave, and Yavapai all shifted about 6% to the right.

7) Maricopa alone added 51,000 NET new Rs

@RealSKeshel 8) Pinal, already a red county, saw 14,000 MORE Rs sign up.

9) Coconino, a county with a lot of Native Americans, saw a D LOSS of 5500 and an R+4 shift.

10) Yuma, a Hispanic heavy country, saw a shift of 3.4% with 4,600 Ds leaving.

@RealSKeshel 11) At this rate, by election day, AZ will be R+7.

12) The question is, why are polls even close? A couple of hypotheses:

*Richard Baris thinks party registration follows the polls, not leads. I disagree, because these #s are well outside of current polling margins.

@RealSKeshel *Most other pollsters, I think, simply haven't paid attention to these massive shifts. They are still going by 2022, when Kari Lake was sunk by 100,000 McTurdites (who now are swamped).

13) AZ has both machine AND PAPER backup making machine cheating almost impossible.

@RealSKeshel 14) (The 2020 cheat was done almost entirely by the "mules," with the absentee/early ballots sent over a four month period. They have less than 30 days this time, plus Rs are "ballot harvesting."

15) In short, the new numbers suggest both the McTurdites & fraud have been swamped

@RealSKeshel 16) LARGE numbers of voters are shifting in overwhelmingly Indian and Hispanic counties, suggesting President Trump is indeed getting a lot of those voters.

17) In sum, I'm not at all concerned about AZ on election say, but I think DemoKKKrats will be shocked at the margin.