Ryan Cummings Profile picture
Jul 29 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
So on the issue of the Libyan nationals who were found at a military camp in Mpumalanga province, I decided to see if I could source information from Libyan media on the development. And came across some very interesting information (Thread)
The Libyans are members of the so called Tariq bin Ziyad Brigade that is affiliated with notorious Libyan National Army commander, Khalifa Haftar. The Libyans were sent to South Africa to receive training as 'special forces' under supervision of an undisclosed Irish security firm
It should be noted that the Tariq Ben Zeyad militia has been found to have committed various war crimes in Libya, violent suppressing any form of dissent to the LNA and Khalifa Haftar. Here is an @amnesty report on the group and its various atrocities. amnesty.org/en/latest/news…
Of further interest is Khalifa Haftar - and by extension the Tariq Ben Zeyad (TBZ) militia - alignment with Russia and specifically their ties to the Wagner Group) now Africa Corps) paramilitary force.
If confirmed to indeed by TBZ members
- with Libyan reports claiming that Haftar is already seeking to secure the release of the detained nationals - it will raise further questions on South Africa's position regarding Libya (and by extension) Russia and
What is especially interesting are claims of how men of Asian descent - who could not speak English - were cited as being involved in several rape cases in areas near the camp. As noted, sexual assault is a trademark of the TBZ sowetanlive.co.za/news/south-afr…

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More from @Pol_Sec_Analyst

Jul 30
So following my thread on the supposed identity of the 95 Libyans who were detained in White River, Mpumalanga, concern has been raised as to whether South Africa could be hosting training camps that are being used by terrorist groups. Such concerns certainly have merit (thread)
First verifiable reports of South Africa hosting training camps for the al-shabaab terrorist group surfaced in 2013 following the attack on Nairobi's Westgate shopping complex. Details of this were contained in an intelligence dossier provided to Kenyan president Uhuru Kenyatta
This report documented that Kenyan security forces had disrupted an al-Shabaab terrorist plot in Nairobi in December 2011. Organised by alleged mastermind of the Westgate assault, Abdukadir Mohammed, the plot was reportedly hatched within South Africa.
Read 14 tweets
Oct 26, 2022
BREAKING: US Embassy issues security message warning of a possible terrorist attack in the Sandton area of johannesburg za.usembassy.gov/security-alert…
South Africa is the latest African state for which the US government has issued a terrorist warning in the past week. Follows a 23 October terrorism warning for Abuja, Nigeria
At this stage, difficult to comment on how credible threats are. US govt tend to issue terrorism warnings when they do have access to 8ntel which speaks to some specific threat. Lots of adverse political consequences of issuing such advisories without material evidence
Read 4 tweets
May 8, 2021
Today marks the first morning home after after seeking clinical treatment for my depression & anxiety. When I started the process two weeks ago I was filled with fear, hopelessness and weakness. This morning I see my decision as the ultimate act of bravery, courage and self love
While I am far from recovered, I am on the right track and acknowledge that finding my personal utopia is a process & not an event. I have no affirmations to pronounce nor magical pills to promote. All I can say is that there is help no matter how hopeless and destitute you feel
I can also use the platform that I have to assist in destigmatizing mental health illness and promote the efforts of @TheSADAG who remain selfless in providing mental health resources to all who need it. Lets continue to raise awareness during this #MentalHealthAwarenessMonth
Read 5 tweets
Jul 9, 2020
As per @darren_olivier thread, South Africa may have already deployed an elite squadron to assist in countering Islamists in northern Mozambique, without parliamentary disclosure. There are also reports that South Africa tacitly endorsed deployment of DAG PMC in Cabo Delgado
These developments come after ISIS warned via its al-Naba publication on 03 July that it would open up a fighting front in South Africa if the SANDF deployed against the groups Mozambican branch in Cabo Delgado province
As I cautioned on 21 May, any SANDF deployment in Mozambique risks punitive attacks by isis networks which are entrenched in South Africa as I detail in the thread below mobile.twitter.com/pol_sec_analys…
Read 4 tweets
Apr 12, 2020
South Africa's relatively low number of #covid19 infection & mortality rates, is the only reason why there is debate regarding the merits of lockdown. Its initiation - as elsewhere - was an unprecedented measure to best preserve human life which its achieved to date
Its relative effectiveness has now become its primary point of contention. Those slating lockdown due to its economic impacts, hardly credit it for its role in possibly preventing a pervasive outbreak many anticipated would occur & which could've led to widespread social disorder
So now, the argument presented is that lockdown will still end up delivering the very societal breakdown which it was aimed to mitigate. These narratives continue to play out with the recurring theme that South Africa's black poor will seek out any opportunity to create anarchy
Read 5 tweets
Mar 20, 2019
A paradox of us - the so called 'previously disadvantaged' of South Africa - and our collective responsibility in our country's status quo. Has our drive for upward socio-economic mobility drained our communities of skills & investment which we have taken to developed areas?
I come from the Cape Flats (Athlone specifically) where apartheid spatial segregation when that skills which we gained within our community were legislated to stay there. We had doctors, lawyers, teachers who serviced our communities. When legislation lifted, we moved out
We took our skills, resources & even our finance with us. Leaving our neglected communities to a governing structures which were underdeveloped and to predatory to look after those who lacked the opportunities we often secured, merely through chance. Are we part of the problem?
Read 4 tweets

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