@metalayerxyz - is a decentralized, permissionless, and Turing-complete computation platform that enables the secure execution of arbitrary code and attestation of the results
@DegenPumpGame - The craziest co-op RPG where you and your squad embark on epic adventures in a wild and wacky world! Get ready to level up, fight monsters, and collect loot!
How to Earn on Polymarket Without Just Betting Big
Polymarket is a go-to crypto app for many (including me) to predict events daily
But how do you earn without risky bets?
Hereβs a thread on real strategies to make money with Polymarket.
No focus on airdrop farming, just solid approaches. Lezzgo! π§΅(1/4)
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1. Delta-Neutral Strategies with Linear Probability Growth
Find correlated events to build near delta-neutral strategies, betting on rising probabilities, not outcomes.
My Example (May 1):
Bet βNoβ on βBTC > $98K by weekβs endβ (36 hrs left, trading at 0.89, ~12% ROI if BTC < $98K).
Current BTC price: $95K, comfy margin.
Hedge:
Buy βYesβ on βBTC > $100K in Mayβ (0.67).
Math:
100 shares βNoβ (<$98K).
200 shares βYesβ (>$100K).
If BTC spikes, βNoβ loses ~$39, but βYesβ gains ~$39.
Risk:
BTC drops below $92Kβ93K in 24 hrs. Set stop on hedge at 0.62 for breakeven/minimal loss.
Result:
BTC rose, probabilities shifted, and I made +10% in 12 hrs.
Key: Youβre betting on probability shifts, not the event itself.
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2.Arbitrage Betting: The Safest Play
Arbitrage is king for risk-free gains. Find inefficiencies across Polymarket or other platforms. Inspired by @PixOnChain βs guide (must-read!).
Types:
- Similar Events, Different Wording:
Ex: βTrump wins 2024β (60%) vs. βRepublicans winβ (50%).
If combined probability >100%, itβs arbitrage.
Bet $100 on βNo Trumpβ (40%) + $100 on βRepublicans winβ (50%).
Outcomes:
Trump wins: Was $200. Lost $100. Got $200. Youβre even.
The market is growing, lots of success stories and new wealth
Don't waste your time and energy on FOMO β
It's better to focus on early projects and narratives that can give you X10-100 π
I will help you and save you many hours of research πͺ
Projects for Feb 17-20 π§΅
1/
The projects are categorized as follows:
1οΈβ£ New projects
2οΈβ£ Straknet eco
3οΈβ£ Degen section
βEach project was filtered by of Alpha-Hunters (from my database) , @getmoni_io and @TweetScout_io score