How to Earn on Polymarket Without Just Betting Big

Polymarket is a go-to crypto app for many (including me) to predict events daily

But how do you earn without risky bets?

Here’s a thread on real strategies to make money with Polymarket.

No focus on airdrop farming, just solid approaches. Lezzgo! 🧵(1/4)

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1. Delta-Neutral Strategies with Linear Probability Growth

Find correlated events to build near delta-neutral strategies, betting on rising probabilities, not outcomes.

My Example (May 1):
Bet “No” on “BTC > $98K by week’s end” (36 hrs left, trading at 0.89, ~12% ROI if BTC < $98K).

Current BTC price: $95K, comfy margin.

Hedge:
Buy “Yes” on “BTC > $100K in May” (0.67).

Math:
100 shares “No” (<$98K).

200 shares “Yes” (>$100K).

If BTC spikes, “No” loses ~$39, but “Yes” gains ~$39.

Risk:
BTC drops below $92K–93K in 24 hrs. Set stop on hedge at 0.62 for breakeven/minimal loss.

Result:
BTC rose, probabilities shifted, and I made +10% in 12 hrs.
Key: You’re betting on probability shifts, not the event itself.

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2.Arbitrage Betting: The Safest Play

Arbitrage is king for risk-free gains. Find inefficiencies across Polymarket or other platforms. Inspired by @PixOnChain ’s guide (must-read!).

Types:

- Similar Events, Different Wording:
Ex: “Trump wins 2024” (60%) vs. “Republicans win” (50%).
If combined probability >100%, it’s arbitrage.
Bet $100 on “No Trump” (40%) + $100 on “Republicans win” (50%).

Outcomes:
Trump wins: Was $200. Lost $100. Got $200. You’re even.

Non-Trump Republican: Was $200. Got $450. +$250.

Democrat: Was $200. Lost $100. Got $250. +$50.

- Cross-Platform Arbitrage:

Ex: “Next Pope” market (Polymarket + @MyriadMarkets):

Pietro Parolin: 35.2¢ (@MyriadMarkets)

Luis Antonio Tagle: 30¢ (Polymarket)

Other: 32.7¢ (MyriadMarkets)

Total: 97.9¢. Buy all three, get $1 back.
Profit: 2.1% risk-free.

- Time Delays:
If you catch news/rumors early, act fast before odds adjust.

Platforms to Check: @KalshiHQ, @ZeitgeistPM, @DriftProtocol, @HedgehogMarkets, @PredictFun, @BookmakerXyz, @JuicyBetNet, @PinWinXyz, @GamblrXyz, @Foreland_io, @TopcastersApp, @Kleros_io, @HyperMindHQ, @FutuurHQ, @ManifoldMarkets, @PredictIt.

Pro tip: Always verify liquidity and event wording.

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3. Delta-Neutral with Extra Tools

Here’s an example of my late-March strategy, blending Polymarket with @GammaSwapLabs straddles (volatility bets + futures with stops).

This setup isn’t common, tough to spot, and short-term. The trick is Polymarket giving returns on low volatility or strong one-way moves.

I spend a lot of time on calculations with AI help.
Check my tweet for more details on this one

Next 👇

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4. Farming Yields on Obvious Events

Many events are about to happen but still aren’t priced at 100%.

Check Polymarket’s leaderboard—top players use this to pull high %APR, outpacing even DeFi protocols.

You can copy-trade the most successful ones, but always double-check the events.

Tool HashDveApp offers deep analytics on events, wallets, and whales
Lots of good stuff there, though you can find plenty on Polymarket’s site too.

The bull market is in the same room with us

So right now the most valuable resource is time to find the Gems at X10-100 💨

I'll save you dozens of hours of researching new projects and narratives
in my regular Threads 💪

Selection from July 19-30 🧵👇 1/

The projects are categorized as follows:
1️⃣ New projects
2️⃣ Degen Section (hish risk DYOR)

❗Each project was filtered by of Alpha-Hunters (from my database) , @getmoni_io and @TweetScout_io score

The market is growing, lots of success stories and new wealth

Don't waste your time and energy on FOMO ❗

It's better to focus on early projects and narratives that can give you X10-100 🚀
I will help you and save you many hours of research 💪

Projects for Feb 21-23 🧵 1/

❗Each project was filtered by of Alpha-Hunters (from my database) , @getmoni_io and @TweetScout_io score

The market is growing, lots of success stories and new wealth

Don't waste your time and energy on FOMO ❗

It's better to focus on early projects and narratives that can give you X10-100 🚀
I will help you and save you many hours of research 💪

Projects for Feb 17-20 🧵 1/

The projects are categorized as follows:
1️⃣ New projects
2️⃣ Straknet eco
3️⃣ Degen section
❗Each project was filtered by of Alpha-Hunters (from my database) , @getmoni_io and @TweetScout_io score

It is that bull market right now, when new future X10-100 project-stars begin to take shape 📈

But reserch takes a long time

Don't worry, I'll do all the work for you 💪
I'll find new interesting projects and filter them thoroughly.

The projects Feb 7-11 🧵 1/
❗Each project was filtered by of Alpha-Hunters (AH-%) , @getmoni_io and
@TweetScout_io score

@SurgeFinancexyz - Self-repaying stablecoin loans powered by Solana.

AlphaScore 🟨🟨🟨🟨🟨

MoniScore 🟩🟩🟩🟩⬜️

TweetScore 🟩🟩🟩🟩⬜️

The Ordinals and BRC-20 sector has shown the most X's the past half years 🚀

But absolutely no idea about it?👀

Don't worry, I'll be doing a regular roundup of events, accounts, projects

We've found over 100x before and we'll find it again 💪

Dec 29 - 6 Jan🧵👇 1/ BRC20 Inscriptions Bitcoin Ordinals

💥Alpha list of UPCOMING Ordinal projects 💥

https://x.com/goatedxyz/status/1743615275344204286?s=20

If you missed market growth📈 and are plagued by Fomo, the best solution is

To Switch to early projects
And short narratives 🔥

I spend many hours every day researching and carefully selecting these projects and narratives🔍

Projects for Dec. 26-29🧵 1/

The projects are categorized as follows:
1️⃣New projects
2️⃣Degen Section

❗Each project was filtered by of Alpha-Hunters (AH-%) and @TweetScout_io's score

If you missed market growth📈 and are plagued by Fomo, the best solution is

To Switch to early projects
And short narratives 🔥

I spend many hours every day researching and carefully selecting these projects and narratives🔍

Projects for Dec. 22-25🧵 1/

The projects are categorized as follows:
1️⃣New projects
2️⃣Degen Section

❗Each project was filtered by of Alpha-Hunters (AH-%) and @TweetScout_io's score

The market is greening up📈 and that means you need to be more active so you don't miss out on opportunities 📷

I regularly look for new projects and narratives for next 10-100x 🔍

And share them with you to save you hours of research🤝
Projects for Dec. 14-17 🧵🧵 1/

The projects are categorized as follows:
1️⃣ Hot 🔥
2️⃣ New projects
3️⃣ Degen Section

❗Each project was filtered by of Alpha-Hunters (AH-%) and @TweetScout_io's score

The bull market is flying , so many fraudulent new projects, I have to spend more time on the filter

Crypto is pumping, lots of activity, different trends, new narratives, hundreds of guide-trades🤯

It can give you a headache
Don't worry

In my new regularly section of the TO DO💪
You will find the most relevant activities for any bankroll + video

Activity on 15dec 🧵 1/

1️⃣Activity without investment

2️⃣Bulking volume(dex,bridges)

3️⃣Passive option (LSDfi and Chains)

1-2 times a week the list will be added/removed + possible changes to past strategies
The main advice is to use as many accounts as possible

If you missed market growth📈 and are plagued by Fomo, the best solution is

To Switch to early projects
And short narratives

I spend many hours every day researching and carefully selecting these projects and narratives🔍

Projects for Nov. 27-28 🧵 1/

The projects are categorized as follows:
1️⃣ New projects
2️⃣ Degen section

❗Each project was filtered by of Alpha-Hunters (AH-%) and @TweetScout_io's score

The market is greening up📈 and that means you need to be more active so you don't miss out on opportunities 📷

I regularly look for new projects and narratives 🔍

And share them with you to save you hours of research🤝
Projects for Nov. 24-26🧵 1/12

The projects are categorized as follows:

1️⃣ New projects
2️⃣ Degen section

❗Each project was filtered by of Alpha-Hunters (AH-%) and @TweetScout_io's score

The market is greening up📈 and that means you need to be more active so you don't miss out on opportunities 💪

I regularly look for new projects and trends 🔍

And share them with you to save you hours of research🤝

Projects for Nov. 12-13 🧵👇 1/

The projects are categorized as follows:
1️⃣ New projects /1 - /11
2️⃣ Degen section /12

❗Each project was filtered by of Alpha-Hunters (AH-%) and @TweetScout_io's score

Twitter(X) has changed its algorithms

Now it's hard for new projects to get off the ground It's harder for people to find alpha projects😢

Don't worry, I'll do all the work for you

Interesting projects for Oct. 26-27 🧵👇 1/

The projects are categorized as follows:
1️⃣ New projects
2️⃣ Degen section
❗Each project was filtered by of Alpha-Hunters (AH-%) and @TweetScout_io's score

The main trends are the same:
➤ SocialFi
➤ GambleFi
➤ Web3 games projects

One of the most effective ways to make money in the current PVP market is - Early Alpha

I spend many hours every day searching and doing all the work for you

Today's Alpha Pick.
+ The Largest list of fresh projects @friendtech 1/

The projects are categorized as follows:

1️⃣ New projects
2️⃣ Degen section
3️⃣ @friendtech's projects

Each project will have a number of Alpha-Hunters (AH-%) and
@TweetScout_io 's score

Want to make good profits with a small deposit? The key is getting in early on alpha projects, not just relying on airdrops.

Rest assured, I dedicate over 6 hours daily to finding early opportunities and handling the work for you.

Explore the projects for July 25 👇 1/

The projects are categorized as follows:

1️⃣ New projects
2️⃣ Interesting projects with a small number of subscribers but a high percentage of Alpha Hunters
3️⃣ Degen section

Each project will have a number of Alpha-Hunters (AH-%) and
@TweetScout_io 's score

New token standards like BRC20, LTC20, and DRC20 can be confusing for even the most experienced crypto enthusiasts. 😫

If you're feeling lost, don't worry. I've collected all the information you need to get up to speed. 🏃‍♂️

Bookmark it (0/12)🧵👇 1/

Navigation

What it is and how to use it
1️⃣ BRC20
2️⃣ SRC20
3️⃣ ORC20
4️⃣ LTC20
5️⃣ DRC20
6️⃣ Interesting accounts to keep an eye on

Hey, did you miss out on #pepe and #wojak?

Don't worry, I'll tell you about the new trend #BRC20 that has the potential to bring in even more profits, and
Not many people know about it

I'll also let you in on a potential #Airdrop - Token Confirmed 🧵👇 1/

In this topic, we'll get acquainted with wallet platforms through which you can buy, mint, and sell #BRC20

0️⃣ About
1️⃣ @unisat_wallet (token confirmed)
2️⃣ @ordinalswallet (potential airdrop)
3️⃣ Trustless market