Andrew Perpetua Profile picture
Aug 6 2 tweets 1 min read Read on X
i see people finally found the russia railroad article. i read it several days ago, i can sum it up like this:

1: putin signed a law that abolished the russian ministry of the railway which put rail under the ministry of transportation

2: the ministry of transportation split the profitable parts of rail across several agencies, and the unprofitable parts are neglected and ignored

3: the agencies pretty much randomly split apart their roles and barely work together

4: no salary increases for workers, even under crazy inflation

5: workers are mass quitting for all above reason

6: he wrote this whole section about how pissed he is the trains dont cook their own food anymore and now serve microwaved stuff. it was probably the thing hes more upset about

7: workers are leaving the industry entirely hoping to get out before shit hits the fan and putin panics.

and for those reasons he believes the russian railway will implode.

it has nothing to do with ballbearings.

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More from @AndrewPerpetua

Aug 7
Ukraine has been systematically destroying the electrical infrastructure and communications network in the Sudzha area for weeks.


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There were many more that we didn't have time to geolocate (which is why we need more geolocators helping us).
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Read 4 tweets
Jul 28
Who wins, a group of nomadic tribesman or Russia’s most elite soldiers fully kitted out with all modern gear and with air support?
Russia just really isn’t good at war. The only time they can have anything resembling success is when they have extreme overwhelming firepower and even then they will suffer catastrophic casualties and barely win.
People used to write about the greatness of the Russian military with a straight face. They wrote actual books about this. They made studying the Russian military their whole career and they never once realized how shit Russia is at literally everything. It is amazing to consider
Read 4 tweets
Jul 25
I have posted this drone pilot attacking first responders in the past. I'm not going to rehash it. But he is completely full of shit. Image
Also, searching my log of combat damage for 2 seconds led me to this
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and this Image
Read 7 tweets
Jul 19
Imagine waging war against a country that provides critical components of your electrical infrastructure, and then pissing off their allies so much that they ban the export to your country of even more critical components of your electrical infrastructure, and then conscripting the linemen and engineers who maintain your electrical infrastructure.
and then targeting the electrical infrastructure in the other country, which makes them hit yours back, but you cant repair things because you need the country you’re at war with to produce the replacement parts for you.
so then you look around at the countries still willing to do business with you, but none of them make components that are compatible with your electric grid, and if you used their stuff it would make the problem even worse, so you just stew in rolling power outages.
Read 6 tweets
Jul 15
It is insane to me that prop planes were never supplied to Ukraine. People have been so focused on the wrong assets. It has been clear since day 1 that prop planes would be one of the most significant military upgrades Ukraine could get, and if they were provided on Day 1 this war could be very different today. They could have been hunting and destroying recon drones this entire time, denying Russia the ability to plan their missile raids and correct their artillery fire and airstrikes. This would have crippled the Russian military. Instead, we put all of our money into defense, which could not be delivered in the time frames or in the quantities to actually defend ukraine. This failure to provide prop planes is completely infuriating to me.
And, even worse, the people who failed to understand how important the prop planes were back then are still in charge of making decisions today. That alone should worry everyone.
These people just don't understand how this war was going to be fought, is currently fought, or how it will be fought in the future. And yet, somehow, they make decisions on which gear should be invested in.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 12
It is honestly interesting seeing multiple prominent Russian milbloggers talking about the hopelessness of a Russian victory. I think they are starting to realize they goofed.
Sentiments along the lines of “no matter how many resources we push in, the front line barely moves”. “ukrainian and european production is growing faster than ours”. “next year ukraine will have more resources than us”
Tack on the comments about how 152mm artillery is a dead end technology due to lack of investment and development from the 80s onwards. Even their latest models, which Russia cannot even produce due to lack of industrial power, is dramatically inferior to even cheap 155mm pieces
Read 4 tweets

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