đź§µCNN piece that IDF is far from victory over Hamas is fake news that simply wishes this were true. CNN offers almost no evidence and relies on cherry-picked experts who have been claiming IDF failure since 10/7. Subtext: IDF has killed Gazans for nothing. Full analysis: 1/
CNN starts out slowly: Hamas has rebuilt some fighting capabilities. Fine. Article even admits Hamas is now a “guerilla force.” But authors then speculate, cite other experts who push line that “victory” over Hamas is not in sight, then it becomes “power of Hamas is growing”! 2/
CNN’s analysis relies on Hamas “claims” — Really? Despite never admitting any combatant deaths? Hiding Deif & Issa deaths? Also open source data. CNN offers no info from IDF, citing just one unnamed “Israeli source close to military.” IDF officially rejected CNN's thesis. 3/
Scant detail CNN reveals is stunning. Definition of Hamas battalion that has “reconstituted,” the main reason why CNN claims Israel is not winning, is “rebuild some military capabilities at least once in the last six months.” ONE time in SIX months = reconstituted battalion! 4/
CNN claims only 3 of 24 Hamas battalions are “combat ineffective” but then strangely also says 13 of 24 can only “conduct sporadic largely unsuccessful guerilla-style attacks.” Huh? Sure seems these 13 are also “combat ineffective.” CNN admits IDF calls them "dismantled"! 5/
CNN enlisted experts who are long standing Israel defeatists who have been pushing “IDF cannot beat Hamas, they're stronger now” since first week of war. Missing are any contra experts that I cite below, proving CNN had an agenda, not real analysis. Here is the IDF response: 6/
CNN cites Peter Mansoor who has been pushing the “Israel is losing” narrative since day one, of course he’s not going to change course now even with IDF achievements. Already on Oct 2023 he falsely claimed IDF was simply conducting war of “revenge” that would likely fail. 7/
In May 2024 Mansoor also claimed Israeli failure, that Israel should not have gone to war, it's only a political matter, Israel is ignoring “root causes” — but real root cause is Hamas’ aim to kill all Jews! Saying Israel only wants revenge undermines his entire view on Gaza. 8/
CNN also enlists Robert Pape who has pushed "Hamas is only getting stronger" line from the beginning. Kill them — stronger. Don't kill them — stronger. See how that works? Losing key military chiefs and only lifeline for arms (Egypt) somehow grows Hamas' power in Pape's eyes. 9/
Pape has not changed his thinking since day one and no doubt CNN knew he'd provide the quotes needed, that "power of Hamas is growing." @spencerguard demolished his views in discussion below: 10/
Apparently Hamas “recruiting like crazy” points to Israeli defeat. Really? Handing untrained men a rifle while every day IDF is picking them off wherever they congregate is the Hamas rebuilding of forces? Somehow we're to believe that Hamas is actually growing its power? 11/
CNN could have brought in other experts with alternative opinions, like from @Mr_Andrew_Fox for a real analysis. They could have let others evaluate the new "data" CNN supposedly has. But CNN and its lead author (more on her below) have an anti-Israel agenda to push. 12/
Fox, of the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst, wrote about his recent visit to Gaza to study IDF action. He addressed this CNN article, explaining that the “IDF is losing” is part of a months long agenda, part of a “desperation” to portray Israel as losing, when it is not. 13/
Leading war expert @spencerguard has stated "Israel is, by every definition, winning in Gaza". He recently wrote in Newsweek how the demise of key Hamas leaders are “major milestones to Israel being able to achieve their immediate goals in Gaza.” 14/
Another military expert, former US general David Deputa was recently in Gaza and lauded IDF action and success in Gaza, such as in destroying tunnels. CNN notably does not describe ANY IDF successes in Gaza. 15/
We also find clues about the agenda driven narrative based on previous writings of lead author @tamaraqiblawi -- she loathes Israel & “Zionism” adding to the evidence that this CNN piece is mostly propaganda, a deliberate distortion of reality. 16/ honestreporting.com/not-again-cnn-…
Defeatists, apologists & haters say Israel can’t win because they don’t want Israel to win. Sure, IDF has lots more painful work to do given Hamas’ human shield & baby kidnapping strategy. Bravo Hamas. But to claim they are stronger today is inane, as shown in chart below. END
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đź§µBritish MP @timfarron pulls out the fake claim that 97% of Gaza's water is unfit for humans, effectively implying Gazans are dying of thirst. It's the aquifer that is 97% unusable. But 90% of Gaza's water now comes from many desal plants built with foreign funding. Detail: 1/
A 2023 NPR report on Gaza's water situation revealed the truth, confirmed in other reports. Private & public desal plants are providing Gazans with clean water, as well as Israeli piped water. Investment in Gaza's desal has been going on for well over a decade pre-war. 2/
In 2017, the EU funded a major desal plant in Deir al Balah that provides water to 275,000 people in Rafah and Khan Younes. While Hamas was using billions to build tunnels, Europe was funding Gaza's water needs. 3/ ochaopt.org/content/larges…
🧵In Feb 2025, the WHO said it vaccinated 603,000 Gazan children under age 10—which EXCEEDS the population in this age group pre-war. This fact easily disproves claims that Gaza fatalities are undercounted by some massive amount as many are claiming. Evidence below: 1/
How many children under 10 lived in Gaza before and during the war? Using 10 years of actual birth data, we can estimate closely. Palestinian authorities report ~58,000 births/year in Gaza from 2007–2022. What about 2023 and 2024? Let’s break it down: 2/ pcbs.gov.ps/statisticsIndi…
UN and Save the Children report a rise to 60,000+ births in Gaza across 2023–2024—directly contradicting the UNHRC’s blood libel that Israel 'targeted female reproduction' in an alleged genocide. Again, the opposite happened. 3/
🚨Final Gaza fake “famine” analysis: IPC declared famine on Aug 22. Through ceasefire on Oct 10 there should have been 10,000 starvation deaths. But Hamas/UN counted 192 (most if not all with pre-existing conditions). That's 98% below famine levels. It was always a hoax. 1/
And it’s critical to distinguish deaths from pre-existing conditions that cause wasting vs deaths from literally no food available. 23,000 Americans died of malnutrition in 2023. No one says they were “starved to death”—they had underlying conditions. END
I've been asked for my sources here they are. On Aug 2021, UN OCHA, based on Gaza Ministry of Health data, reported 269 malnutrition deaths, see link. On Oct 9, UN OCHA reported 461 such deaths (see link), so in this period we arrived at 192 such deaths from Aug 22 through the ceasefire. On Aug 22, 2025 the IPC declared Famine in areas of Gaza. The report noted 500,000 Gazans in Phase 5 Famine and 1.07 million in Phase 4 Emergency, see link. By definition per IPC, Phase 5 means 2 per 10,000 in this condition die daily, and 1 per 10,000 in Phase 4. This is well known, but can be found in the IPC technical manual (see link to view manual) on page 51.
đź§µSTUNNING new statistic from Hamas' Ministry of Health shows adult males were killed at SIX TIMES the rate of adult women versus official lists showing only a 3x ratio. Huge gap exposes 1000s of male combatants removed from record but inadvertently revealed in this new data. 1/
This data corroborates my analysis below that estimated 7,000 male combatants were not placed on ANY LIST by Hamas, to hide their losses. It may be even greater than that. Trump recently confirmed that 25,000 Hamas combatants were killed. 2/
Prior analysis of Hamas fatality data showed that even they acknowledged that 73% of fatalities of combat age were male. But it appears now it's even higher than that. Proving a highly targeted war against male combatants conducted by the IDF. 3/
🧵Hamas’ human shield strategy is well documented but still denied & downplayed. Israeli hostages provide key confirmation — held in homes (some with tunnel shafts), children’s rooms, hospitals, mosques and watched by “civilians.” See 10 examples; first from Aloni Cunio. 1/
Eli Sharabi recounted his captivity in detail. His “first stop” into Gaza was to a mosque with a tunnel shaft leading to Hamas’ network. Also to apartment in an “ordinary children’s bedroom.” All detailed in this article and his new book “Hostage.” 2/ thefp.com/p/i-was-a-host…
Doron Katz Asher recounted to CNN how she and her daughters were kept in what she called a “so-called hospital” in Khan Younes because a hospital is “a place that is supposed to take care of people, but instead it was taken over by Hamas and they used it to hide hostages.” 3/
🧵Israel DID NOT kill 31 journalists in Yemen. It killed “Yemeni army staff" as article admits—specifically Houthi media operatives at Houthi sites. Houthis are a US-designated terrorist group. Geneva & US War Manual are clear: media personnel in the military are COMBATANTS. 1/
Houthis are a US-designated terrorist group. These were not independent journalists—they were part of the Houthi propaganda arm. No one called ISIS or Al-Qaeda media operatives “journalists.” But with Israel, different rules apply. 2/
Geneva Article 79 commentary makes clear that members of armed forces that are “connected with information"— like “staff of the Yemeni army’s official news outlet” (i.e. Houthi terrorists) are NOT protected as journalists. US War Manual agrees, see both key sections below: 3/