🧵CNN piece that IDF is far from victory over Hamas is fake news that simply wishes this were true. CNN offers almost no evidence and relies on cherry-picked experts who have been claiming IDF failure since 10/7. Subtext: IDF has killed Gazans for nothing. Full analysis: 1/
CNN starts out slowly: Hamas has rebuilt some fighting capabilities. Fine. Article even admits Hamas is now a “guerilla force.” But authors then speculate, cite other experts who push line that “victory” over Hamas is not in sight, then it becomes “power of Hamas is growing”! 2/
CNN’s analysis relies on Hamas “claims” — Really? Despite never admitting any combatant deaths? Hiding Deif & Issa deaths? Also open source data. CNN offers no info from IDF, citing just one unnamed “Israeli source close to military.” IDF officially rejected CNN's thesis. 3/
Scant detail CNN reveals is stunning. Definition of Hamas battalion that has “reconstituted,” the main reason why CNN claims Israel is not winning, is “rebuild some military capabilities at least once in the last six months.” ONE time in SIX months = reconstituted battalion! 4/
CNN claims only 3 of 24 Hamas battalions are “combat ineffective” but then strangely also says 13 of 24 can only “conduct sporadic largely unsuccessful guerilla-style attacks.” Huh? Sure seems these 13 are also “combat ineffective.” CNN admits IDF calls them "dismantled"! 5/
CNN enlisted experts who are long standing Israel defeatists who have been pushing “IDF cannot beat Hamas, they're stronger now” since first week of war. Missing are any contra experts that I cite below, proving CNN had an agenda, not real analysis. Here is the IDF response: 6/
CNN cites Peter Mansoor who has been pushing the “Israel is losing” narrative since day one, of course he’s not going to change course now even with IDF achievements. Already on Oct 2023 he falsely claimed IDF was simply conducting war of “revenge” that would likely fail. 7/
In May 2024 Mansoor also claimed Israeli failure, that Israel should not have gone to war, it's only a political matter, Israel is ignoring “root causes” — but real root cause is Hamas’ aim to kill all Jews! Saying Israel only wants revenge undermines his entire view on Gaza. 8/
CNN also enlists Robert Pape who has pushed "Hamas is only getting stronger" line from the beginning. Kill them — stronger. Don't kill them — stronger. See how that works? Losing key military chiefs and only lifeline for arms (Egypt) somehow grows Hamas' power in Pape's eyes. 9/
Pape has not changed his thinking since day one and no doubt CNN knew he'd provide the quotes needed, that "power of Hamas is growing." @spencerguard demolished his views in discussion below: 10/
Apparently Hamas “recruiting like crazy” points to Israeli defeat. Really? Handing untrained men a rifle while every day IDF is picking them off wherever they congregate is the Hamas rebuilding of forces? Somehow we're to believe that Hamas is actually growing its power? 11/
CNN could have brought in other experts with alternative opinions, like from @Mr_Andrew_Fox for a real analysis. They could have let others evaluate the new "data" CNN supposedly has. But CNN and its lead author (more on her below) have an anti-Israel agenda to push. 12/
Fox, of the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst, wrote about his recent visit to Gaza to study IDF action. He addressed this CNN article, explaining that the “IDF is losing” is part of a months long agenda, part of a “desperation” to portray Israel as losing, when it is not. 13/
Leading war expert @spencerguard has stated "Israel is, by every definition, winning in Gaza". He recently wrote in Newsweek how the demise of key Hamas leaders are “major milestones to Israel being able to achieve their immediate goals in Gaza.” 14/
Another military expert, former US general David Deputa was recently in Gaza and lauded IDF action and success in Gaza, such as in destroying tunnels. CNN notably does not describe ANY IDF successes in Gaza. 15/
We also find clues about the agenda driven narrative based on previous writings of lead author @tamaraqiblawi -- she loathes Israel & “Zionism” adding to the evidence that this CNN piece is mostly propaganda, a deliberate distortion of reality. 16/ honestreporting.com/not-again-cnn-…
Defeatists, apologists & haters say Israel can’t win because they don’t want Israel to win. Sure, IDF has lots more painful work to do given Hamas’ human shield & baby kidnapping strategy. Bravo Hamas. But to claim they are stronger today is inane, as shown in chart below. END
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🧵@nytimes continues to spread the lie of starvation, presenting the market in Jabaliya as something new, that has not happened for "endless months," finally some food. But food markets operated here throughout war. All journalistic standards violated here. Evidence below. 1/
This 2 minute video from Dec 2024, weeks before the ceasefire, shows fruits & vegetables sold in Jabaliya, including apples. No famine, no starvation. 2/
Another video of active food markets in Jabaliya. This was Jan 2024, months into the war, when famine supposedly reached Gaza, especially in the north. No famine, no starvation. 3/
🧵Article in Haaretz by Professors Daniel Blatman & Amos Goldberg claiming Israel is committing genocide in Gaza relies on lies, fake analysis and several fabricated quotes. Difficult to understand why these academics would be so intellectually dishonest. Detailed analysis: 1/
On intent to genocide, authors claim it exists from Netanyahu, Herzog & Gallant. But their entire paragraph is fake, with 3 invented quotes. Nothing authors write on intent is accurate, invalidating article. Inability to tell the simple truth on the quotes is shocking. 2/
Authors put in quotes “There are no innocents in Gaza” but no Israeli leader said this. It’s a fake quote, not sure where they got this, why lie? Perhaps they associate with Herzog, but he never said this or anything genocidal as this thread proves. 3/
🧵Hamas' murder & kidnapping of Thai workers on 10/7 was closely planned; contrary to Hamas apologists it wasn't “inadvertent.” Silence by fake NGOs @hrw @amnesty is deliberate & disgusting—but since Hamas fights Israel they don't care and won't call for release of last Thai. 1/
Here is an example of how the fake “human rights NGOs” is 100% silent about Thais held hostage by Hamas, but tweets regularly critical of Thailand for detentions. If you get caught up with Israel, assume your human rights don’t count to these "NGOs." 2/
Despite Hamas brutality resulting in tragic and significant losses, the Thailand government seeks to expand the worker agreement with Israel up from 30,000. Thai workers earn about $2,300/month in Israel, many multiples of what is possible back home. 3/ asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Middl…
🧵BOMBSHELL FINDING: Hamas inadvertently admits in new data release that far more men died than shown on “identified” list of fatalities, corroborating IDF claim of 20,000 combatants killed. Hamas reports 7x more fathers killed than mothers during war! Sources & analysis: 1/
See Hamas MoH report below. 32,152 children lost father and 4,417 lost mother. This 7.3x ratio is far higher than 2.2x adult men to woman listed on Hamas fatality list from Oct 2024. It can only mean many men killed missing from Hamas fatality list. 2/
Ratio of females age 18+ listed killed to “children who lost mothers” is almost 2:1, but for males it is 0.6:1. A staggering difference of almost 28,000 more “children who lost fathers” than a mother; this can only mean far more male fatalities not counted by Hamas. 3/
51,600 total deaths broken down as follows:
22,600 civilians
20,000 combatants
7,000 natural deaths
2,000 deaths caused by Hamas
Civilian/combatant ratio: ~1:1
See detailed analysis after 15 months of close review:
Here is estimate of children & women killed in war, using Hamas’ data, but adjusting for teen combatants, infant mortality and natural deaths. Combined ~37% of total fatalities (it was never 70% or even 50%) and ~72% of civilian fatalities (this is where the 70% came from). 2/
Key change to Hamas Jan 2025 total fatality numbers is adding in ~7,000 combatants to the 46,600 number that are not on any Hamas list or total count. It has been verified that Hamas by design limits reporting on combatant deaths. See combatant analysis below: 3/
🧵Lancet article claiming 64,000+ deaths in Gaza has many flaws, but one item in authors' final data output destroys validity of their analysis. Authors claim 52% of deaths age 45-59 are female; but Hamas' identified list of 40,700 deaths from Oct 2024 shows only 35% female. 1/
In Oct 2024 Hamas issued an updated “identified” fatality with age & sex detail. For age 45-59 it was 2,861 men & 1,557 women. So according to Lancet article that says overall Gaza deaths are 41% more than Hamas says, for this age range the undercount is 100% women, 0% males. 2/
Lancet analysis results don't make sense. It’s undisputed that more men than women die in wars, and in Gaza in all age ranges, especially within fighting age men. Claiming 1,481 missing female deaths but zero males in this age range is inane. Authors don't address or explain. 3/