🧵CNN piece that IDF is far from victory over Hamas is fake news that simply wishes this were true. CNN offers almost no evidence and relies on cherry-picked experts who have been claiming IDF failure since 10/7. Subtext: IDF has killed Gazans for nothing. Full analysis: 1/
CNN starts out slowly: Hamas has rebuilt some fighting capabilities. Fine. Article even admits Hamas is now a “guerilla force.” But authors then speculate, cite other experts who push line that “victory” over Hamas is not in sight, then it becomes “power of Hamas is growing”! 2/
CNN’s analysis relies on Hamas “claims” — Really? Despite never admitting any combatant deaths? Hiding Deif & Issa deaths? Also open source data. CNN offers no info from IDF, citing just one unnamed “Israeli source close to military.” IDF officially rejected CNN's thesis. 3/
Scant detail CNN reveals is stunning. Definition of Hamas battalion that has “reconstituted,” the main reason why CNN claims Israel is not winning, is “rebuild some military capabilities at least once in the last six months.” ONE time in SIX months = reconstituted battalion! 4/
CNN claims only 3 of 24 Hamas battalions are “combat ineffective” but then strangely also says 13 of 24 can only “conduct sporadic largely unsuccessful guerilla-style attacks.” Huh? Sure seems these 13 are also “combat ineffective.” CNN admits IDF calls them "dismantled"! 5/
CNN enlisted experts who are long standing Israel defeatists who have been pushing “IDF cannot beat Hamas, they're stronger now” since first week of war. Missing are any contra experts that I cite below, proving CNN had an agenda, not real analysis. Here is the IDF response: 6/
CNN cites Peter Mansoor who has been pushing the “Israel is losing” narrative since day one, of course he’s not going to change course now even with IDF achievements. Already on Oct 2023 he falsely claimed IDF was simply conducting war of “revenge” that would likely fail. 7/
In May 2024 Mansoor also claimed Israeli failure, that Israel should not have gone to war, it's only a political matter, Israel is ignoring “root causes” — but real root cause is Hamas’ aim to kill all Jews! Saying Israel only wants revenge undermines his entire view on Gaza. 8/
CNN also enlists Robert Pape who has pushed "Hamas is only getting stronger" line from the beginning. Kill them — stronger. Don't kill them — stronger. See how that works? Losing key military chiefs and only lifeline for arms (Egypt) somehow grows Hamas' power in Pape's eyes. 9/
Pape has not changed his thinking since day one and no doubt CNN knew he'd provide the quotes needed, that "power of Hamas is growing." @spencerguard demolished his views in discussion below: 10/
Apparently Hamas “recruiting like crazy” points to Israeli defeat. Really? Handing untrained men a rifle while every day IDF is picking them off wherever they congregate is the Hamas rebuilding of forces? Somehow we're to believe that Hamas is actually growing its power? 11/
CNN could have brought in other experts with alternative opinions, like from @Mr_Andrew_Fox for a real analysis. They could have let others evaluate the new "data" CNN supposedly has. But CNN and its lead author (more on her below) have an anti-Israel agenda to push. 12/
Fox, of the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst, wrote about his recent visit to Gaza to study IDF action. He addressed this CNN article, explaining that the “IDF is losing” is part of a months long agenda, part of a “desperation” to portray Israel as losing, when it is not. 13/
Leading war expert @spencerguard has stated "Israel is, by every definition, winning in Gaza". He recently wrote in Newsweek how the demise of key Hamas leaders are “major milestones to Israel being able to achieve their immediate goals in Gaza.” 14/
Another military expert, former US general David Deputa was recently in Gaza and lauded IDF action and success in Gaza, such as in destroying tunnels. CNN notably does not describe ANY IDF successes in Gaza. 15/
We also find clues about the agenda driven narrative based on previous writings of lead author @tamaraqiblawi -- she loathes Israel & “Zionism” adding to the evidence that this CNN piece is mostly propaganda, a deliberate distortion of reality. 16/ honestreporting.com/not-again-cnn-…
Defeatists, apologists & haters say Israel can’t win because they don’t want Israel to win. Sure, IDF has lots more painful work to do given Hamas’ human shield & baby kidnapping strategy. Bravo Hamas. But to claim they are stronger today is inane, as shown in chart below. END
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🧵Australian military expert affirmed tragic death of 7 WCK aid workers was not deliberate, vindicating Israel. He assessed that unexpected gunmen were with convoy and looked like Hamas; but failures still led to mistaken attack. An important independent report, some detail: 1/
The primary reason for the IDF misidentification error was the unexpected presence of armed persons, one of whom fired his weapon into the air on the trailer of the WCK truck, which was deemed “consistent with Hamas hijacking the aid convoy.” 2/
The official Australian report by Air Chief Marshal Mark Binskin noted that later on several additional gunmen moved around the WCK escort vehicles. According to the Australian assessment, IDF brigade officials “classified” the gunmen “as Hamas.” 3/
🧵Children's bedrooms have been converted to military zones by Hamas. They exploit the most sacred civilian locations in Gaza, forcing the IDF to go door-to-door, causing destruction. See 10 documented examples of kid's rooms converted into tunnel & weapons storage by Hamas: 1/
Tunnel with weapons found underneath bed in children’s room in Rafah’s Shaboura neighborhood. July 2024. 2/
🧵CRITICAL: 13 Reasons Why Hamas Fatality Numbers Should Never be Believed. Despite many proven flaws and history of fabrications, despite Hamas classified as terrorist org by EU & US — media, NGOs & world leaders cite Hamas as reliable. Analysis with evidence for each point: 1/
No one disputes Point 1. Point 2: some claim that ~10,000 Gaza fatalities are bodies in some room awaiting processing, simply "unidentified." False – the bodies are unknown and unlocated, deaths unverified. 2/
Point 3: Hamas claimed 471 deaths minutes after Al-Ahli Hospital incident, which intelligence agencies, even NGOs, said was a PIJ rocket. Same intelligence agencies said actual deaths were perhaps in the dozens (look it up). But official report (below) still includes 471. 3/
🧵Geneva Conventions understood use of schools & hospitals for war and smartly removed their protection when used for combat, contradicting fake claims that they can never be attacked. Geneva discusses human shields & abuse of civilian sites for combat six times. Analysis: 1/
Article IV.28 plainly and simply states that “protected persons,” which refers to civilians and other classes of people entitled to protection, do not immunize areas from military operations. Human shields do not provide immunity. 2/
Protocol I.51.7 expands further, specifically prohibiting use of civilians to “shield military objectives” and makes clear civilians to not “render certain points immune from military operations.” The use of such shields is a war crime, one of many committed by Hamas. 3/
🧵Israel may strike infrastructure sites in Lebanon. It will be legal. Geneva considers a site military if it provides "effective contribution" to military operations. U.S. Law of War Manual is more specific. File this analysis for later when Israel is accused of war crimes: 1/
DoD War Manual is 1,254 pages and expands on Geneva. Section 5.6.8 makes clear that “communications objects, transportation objects” and “economic objects” that are “war supporting or war sustaining industries" are “military objectives.” Like a port used to unload weapons. 2/
Israel could legitimately destroy Lebanon's wireless and communications networks, because there is no doubt they "could be used" by combatants in Lebanon to control military operations and intelligence gathering. 3/
🧵GAZA CHILD COMBATANTS CONFIRMED in Hamas Jun 30 fatality report. Hamas published new list of 28,185 "identified" fatalities; 63% of fatalities aged 13-17 are male, this is not random. It is balanced male/female for ages 0-10. 700 excess teen deaths are combatants. Analysis: 1/
Here is the data by age, consistent for each group. These figures are statistically impossible over 1000s of data points (especially if claiming “indiscriminate” attacks). The reality: Hamas uses large numbers of teen soldiers who are then legally targeted as combatants. 2/
The use of child soldiers by Palestinian terrorist groups is well documented. Fake NGOs @hrw @amnesty remain silent. END jpost.com/israel-hamas-w…