This is the core progressive position on immigration: the fact that the powder keg exists at all is racist. It doesn't matter that all the data show that immigration decreases social trust, because it *shouldn't* do that. When it lowers social trust that's only because the people are *wrong* and *bad* and so you don't have to consider their reaction. It just gets factored out, rounded down to zero. You don't have to think about what *is* because what *is* is racist.
One thing I wish I could popularize is the view that progressivism is deeply anti-intellectual. They never care about measuring reality as it actually exists, because it's irrelevant, anyway. If the data show that a progressive policy leads to bad results, then that's just because bad racists aren't getting in line. It's never the fault of the policy.
They have no concept of, "this policy doesn't work because it doesn't create the results we want with the people we actually have."
No, a policy is good if it's good in the abstract. And if the people you actually have aren't getting inline, then something should be done about them.
This isn't a small point. This is how you get gulags.
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As usual, the problem here is that people do not understand insurance as a concept and intuitively believe that it’s unfair to be asked to pay extra for something that involves large tail risks for the payee when they don’t think they’ll personally contribute to those higher costs
We knew that the previous owner of our house had cats and we could smell an odor when we were looking at the house, but what we hadn’t totally realized until we moved in is that the cats had been urinating in the eaves. I have expended considerable effort since moving in trying to eliminate that smell and the truth is that it will probably never totally go away. I just have to close that area off. You’re being asked to pay additional rent not because your specific cat will cost the landlord exactly $500 per year, but because allowing cats over the long-term introduces significant additional risk for the landlord.
It’s a big problem for society that large shares of the population are completely incapable of following this straightforward logic and they nevertheless have broad collective political power to enact absurd laws that correspond with their childish intuitions about fairness.
What these people also fail to understand is that the alternative of course is not that it will be no additional cost for your pet. The end result will be higher rents for everybody or, more likely, fewer landlords will allow pets at all.
Yes, and for obvious reason: people have a proximity theory of crime. And why wouldn’t they? If there’s a lion nearby, then you should not be there. The fact that you are surrounded by 100 of your compatriots and the lion probably won’t get you specifically is no comfort. There is a lion nearby. You should not be there.
This is obvious to all normal people.
The other thing to say about the proximity theory of crime is that two scenarios with wildly different per capita rates can present to a single individual in exactly the same way. Imagine for example a schizophrenic homeless person comes into your apartment lobby every night and screen obscenities. In the first case you live in a fourplex in a medium density suburb. In the second case you live in an urban building with 700 residents.
You will be bothered, disturbed, and annoyed by this all the same in either case. But the per capita statistics would show that the problem is much less severe in the more densely populated area.
Lots of crime is like this, in fact. If there are some tough guys who stand on your corner and get a kick out of intimidating passersby, then the per capita rate of “tough guys who stand on the corner and intimidate passersby” is much more favorable on a block in Manhattan than on one in suburban Detroit. But so what! That doesn’t measure anything useful, because those guys can stand there all day and intimidate everybody who passes by. So if you pass by, they can intimidate you. That will be true if you have lots of neighbors or not that many neighbors.
It sounds like crazy, far-right, woo woo nonsense, but almost everything you’re taught about the last 75 years of American history in the standard high school curriculum is if not a straightforward lie, carefully designed to produce an understanding of that history that’s quite at odds with what really happened. It pretty much starts with white flight, which is presented to students as an insane, incomprehensible overreaction from racist whites who just could not stomach living next to Black people under any conditions and who left cities for no other reason. That’s kind of the original lie that everybody now builds on.
And it doesn’t get any better from there.
For example, everybody discovered red lining at some point over the last five years, mostly because of the color of law, I think, and its rise to prominence in the progressive mind as an explanation for everything they don’t like about the way cities have developed over the last 75 years is practically mythological. But, like everything else you were taught about that era, it just doesn’t add up.
Which story makes more sense?
1) Racist white people could not stomach living near Black people to such a degree that they immediately abandoned their neighborhoods en masse, taking losses that in today’s money would be measured in the hundreds of thousands of dollars, uprooting their lives and moving to inferior environments for absolutely no other reason than that they are just that inexplicably racist. And then, after this happened, crime exploded for some reason.
2) Alternatively, crime was already exploding and white people (and everybody else who could afford to) left because of it.
This is an extremely good thread that goes through something I’ve talked about a lot in detail. If you’ve got a 115 IQ or whatever, then you probably have no idea what it’s like to be below average in modernity. They don’t understand any of it. They don’t know what a credit score is, they cannot conceptualize insurance, they don’t really know the difference between corporations and government.
When I say, “they don’t know what a credit score is,” please understand that I’m not saying they’re uneducated. I’m not saying they’ve never been told about credit scores, that they just need somebody to explain it to them. No, they know about credit scores. They don’t know what they *are*. That is to say, they cannot construct a model in their head that maps onto reality. You can tell them about credit scores every single day for the rest of their lives and they’re never going to understand the point of a credit score. A credit score is just a mean thing that the government does to you to keep you from having stuff.
The way he talks about insurance here is perfect. People on the left side of the IQ distribution cannot understand insurance. Modernity requires that they have it, but they don’t know what they’re buying, so when they are forced to engage with the system after an accident, they are totally unequipped to do so. It’s all magic.
This story demonstrates something very important about the realities of violent crime, which is that we help keep crime numbers lower than they are because every single human being living in a big city dramatically alters their own daily behavior to avoid being a victim. Everybody knows you cannot just simply sit in your car at 1:15 in the morning without attracting violent crime. We all just live with that. We accept it. We change our behavior every single day to route around it. These guys were armed federal agents, so they felt comfortable doing it, but what happened? It attracted violent crime!
This is one of those truisms that’s only ever talked about in far-right circles, but the truly enormous way in which we did this is that literally millions of people mass migrated out of cities into suburbs in the 20th century because they were fleeing crime. Imagine what violent victimization rates would look like had they stayed.
If you’re an important person who is protected by armed federal agents, then you can shoot at the people victimizing you. Everybody else has to spend their days and weeks plotting and scheming to avoid being a victim.
I think there’s a kind of sleight of hand going on here where it’s implying that all the extra funding going to poor kids is just to keep class sizes small, but really we know that it’s being spent on a whole bunch of other stuff that’s not associated with better outcomes
We’ve adopted a bunch of casual truisms about poverty that don’t survive even a little bit of scrutiny. For example, why is it that poor kids need extra education money at all? Can a poor kid not sit in a classroom and read a book just as well as a rich kid? Were children less able to learn calculus 150 years ago when it was taught in one-room school houses with no resources, no air conditioning, and so on? What does money have to do with learning to read?
This is what I’m responding to. I forgot to attach it.