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Intelschizo Profile picture
@Schizointel
Aug 7, 2024 • 22 tweets • 8 min read • Read on X
Why Sudzha axis of attack by Ukraine? A short thread.

First terrain taking the localized high ground can give them fire control over insanely critical GLOC for the 🇷🇺 Task Group North. Which will be highlighted in later tweets. Image
The Sudzha axis sits one of the primary rail lines that goes to Belgorod which is the main logistics depot for Task Group North in Kharkiv. Having direct fire control over this rail line shutting it down.
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Economic and Energy factors, the natural gas pipeline that flows to Hungary enters Ukraine at Sudzha this line has been shut off by the Russians since the beginning of the war, though taking this junction would be a useful propaganda victory to leverage against 🇷🇺 and 🇭🇺
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Defensibility the terrain in conjunction with pre-made defensives if 🇺🇦 throws its weight into this, it will be difficult to dislodge, along with once again having that fire control over a critical GLOC will degrade 🇷🇺 logistics and supplies to Task Group North in Kharkiv.

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Task group North was split into 4 different smaller groups and the northernmost portion was staging at Sudzha which now puts pressure on Russia's flank for this entire task force along with severing a critical GLOC for the entire Task Force.

If 🇺🇦 throws its weight on this axis and pushes for Sudzha the logistics for the entire task group North becomes significantly strained, particularly when it comes to the movement of significant quantities of equipment and supply by the ZHV via the Russian railroads.
The Line from Oryol to Kursk was knocked offline over months ago and has been regularly by OWA-UAV's. Taking Sudzha cuts the line from Lgov to Belgorod this effectively makes the only way to supply Task Group North along a single track.
This single route left several starting points such as either comes from Bryansk or Voronezh doesn't matter where, the line bottlenecks and only option left is Bulanets to Belgorod.

Green shows single route.
Orange is offline Oryol line
Red is Lgov line
Grey old tracks. Image
Older thread on Oryol line traction stations.

Last note, for now you might say there's no way Russia is operating freight rail mere kilometers from the Ukrainian border and I present to you the Tsar train which at its closest point operates 5 mi from the line of contact. This line has operated for over a year.

CORRECTION the LNG pipeline in Sudzha is still operational that is my bad. This morning reports are Ukraine has taken control of the metering station.

@tom_bike always does amazing independent work. Looking at combat related fire from satellite imagery and is able to corroborate some of the mapping that has been done on alleged Ukrainian advances in Sudzha sector.

Something to also keep an eye on that's happening further south on the opposite end of the front lines trains are being attacked with fpv drones. We did see an fpv drone attack on a Russian train in Kursk in June

The rail bridge just south of Sudzha at 51.191316,35.340380 was blown up May 1st 2022 and restored by May 4th 2022 and has been operational since bringing Russian military supplies down to Belgorod
Lgov to Sudzha to Belgorod rail line is part of The Primary Railway network of former USSR. Imagine this like a Rail Interstate Highway Network connecting all of the former USSR.

Primary Railway is denoted by thicker red lines.
Blue arrow is Sudzha.

Information from @barleybirdImage
As people are looking back for signs that may have been missed on the preparation for this offensive this convoy getting attacked might be one of them

Great set of threads on a more tactical picture

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More from @Schizointel

Intelschizo Profile picture
Jul 11
Remember when Trump said on June 24, 2024

"We tell the Ukrainians, ‘You’ve got to come to the table, and if you don’t come to the table, support from the United States will dry up.’ And we tell Putin, ‘He’s got to come to the table and if you don’t come to the table, then we’ll give Ukrainians everything they need to kill you in the field.’”

Well looks like Trump is getting fed up with Putin.

US and Ukraine joint production of pre-cursor chemicals is massive.
For those tracking.

We are now producing gunpowder with the ukrainians.

1 Patriot Battery that we had loaned to Israel that they retired has been given to Ukraine

3 Patriot Batteries sold to Ukraine and will be purchased by Germany and Norway.

$300 Million PDA Package

Resuming ISR flights over the black Sea which had been canned after Russia shot down our drone.

Not caring or allowing Ukraine to strike targets they want in the Russian Rear.
And now potentially an embargo not just sanctions

Read 5 tweets
Intelschizo Profile picture
Jul 3
This day in history 162 years ago Green Mountain Boys held back the Confederate high water mark at Gettysburg repulsing Pickett's Charge. What started out as 12,500 Confederates would be destroyed by Vermonter's, at the end of the charge 1,123 confederates were killed 4,019 wounded 3,750 captured.

“Glory to God! Glory to God! See the Vermonters go at it!” The 2nd Vermont Brigade, in helping to defeat Pickett’s Charge, performs one of the most complex and heroic efforts on a battlefield filled with courageous actions. These Vermonters were 9 month men meaning they signed up for only 9 months of duty. Posted in support roles until this fateful day at Gettysburg, they have seen no combat, and their enlistment is up in just a couple of weeks. Posted directly in front of Pickett’s Division (due west of their position on Cemetery Ridge), once they get close enough, the Vermonters poured in volley after volley, until, to their surprise, the Virginians move north by the flank. This is part of the Confederate plan, to concentrate forces near the Copse of Trees. The Vermonters do not know this, believing they have defeated the Confederate foe. The Confederate move north has cleared the Vermont front the flank of Pickett’s Division is now exposed. The Vermonters take a bold action they move out, perpendicular to Cemetery Ridge, to assault Pickett’s men on their flank. “Change front forward, by first Company! Forward! Half wheel, March!” The Vermonters execute this complex parade ground maneuver flawlessly. Now perpendicular to Cemetery Ridge, a blue wall reaching far out from the main Federal line, and at “half pistol range” of the densely packed Confederates, the Vermonters pour in volley after volley into the exposed and mostly unprotected flank of Pickett’s Division every shot seeming to deal death and destruction. The slaughter is tremendous. At one point Colonel Randall, Commander of the 13th Vermont, screams over the din of combat for the Confederates to just drop their arms and lie down. A Vermont Private: “Sir, you are treating them better than us!” Randall: “Their work is done but our isn’t!” As the attack culminates, Col Randall, unable to shout “cease fire!” loud enough, actually steps in front of his own men, to get them to stop firing. The Confederate Forces sent to protect Pickett’s flank, Alabamians and Floridians, have stepped off too late, out of sight in a low spot in the terrain. Approaching Cemetery Ridge south of their position, the Vermonters about face, move south and perform the same flank attack on these hapless soldiers, to devastating effect. These 9 month men, days from the end of their enlistment, in their first battle, have performed actions the envy of any seasoned Regiment. They do great damage to Pickett’s Charge, taking many prisoners, but have suffered greatly in the endeavor. “Glory to God! Glory to God! See the Vermonters go at it!” General Abner Doubleday on witnessing the Vermonters that day at Gettysburg. Painting by Michael J. MiddletonImage
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"Men of Vermont: The troops from your state have done nobly and well on the battlefields of this war. The praises of the old Vermont brigade are on every lip. We expect you to sustain the honor of your state. Today will decide whether Jefferson Davis or Abraham Lincoln rules this country. Your Colonel is about to lead you into battle where you will have hard fighting and much will be expected of you.”
- General DoubledayImage
General Pickett started his charge with around 12,500 men across 11 Brigades supported by 170 cannons the largest artillery bombardment in North America spread out over a mile within the course of an hour he would suffer
1,123 KIA
4,019 WIA
3,750 POW

Out of the 42 Confederate Battle Flags between 31 and 38 would be captured by the Union

Out of the around 5,000 soldiers that made it back to the Confederate rear from Pickett's charge only 800 reported for duty on July 4th the rest had deserted overnight

"With the enemy on the run, Alexander Hays took a flag and… immediately dropped his flag behind his horse and trailed it in the dust and blood of the battlefield… To General Hays and the men of his division these captured flags were but the emblems of disunion. He and the men under him could conceive no better fate than to trample them under foot and trail them in the dust as evidence of utter disdain, both for the flags and themselves for the cause they represented..."

-Captain David Shields, July 1863Image
Read 5 tweets
Intelschizo Profile picture
Jun 29
Developing situation in Coeur D'Alene Idaho wildfire intentionally set and unknown shooter ambushing firefighters and law enforcement. At least 4 firefighters shot
Warning disturbing audio clip from Broadcastify 4x firefighters shot at Couer D'Alene
2 Battalion Chiefs and 2 Firefighters down at least 2 unresponsive from multiple gunshot wounds.
Read 8 tweets
Intelschizo Profile picture
Jun 29
I normally don't share Lord bebo content, but he posted something that I do like to talk about which is trains and my God. It's been quite a long time since we've seen an actual Russian armor train running around Ukraine, let alone near the front lines. The Russian armored train is back and it is operational in the Pokrovsk Sector to ensure Russian Military Freight gets delivered as close as possible to the Front. Without precise geolocation throwing a dart at the wall its likely near Kurakhove which is a single track track line to Donetsk unlike the line to Ocheretyne which is double track.
Zaamurets died 1931
Zaamurets reborn 2025
This specific armoured train is the Yenisei under the Central Military District.

The Yenisei train is currently made up

1) Leading flatbed platform wagon with ZU-23-2 and armoured box for crew with 4x gun slits

2) Flatbed platform wagon with BMP-2 infantry fighting vehicle with camo netting and cope cage

3) CHME3-type locomotive

4) Standard Box Car to carry supplies, crew and to act as a gun car.

5) Flatbed Platform Car with another vehicle mounted with camo netting

6) Standard Box car to carry supplies, crew and to act as a gun car.

7) Second CHME3-type locomotive

8) Flatbed platform wagon with BMP-2 infantry fighting vehicle with camo netting and cope cage

9) Flatbed platform wagon with ZU-23-2 and armoured box for crew with 4x gun slitsImage
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Read 4 tweets
Intelschizo Profile picture
Jun 17
Likely Cause Identified in "Ships on Fire" Reports in Gulf of Oman/Strait of Hormuz.

Date/Time: June 17, 2025, approximately 2114 UTC
Location: ~22 NM east of Khor Fakkan Incident Type: Likely head-to-port-side collision between two large tankers

FRONT EAGLE was transiting on a steady southwesterly course, maintaining a relatively constant heading and speed consistent with normal navigation. ADALYNN was on an east by northeast course, intersecting FRONT EAGLE’s path from the latter’s port side, consistent with a classic crossing situation.

Based on AIS vectors as posted by @Osinttechnical ADALYNN appears to have crossed directly into the projected path of FRONT EAGLE, resulting in a high probability collision at or near ADALYNN’s port midships section.

Given the mass and inertia of large tankers, evasive maneuvers in the final moments would have been limited, particularly if conducted at standard transit speeds.

The fire image timestamped at 2119 UTC (five minutes after estimated collision time) supports the hypothesis of immediate structural or systems damage, most likely aboard ADALYNN which would have sustained the bulk of the damages. FIRMS thermal at 2140 UTC further validates likely ongoing combustion, likely associated with residual fuel, engine room, or cargo related ignition.
Video time lapse of the two ships.
Alot of unknowns like what role did Iranian GPS spoofing play for example and what communications if any occurred between the two ships to try and avoid the collision.

Right now appears unlikely this was an attack by Missiles or Drones nor likely to be the result of sea mines.
Read 7 tweets
Intelschizo Profile picture
Jun 7
This is the first time Ukraine targeted a Russian military freight train carrying equipment. This one strike took out 13 tanks and 100 vehicles. It is beautiful.

This single strike took out the equipment for 1 Tank Company and 3 Motor Rifle Battalions.

Tally of lost Russian assets from attacks on Russian Military Fuel And freight trains

13x Tanks
100x Vehicles
1,430,000~ Gallons of fuel.
The attack likely on the Donetsk-Tokmak Line likely west of Volnovakha we will have to wait and see whatever footage gets released. Image
Southern Forces of Ukraine posted Russian equipment losses from this train attack which includes the following.

1x Railway Locomotive
13x Tanks
7x Artillery systems
103x units of automotive and armored equipment
10x Tank Cars (between 158,000-172,000 gallons of fuel)
Read 5 tweets

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