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Intelschizo Profile picture
@Schizointel
Aug 7, 2024 • 22 tweets • 8 min read • Read on X
Why Sudzha axis of attack by Ukraine? A short thread.

First terrain taking the localized high ground can give them fire control over insanely critical GLOC for the 🇷🇺 Task Group North. Which will be highlighted in later tweets. Image
The Sudzha axis sits one of the primary rail lines that goes to Belgorod which is the main logistics depot for Task Group North in Kharkiv. Having direct fire control over this rail line shutting it down.
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Economic and Energy factors, the natural gas pipeline that flows to Hungary enters Ukraine at Sudzha this line has been shut off by the Russians since the beginning of the war, though taking this junction would be a useful propaganda victory to leverage against 🇷🇺 and 🇭🇺
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Defensibility the terrain in conjunction with pre-made defensives if 🇺🇦 throws its weight into this, it will be difficult to dislodge, along with once again having that fire control over a critical GLOC will degrade 🇷🇺 logistics and supplies to Task Group North in Kharkiv.

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Task group North was split into 4 different smaller groups and the northernmost portion was staging at Sudzha which now puts pressure on Russia's flank for this entire task force along with severing a critical GLOC for the entire Task Force.

If 🇺🇦 throws its weight on this axis and pushes for Sudzha the logistics for the entire task group North becomes significantly strained, particularly when it comes to the movement of significant quantities of equipment and supply by the ZHV via the Russian railroads.
The Line from Oryol to Kursk was knocked offline over months ago and has been regularly by OWA-UAV's. Taking Sudzha cuts the line from Lgov to Belgorod this effectively makes the only way to supply Task Group North along a single track.
This single route left several starting points such as either comes from Bryansk or Voronezh doesn't matter where, the line bottlenecks and only option left is Bulanets to Belgorod.

Green shows single route.
Orange is offline Oryol line
Red is Lgov line
Grey old tracks. Image
Older thread on Oryol line traction stations.

Last note, for now you might say there's no way Russia is operating freight rail mere kilometers from the Ukrainian border and I present to you the Tsar train which at its closest point operates 5 mi from the line of contact. This line has operated for over a year.

CORRECTION the LNG pipeline in Sudzha is still operational that is my bad. This morning reports are Ukraine has taken control of the metering station.

@tom_bike always does amazing independent work. Looking at combat related fire from satellite imagery and is able to corroborate some of the mapping that has been done on alleged Ukrainian advances in Sudzha sector.

Something to also keep an eye on that's happening further south on the opposite end of the front lines trains are being attacked with fpv drones. We did see an fpv drone attack on a Russian train in Kursk in June

The rail bridge just south of Sudzha at 51.191316,35.340380 was blown up May 1st 2022 and restored by May 4th 2022 and has been operational since bringing Russian military supplies down to Belgorod
Lgov to Sudzha to Belgorod rail line is part of The Primary Railway network of former USSR. Imagine this like a Rail Interstate Highway Network connecting all of the former USSR.

Primary Railway is denoted by thicker red lines.
Blue arrow is Sudzha.

Information from @barleybirdImage
As people are looking back for signs that may have been missed on the preparation for this offensive this convoy getting attacked might be one of them

Great set of threads on a more tactical picture

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More from @Schizointel

Intelschizo Profile picture
Dec 23, 2025
USS Defiant (BBG-1) (not a battleship actually is a good design despite the crude paintings.

The Trump Class Guided Missile Battleship or better called a Strike Cruiser is a good replacement for the Ticonderoga for a high-end fight.

Interestingly, this vessel shares a lot of comparisons with the original design of the Ticonderoga.
You can read more about that original design below
x.com/i/status/20033…

It also address a huge gap that the US Navy has had since retirement of the Iowa Class Battleships NAVAL SURFACE FIRE SUPPORT (NSFS) a sorely needed capability currently extremely lacking with the Arleigh Burke's. This vessel under its current design at least gets the US Navy to finally meet the bare minimum requirements that the Marine Corps have had in place for decades which is guns that can fire between 41-63nm, but has revised this request upwards to 200 nm for naval surface fire support in the future. The railgun and the two 5 inch guns with Hyper Velocity Projectiles will finally give the Navy/Marines a platform that can actually meet the needs for NSFS though these are not perfect which I will link to two articles that get further into this below.
Great 2 part article on the Naval Surface Fire Support below part 1.
thenavalist.com/home/2017/6/22…

Part 2.
thenavalist.com/home/2017/7/ns…

Another plus of this design is survivability coming from its sheer tonnage and up to 6 in of armor. Combin with its speed of over 30 knots will allow it to act as a goalkeeper for a carrier strike group and defend against large attacks from both drones and anti-ship cruise missiles due to the large VLS magazine depths, 2x 300 kilowatt direct energy weapons (like Lockheed Valkyrie system) on top of point defense systems.

Lastly we have the price $4 billion a ship of this size with this loadout is actually not bad. Why don't we just build more Burke's well the flight 3 already cost close to 3 Billion a ship with half the capabilities and we need other classes of ships, not just a fleet of aircraft carriers and souped up destroyers. The Burke cannot do everything nor should it. It needs to be complimented by other ships.

I'm also sure has this project goes further down the line. We will see things changed and something that will continue to complement continue to compliment the Burke's and continue the high-low mix strategy by Admiral Zumwalt
Love to hear opinions from others @mercoglianos @ShipWrektPod @DefenseBulletin @johnkonrad @John_A_Ridge @johnkonrad @EndGameWW3 @MichaelDeMatteo @BartGonnissen @cdrsalamander @RyanMcbeth

Just so many good accounts out there. Sorry if I don't tag you all
Tldr a summary
Read 4 tweets
Intelschizo Profile picture
Sep 18, 2025
No they didn't they literally discussed this last November in Vienna with the middle route corridor also known as the Trans Carpathia international transport route all part of the China Europe railway Express also known as the one belt. One road initiative also known as European silk road.

They specifically discussed in Vienna last year of expanding the middle corridor to bypass Russia and Belarus by going from central Asia to Turkey, Ukraine, Romania and, Bulgaria before continuing into Europe.Image
Read 10 tweets
Intelschizo Profile picture
Aug 5, 2025
Ukraine failed drone attack on a fuel train at the Tatsinskaya station. The drone was shot down by the air defense system, fell near the station, and burned nearby.

Also, local residents observed more than 10 explosions from the air defense system over Millerovo, Belaya Kalitva, and Chertkovo.

Ukraine is really stepping up attacks on the Russian Rear to disrupt Russians supplies to the Southern Front.
Image
Can see the debris light some brush on fire and tank cars intact Image
Update additional drones were sent an hour after the first drone failed and the railyard was struck while switching tank cars and grain cars and the reports now say dozens of UAVs were intercepted
Read 5 tweets
Intelschizo Profile picture
Jul 19, 2025
🧐🧐 Oh Hezbollah, IRGC operatives operating with SMC well, there is one group in particular that stands out. The Islamic Resistance Front in Syria (IRFS) which was created back in January from SAA/Hezbollah/IRGC remnants in southern Syria after the fall of Assad and have not been targeted by SMC, STG, nor IDF

This also begs the question why the Israelis have not been bombing these weapon depots that are clear targets under what Israel has publicly said which is the demilitarization of Southern Syria and it also shows that there is still operational supply lines from Iran to Suwayda to Lebanon and the Syrian Coast.
There was one raid earlier in the year in Suwayda that had previously interdicted a shipment of Iranian weapons through SMC territory by the STG. Otherwise I haven't seen much actions taken previously.
From the previous raid it was shown that the SMC was receiving Iranian weapons and now we have today's weapon Depot captured which shows more Iranian weapons. So question is why is the SMC allowed to receive Iranian weapon shipments while at the same time getting Israeli weapon shipments
Read 8 tweets
Intelschizo Profile picture
Jul 14, 2025
10 Billion dollars worth of equipment in a single aid package. Bidens largest single package was 6 billion.
17 Patriots are to be included though I doubt this is 17 Batteries and may be referring to launchers and may be the 3 Batteries talked about last week which according to the reports will be arriving to Ukraine in days.

Using standard 6-launcher batteries this would be 2 full batteries and one 4 launcher battery with 1 launcher to spare or could be equal to four batteries with 4 launchers each.

x.com/chris_komatsu/…
Also, to all the doomers out there, these direct foreign military sales do not require Congressional approval or the petty squabblings of politicians on the hill and a foreign military sale typically does not have the same end user restrictions and strings attached that you would find in a presidential drawdown authority and you also cannot just cancel them on a whim because the day of the week ends in the letter y. Can also sell this as a win to the isolationist and say America is making money off this. The taxpayer is not being sucked dry the Europeans are doing their part to increase military spending just like you wanted.
Read 8 tweets
Intelschizo Profile picture
Jul 11, 2025
Remember when Trump said on June 24, 2024

"We tell the Ukrainians, ‘You’ve got to come to the table, and if you don’t come to the table, support from the United States will dry up.’ And we tell Putin, ‘He’s got to come to the table and if you don’t come to the table, then we’ll give Ukrainians everything they need to kill you in the field.’”

Well looks like Trump is getting fed up with Putin.

US and Ukraine joint production of pre-cursor chemicals is massive.
For those tracking.

We are now producing gunpowder with the ukrainians.

1 Patriot Battery that we had loaned to Israel that they retired has been given to Ukraine

3 Patriot Batteries sold to Ukraine and will be purchased by Germany and Norway.

$300 Million PDA Package

Resuming ISR flights over the black Sea which had been canned after Russia shot down our drone.

Not caring or allowing Ukraine to strike targets they want in the Russian Rear.
And now potentially an embargo not just sanctions

Read 5 tweets

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