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Intelschizo Profile picture
@Schizointel
Aug 7, 2024 • 22 tweets • 8 min read • Read on X
Why Sudzha axis of attack by Ukraine? A short thread.

First terrain taking the localized high ground can give them fire control over insanely critical GLOC for the 🇷🇺 Task Group North. Which will be highlighted in later tweets. Image
The Sudzha axis sits one of the primary rail lines that goes to Belgorod which is the main logistics depot for Task Group North in Kharkiv. Having direct fire control over this rail line shutting it down.
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Economic and Energy factors, the natural gas pipeline that flows to Hungary enters Ukraine at Sudzha this line has been shut off by the Russians since the beginning of the war, though taking this junction would be a useful propaganda victory to leverage against 🇷🇺 and 🇭🇺
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Defensibility the terrain in conjunction with pre-made defensives if 🇺🇦 throws its weight into this, it will be difficult to dislodge, along with once again having that fire control over a critical GLOC will degrade 🇷🇺 logistics and supplies to Task Group North in Kharkiv.

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Task group North was split into 4 different smaller groups and the northernmost portion was staging at Sudzha which now puts pressure on Russia's flank for this entire task force along with severing a critical GLOC for the entire Task Force.

If 🇺🇦 throws its weight on this axis and pushes for Sudzha the logistics for the entire task group North becomes significantly strained, particularly when it comes to the movement of significant quantities of equipment and supply by the ZHV via the Russian railroads.
The Line from Oryol to Kursk was knocked offline over months ago and has been regularly by OWA-UAV's. Taking Sudzha cuts the line from Lgov to Belgorod this effectively makes the only way to supply Task Group North along a single track.
This single route left several starting points such as either comes from Bryansk or Voronezh doesn't matter where, the line bottlenecks and only option left is Bulanets to Belgorod.

Green shows single route.
Orange is offline Oryol line
Red is Lgov line
Grey old tracks. Image
Older thread on Oryol line traction stations.

Last note, for now you might say there's no way Russia is operating freight rail mere kilometers from the Ukrainian border and I present to you the Tsar train which at its closest point operates 5 mi from the line of contact. This line has operated for over a year.

CORRECTION the LNG pipeline in Sudzha is still operational that is my bad. This morning reports are Ukraine has taken control of the metering station.

@tom_bike always does amazing independent work. Looking at combat related fire from satellite imagery and is able to corroborate some of the mapping that has been done on alleged Ukrainian advances in Sudzha sector.

Something to also keep an eye on that's happening further south on the opposite end of the front lines trains are being attacked with fpv drones. We did see an fpv drone attack on a Russian train in Kursk in June

The rail bridge just south of Sudzha at 51.191316,35.340380 was blown up May 1st 2022 and restored by May 4th 2022 and has been operational since bringing Russian military supplies down to Belgorod
Lgov to Sudzha to Belgorod rail line is part of The Primary Railway network of former USSR. Imagine this like a Rail Interstate Highway Network connecting all of the former USSR.

Primary Railway is denoted by thicker red lines.
Blue arrow is Sudzha.

Information from @barleybirdImage
As people are looking back for signs that may have been missed on the preparation for this offensive this convoy getting attacked might be one of them

Great set of threads on a more tactical picture

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More from @Schizointel

Intelschizo Profile picture
Apr 15
This time 113 years ago Titanic has struck the iceberg and initial damage assessment concluded mail hold and forward compartments are found flooding rapidly. In the mailroom, clerks are trying to save letters and parcels. 6 of the watertight compartments compromised the ship was designed to survive no more than 4 being compromised.

Thomas Andrews one of Titanic's designers confirms to Captain Smith that Titanic can stay afloat no more than 1.5-2 hours.
Transmissions of a doomed ship

CQD DE MGY
CQD DE MGY
CQD DE MGY
CQD DE MGY
CQD DE MGY
CQD DE MGY
Position 41.44 N 50.24 W
Cape Race, Cape Cod, Along with other ships being Frankfurt, La Provence, Mount Temple, Ypiranga receive distress signals from Titanic Image
Read 43 tweets
Intelschizo Profile picture
Apr 10
So let's do a quick rundown of Patriots

A Patriot Battery is composed of

6-8x Launchers
1x Radar Set
1x Engagement Control Station
1x Electric Power Plant
1x Antenna Mast Group

Each launcher carries up to 4 PAC-2 missiles or 16 PAC-3 missiles

4-6x Batteries makes a Patriot Battalion

24-48x Launchers
4x Radar Set
4x Engagement Control Station
4x Electric Power Plant
4x Antenna Mast Group

Israel still has an additional 7x Patriot Batteries in storage

42-56x Launchers
7x Radar Set
7x Engagement Control Station
7x Electric Power Plant
7x Antenna Mast Group

This isn't including the 2 THAAD Batteries nor the 17 batteries of phase 3 Hawk that are in storage nor the 2 Batteries of Arrow nor the 2 Batteries of David Sling not the Air Defense from US Destroyer Squadron in the Eastern Mediterranean nor the Destroyer Squadron in the Red Sea nor the existing US Air defense network across CENTCOM.
The 7 Patriot batteries that Israel has in storage can very quickly be put back into action. They were only decommissioned last summer from active service.

The 17 Hawk Batteries would likely need a lot of work since they have been in storage for almost 2 decades though we don't know how much continual maintenance Israel has done with these over the years.
Saudi Arabia has
6x Patriot Battalions with 108x launchers.
16x I-Hawk Battalions with 128x launchers
1x THAAD Battery
12+ Batteries of Crotale/Shahine

Excluding the total of 618~ units between Avengers, Vulcans, and Oerlikon GDF 35mm Anti-Aircraft Guns:
Read 6 tweets
Intelschizo Profile picture
Apr 8
Reports that the United States have being handed control of Bagram Air Base by the Taliban and C-17's have begun landing at the base along with a large amounts of equipment movement near and on the base are unsubstantiated.

Sentinel 2 imagery of the base from March 31st and April 5th 2025 shows no aircraft present and no signs of equipment movement. At Kabul on the same dates no changes in equipment and no C-17'sImage
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Probably should take a random Medium article from a guy with 92 followers and co-host of the drinking bros podcast with salt.

The OP cites a clickbait and likely AI-generated article blog poster.

Afghan Press outlet Khaama Press also wrote a piece about this with statements from Taliban spokesman
Zabihullah Mujahid denying these reports and specifically highlighted the article written by Zark Shabab on Medium.

This entire story is single source report that has now turned into circular reporting ask media for the second time in 24 hours has been duped by exactly this type of reporting

1. Khaama Press
khaama.com/taliban-denies…

2. Zark Shabab Medium Article. x.com/DanHollaway/st…
Read 4 tweets
Intelschizo Profile picture
Mar 9
In 24 hours Ukraine has lost almost half of Kursk and have very likely have withdrawn West of the Psel River and South of the Loknya River and seeking to maintain the Russian built defenses West and South of Sudzha to defend the R-200 Road to allow for withdrawal from Kursk and counter attack at Kurilovka to retake the high ground from the North Koreans along with counter attacking the Russians at Basivka, Noven'ke, and Zhuravka in Sumy Oblast.Image
Ukrainian forces are likely withdrawing from Kursk to Sumy Oblast under Russian and North Korean counterattacks aimed at disrupting their retreat. A controlled withdrawal with strong rear-guard actions will allow Ukraine to withdraw to existing defenses and stabilize the front. Failure to secure withdrawal corridors will very likely result in encirclement and collapse. Maintaining layered defenses, delaying actions, and executing contingency plans prevents Russian forces from seizing the operational initiative.

Most Likely Course of Action (MLCOA)

Ukrainian forces conduct a controlled, phased withdrawal while maintaining defensive cohesion. Rear-guard elements execute delaying actions, slowing Russian advances and enabling an organized retreat to pre-designated defensive positions.
Russian forces engage retreating Ukrainian units but fail to achieve a breakthrough, preventing an operational collapse. Ukrainian forces establish new defensive positions in Sumy Oblast, stabilizing the front and limiting further Russian penetration.

Most Dangerous Course of Action (MDCOA)

Russian forces exploit gaps in Ukrainian defenses, executing a high-tempo assault that overwhelms rear-guard elements. Ukrainian units become disorganized under pressure, leading to a loss of command and control. Russian forces rapidly advance, cutting off key withdrawal routes and isolating Ukrainian units.
Ukrainian defenses within Sumy Oblast collapse, leading to an unstructured retreat or encirclement, placing the city of Sumy at risk of capture.

Key factors in Ukraine maintaining a secure phased withdrawal.

1. Ukrainian forces must maintain control over layered defensive positions along withdrawal routes to prevent Russian envelopment.

2. Rear-guard elements must conduct delaying operations to slow Russian advances and allow for an organized retreat.

3. Continuous monitoring of Russian movements is necessary to detect and counter potential envelopment maneuvers.

4. In the case of a Russian breakthrough Ukrainian forces must execute pre-planned fallback strategies to secondary defensive lines to prevent further collapse.

5. Maintaining discipline in withdrawal operations and prioritizing defensive depth, Ukrainian forces can minimize losses and prevent Russian forces from dictating the operational tempo from Kursk into Sumy Oblast.
Read 4 tweets
Intelschizo Profile picture
Jan 28
So update on the Murder of Vermont Border Patrol Agent David Maland

VT Digger has been doing a great job on reporting

Suspects in Vermont were connected with a cult called the Zizians a radical offshoot of the Rationalist movement and is described as a murder gang

Youngblut, and Bauckholt had been under surveillance since Jan. 14, when an employee of a hotel in Lyndonville, Vermont, reported seeing the pair dressed in black tactical clothing and protective equipment, according to the affidavit. The employee also told officials that they observed Youngblut carrying a holstered firearm. Vermont State Police and Department of Homeland Security investigators approached Youngblut and Bauckholt that day, according to the affidavit, but the pair “declined to have an extended conversation.” Youngblut and Bauckholt allegedly told investigators they were “in the vicinity to look at purchasing property,” and checked out of the hotel that afternoon.

Multiple Border Patrol agents in three vehicles pulled over Teresa Youngblut and, Felix Bauckholt, for an immigration inspection around 3 p.m. on Jan. 20, according to an FBI affidavit. During the traffic stop, Youngblut drew and fired a handgun toward at least one agent without warning, Bauckholt also attempted to draw a firearm, according to the affidavit, and at least one Border Patrol agent fired at the pair with his 9mm service weapon. 

FBI agents who searched the car found a ballistic helmet, night-vision goggles, 48 rounds of ammunition, used shooting range targets, and a dozen electronic devices, according to the affidavit. Authorities also found cell phones wrapped in aluminum foil at the scene.

A third associate Maximilian Snyder who has filed marriage paperwork with Teresa Youngblut was arrested in California for Jan. 17 2025 stabbing death of Curtis Lind in Vallejo California.

Snyder, Youngblut, Bauckholt are also suspects in a double homicide in Pennsylvania.

Curtis Lind the man murdered by Synder had in 2022 been severely injured in the violent dispute with tenants who where part of this cult group and a search of the property turned up used surgical equipment, more than a dozen laptops, and expensive electronics stashed inside the cargo trucks where the alleged assailants lived, which were registered in Vermont.

Youngblut had a shared leased of a property in Shelburne Vermont and had traveled abroad in 2022, 2023, 2024. The German may have also been involved in a shooting in Vermont

This whole thing is like a crazy schizo story
vtdigger.org/2025/01/27/sus…
vtdigger.org/2025/01/27/pro…
Read 7 tweets
Intelschizo Profile picture
Jan 8
LAFD Units that have responded to areas IVO Palisades fire

Air Assets
AO1, AO2, H0A, H0C, H0D, H0F, H1, H2, H3, H4, HA1, HA2, HA3, HA4, HA7, HT2, HT3

Arson Investigators
AR1, AR11, AR33, AR34

Command
BC4, BC5, BC9, BC10
BC11, BC17, BC18, BC701
BC705, BC706, BC717, BC721
CM20, CM22, CM40, CM42
CM51, CM52, PI1, SO1, PB1880, PH1

Brush Patrol
BP8, BP19, BP23, BP44,
BP74, BP84, BP99, BP109,
CW3A

Engines
E1, E1B, E3, E3S, E4, E5, E6S, E11, E12, E14, E15, E17, E19, E20, E23, E26, E27, E29, E33, E34, E35, E37, E38, E39, E41, E41C, E43, E43C, E48, E49, E58, E59, E61, E62, E63, E64, E66, E67, E68, E69, E70, E71, E73, E75, E82, E82C,E85, E88, E90, E93, E94, E95
E98, E105, E109, E201, E205, E209, E221, E226, E227, E229, E235, E237
E260, E261, E263, E269, E278
E287, E290, E292, E295, E8136
E8137, E8138, E8139, E8140

Rescue Ambulance
AP43, EM5, EM9, EM17, EM18
RA19, RA23, RA27, RA37, RA56, RA58
RA69, RA71, RA92, RA97, RA862, RA867

Trucks
T5, T21, T26, T27, T29, T35, T37
T60, T61, T63, T69, T87, T90
T92, T95

Urban Search & Rescue Units
UR5
UR88

Water Tenders
WT77, WT88

Other units
Dozer 41, Dozer 42, Dozer 45
Emergency Air 1,
Emergency Air 2,
Fast Response 91,
Fast Response 115,
Heavy Equipment 1,
Heavy Rescue 3, Squad 95,
Support Utility 4

Non LAFD Units (
2x Canadair CL-415 Super Scoopers
USFS
2 Air Attack Planes,
1 Lead Plane,
4 LAT’s (large airtankers),
1 Task Force,
4 Type 3 Engines
1 Water Tender.
This list does not include all the mutual aid from neighboring fire districts that are covering other stations or mutual aid that may have responded as well
Nor does this list include law enforcement assets
Read 14 tweets

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