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Artur Rehi

@ArturRehi

Aug 7, 2024 • 8 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X

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This entry of the Ukrainian Armed Forces into the Kursk region differs from the previous ones in the number of forces. This time it does not look like a guerrilla tactic of a sabotage and reconnaissance group. Tanks are participating and at least 2 brigades.
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Putin made a statement. He admitted that Ukraine organized "another provocation". A state of emergency has been declared in the region. Information from the Kursk region is currently coming mainly from the Russian side. The Military Group North of Alexander Lapin
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is responsible for this direction on the Russian side, but it is currently fighting in the Kharkiv direction. With its advance, the Ukrainian Armed Forces can cut the railway in Sudzha, through which the Russian army in the Kharkiv region receives supplies. By cutting
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the railway in Sudzha, Ukraine greatly complicates the logistics of Military Group North. The Ukrainian move was a surprise for everyone. Especially for Russia. The partisans from the "Atesh" movement also noted that Russia in the Kursk region began to use Russian civilians
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to fight the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Local authorities have gathered those who know how to operate drones or are studying to be drone operators. They only have to train civilians for 10 hours, since they skip studying the process of soldering and programming drones. At the
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moment, Ukraine has been able to advance up to 20 km into Russian territory, capturing many Russian soldiers along the way. The largest surrenders on the Russian side have occurred in this direction. At the moment, in two days around 100 Russian soldiers have surrendered.
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Mostly conscripts are deployed in this area. The Ukrainian side has not commented on the operation in any way, maintaining the element of surprise. Such operations have been successful in the past. Russian logistics are poor when it comes to fast action.
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Russian tactics have always been to win through mass, not maneuvers. Although it cannot be said that the Russians do not resort to tricks. In any case, the Ukrainian attack caught them off guard.
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Artur Rehi

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Feb 11

A wave of property confiscations that swept across the regions and affected officials, security officers, and judges has brought the state an amount comparable to the annual budget of a small region. In total, over the past 5-7 years, property worth 100 billion rubles has been
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seized in corruption cases, Accounts Chamber auditor Andrei Baturkin reported in the State Duma. The confiscations have reached such a scale that, according to Baturkin, a “road map” is now required to coordinate the relevant agencies that will have to deal with seized companies,

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Feb 10

Bloomberg reported, citing sources, that Greece and Malta have become the main obstacles to an EU proposal to replace the price cap on Russian oil with a ban on services necessary for transporting fuel. According to the agency’s interlocutors, the two southern European
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countries raised concerns about this step at a meeting of EU ambassadors on Monday, where the latest sanctions package against Russia was presented. They warned that such a shift could affect Europe’s shipping industry and energy prices. Both countries also requested

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Artur Rehi

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Feb 9

The most unpleasant forecasts regarding the Russian economy are beginning to materialize. What analysts cautiously spoke about a year ago is now being discussed openly even by the most pro-government Russian economists: the safety margin is rapidly shrinking. While Putin talks
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about “stability” and “growth,” the reality looks far more prosaic: a country that unleashed a war of aggression against Ukraine is methodically burning through its own financial system. According to estimates by Germany’s BND intelligence service, Russia’s real military spending

reaches around 10% of GDP and nearly half of the federal budget. In fact, actual expenditures are 66% higher than officially declared, due to hidden budget lines, Defense Ministry construction projects, military IT infrastructure, and social payments to servicemen. In simple

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Feb 4

According to BND estimates, last year Russia’s military spending may have amounted to almost half of the state budget and around 10% of the country’s GDP. According to the German intelligence service, Russia is spending significantly more on the war and its armed forces
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than it has declared in recent years. Since the start of the war against Ukraine in February 2022, Russia’s defense budget has increased sharply every year. In addition, Russia’s interpretation of “defense spending” differs significantly from the NATO definition, German

intelligence officials note. A comprehensive analysis of budget data conducted by BND shows that Russia’s defense budget in recent years was 66% higher than officially reported. Unaccounted expenditures include, for example, construction projects of the Ministry of Defense,

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Artur Rehi

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Jan 30

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky explained why he sharply criticized Europe at the World Economic Forum in Davos. He made these remarks during a meeting with journalists in Kyiv, according to a correspondent from European Pravda. Zelensky said he had grounds for critical
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Artur Rehi

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Jan 22

Putin is losing the game he himself started. His bet was placed on a return to the world of the 19th and early 20th centuries - a world of empires and spheres of influence, where Europe, America, Africa, and Asia are divided among several “superpowers.” In Putin’s vision of
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the world, there were supposed to be three such powers: the United States, Russia, and China. However, the real transformation of the global order is unfolding in a completely different way. The key failure is Ukraine. At the end of the fourth year of war, Russia has still
2/19

been unable to subjugate it. The army is visibly degrading, human and technological resources are being exhausted, the economy is held together by military spending and gray schemes, and the state increasingly resembles an overextended empire losing its ability to govern
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Read 19 tweets

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