This entry of the Ukrainian Armed Forces into the Kursk region differs from the previous ones in the number of forces. This time it does not look like a guerrilla tactic of a sabotage and reconnaissance group. Tanks are participating and at least 2 brigades. 1/8
Putin made a statement. He admitted that Ukraine organized "another provocation". A state of emergency has been declared in the region. Information from the Kursk region is currently coming mainly from the Russian side. The Military Group North of Alexander Lapin 2/8
is responsible for this direction on the Russian side, but it is currently fighting in the Kharkiv direction. With its advance, the Ukrainian Armed Forces can cut the railway in Sudzha, through which the Russian army in the Kharkiv region receives supplies. By cutting 3/8
the railway in Sudzha, Ukraine greatly complicates the logistics of Military Group North. The Ukrainian move was a surprise for everyone. Especially for Russia. The partisans from the "Atesh" movement also noted that Russia in the Kursk region began to use Russian civilians 4/8
to fight the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Local authorities have gathered those who know how to operate drones or are studying to be drone operators. They only have to train civilians for 10 hours, since they skip studying the process of soldering and programming drones. At the 5/8
moment, Ukraine has been able to advance up to 20 km into Russian territory, capturing many Russian soldiers along the way. The largest surrenders on the Russian side have occurred in this direction. At the moment, in two days around 100 Russian soldiers have surrendered. 6/8
Mostly conscripts are deployed in this area. The Ukrainian side has not commented on the operation in any way, maintaining the element of surprise. Such operations have been successful in the past. Russian logistics are poor when it comes to fast action. 7/8
Russian tactics have always been to win through mass, not maneuvers. Although it cannot be said that the Russians do not resort to tricks. In any case, the Ukrainian attack caught them off guard.
8/8
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The defeat of Viktor Orban in the Hungarian elections, after he was strongly backed by Donald Trump and US Vice President JD Vance, has become a turning point for Europe’s far right. According to Politico, many ultra-right parties are now distancing themselves from Trump,
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as his increasingly aggressive stance toward Europe and the new war in the Middle East has made him politically costly. It is becoming clear that closeness to him can damage electoral prospects. “We need to keep our distance from him,” Marine Le Pen told members of her party
at a National Rally meeting, according to a senior party official present. A further factor has been Trump’s attack on Pope Leo XIV. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni had been one of the last European leaders trying to maintain good relations with Trump, but reportedly
russian President Vladimir Putin demanded that the government and the Central Bank explain why economic indicators are falling short of forecasts and again called for measures to restore growth, noting that GDP has been declining for two consecutive months. After slowing
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sharply to about 1% growth in 2025 due to weak domestic demand, high borrowing costs, and expanded Western sanctions, the economy has now shifted into contraction, shrinking by around 1.8% over the first two months of the year. The Ministry of Economic Development initially
attributed the decline to a calendar effect, citing fewer working days compared to the same period last year, but Putin dismissed this as insufficient and asked officials to explain why actual data is worse than their own projections. Speaking to senior economic officials,
The State Duma has approved in the first reading a bill expanding the powers of the President of russia to deploy troops abroad to “protect the rights of russian citizens.” According to the government proposal, Vladimir Putin would be able to use the military in response
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to the arrest, detention, or prosecution of russians in foreign countries, including decisions made by courts and international bodies that russia does not recognize. The president already has authority to send troops abroad under the law “On Security,” particularly if actions
by other states or institutions are seen as contradicting russia’s interests or public order. The new bill comes amid growing warnings from NATO and European intelligence agencies about a potential conflict involving russia and alliance members. In 2025, Germany’s BND warned
On average, from March 8 to April 5, russia exported 3.35 million barrels of oil per day - the highest export level since June 2022. Bloomberg reports this. The largest deliveries went to Asian countries, particularly India and China. In China, an average of 1.07 million
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barrels of oil per day was delivered, and to India - 1.9 million. Turkey also purchased 210 thousand barrels per day. Overall, russia earned about $2.02 billion per week from this export. Some russian tankers also do not have a specified destination. Instead, Suez or Port Sudan
is often listed as the final point. The number of such tankers is increasing, while the number of tankers officially heading to China and India is decreasing. In addition, the amount of oil loaded onto tankers at sea dropped to 105 million barrels. By mid-March, this figure was
Over the past couple of months, russian military sources have been reporting that the intensity of Ukrainian strikes on logistics has increased many times over. We are talking about so-called middle strike. Until 2025, despite innovations in drone technology, Ukraine was
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losing to russia in this segment. The “drone wall” developed by Ukraine is effective at relatively short distances - up to 20 km from the line of contact. At the same time, long-range drones were developed, which Ukraine has been actively using to strike oil refineries and
the military industry of russia, but until recently Ukraine could not effectively carry out middle strike. This problem began to be actively discussed in the summer of 2025, and since then the Armed Forces of Ukraine have taken the right steps in the right direction. In June,
The sharp rise in oil prices due to the war in Iran strongly plays into russia’s hands, as prices for russian oil grades have exceeded 100 dollars per barrel and Asian countries such as Vietnam, Thailand, the Philippines, Indonesia and Sri Lanka are actively ordering russian
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oil, increasing the likelihood that demand in the region will exceed russian supply. This is driven by the easing of US sanctions. This allows russia, despite waging an aggressive war, to improve its standing on the international stage. Along with oil contracts, russia also
offers investments in other sectors and new business opportunities, including military cooperation. Thus, instead of isolation and toxicity, russia gains new markets and expands its influence. All thanks to Trump. However, oil is not only russia’s strength but also its most