Thread by @LovelyLad_

The Second day of the Kursk Incursion According to open sources
Tactical Analysis
Thread🧵

On August 6th the Ukrainians launched a new cross-border operation inside Russia's Kursk Oblast, this time with actual UGF units equipped with western equipment
Day 1 of the operation has already been covered by me yesterday

https://x.com/LovelyLad_/status/1821155231561851120

I want to say for the more sensitive chaps reading this that no information that is not already known to the Russians has or will be shared all these analysis are 1 day late and covering the events of the previous day.

Starting off I have to address some things that I got wrong in my previous assessment, the main thing I got wrong is the Operational ORBAT, my assessment said that only a BTG from the 82nd partook in the maneuver when there was a battalion of the 22nd supporting it

Now let's get into August 7th
Overnight a battalion of the 103rd TDF Brigade reinforced with elements from the Georgian Legion would cross the border and setup on the western flank of the salient.
The 103rd will be acting as the Flank security element throughout the day

In the early morning several Svoboda Rosiya motorized and dismounted combat patrol elements would cross the border once again aiming to secure the western flank of the main effort, some of the positions had already been cleared by the previous day's raids

The main effort during this day would be conducted by the 88th mechanized brigade which would aim to destroy the Russian Rifle company in the border post and then breach the defenses of Sudzha with support from the 22nd Mechanized brigade from the north west.

Around 8AM 2 Ukrainian mechanized companies from the 88th Mechanized brigade likely utilizing M2A2 Bradleys would cross the border and secure the village of Oleshnya while a third supported by Mortars and artillery would put pressure on the Border post housing a Russian company.

The Border Post would be sieged up until the afternoon, being struck by heavy artillery and mortar fire all morning, surrounded the remaining Russians would surrender

In the north a small Russian garrison manning the hamlet of Loknya would be struck by 120mm mortar fire and forced to withdraw.
The 22nd other than that would stay pretty quite throughout the morning as they were waiting on the 88th to clear the border post.

The 82nd would improve their tactical positions and setup on the heights, this is all they would do throughout the day, although it is a very important tactical objective.

The operation on the western flank would go as planned and by the afternoon all the objectives would be secured

After the border post was secured and regrouping was completed the attempted breach of the Russian defenses would initiate.
At first Dismount Combat patrols would bypass the Defenses and enter Sudzha from the south
1/2

Then the 22nd from the north and the 88th from the south would attack the town from the west with the 88th bypassing the defenses through the highway and the 22nd creating breaches in order to secure kazachya Loknya and support the 88th inside the town.
2/2

The Ukrainians would immediately secure the en-heightened positions in and around the town except from kazachya Loknya which would hold on until the night when a general withdrawal would happen behind the river

Although the Ukrainians didn't get the decisive victory they wanted, they still managed to force the Russians out of Sudzha the reason for that was outlined in yesterday's thread.
The Ukrainians still have a 3 to 1 advantage and they have secured most of the heights in the area.

Another event that happened on August 7th was the attempted maneuver by a Ukrainian raiding group towards the town of Korenevo, 8 vehicles would attempt to move into the Russian rear but the Russian defense had already consolidated due to preparations for another axis.

Today additional maneuver troops have been deployed and raiding groups will be more prevalent but we shouldn't get ahead of ourselves.
So That's it for today, thanks for reading