🧵Australian military expert affirmed tragic death of 7 WCK aid workers was not deliberate, vindicating Israel. He assessed that unexpected gunmen were with convoy and looked like Hamas; but failures still led to mistaken attack. An important independent report, some detail: 1/
The primary reason for the IDF misidentification error was the unexpected presence of armed persons, one of whom fired his weapon into the air on the trailer of the WCK truck, which was deemed “consistent with Hamas hijacking the aid convoy.” 2/
The official Australian report by Air Chief Marshal Mark Binskin noted that later on several additional gunmen moved around the WCK escort vehicles. According to the Australian assessment, IDF brigade officials “classified” the gunmen “as Hamas.” 3/
A key reason for the identification of gunmen as Hamas is that the guards were not coordinated with IDF, and furthermore, the IDF would not have allowed armed guards anyhow. Report admits WCK could have inadvertently hired armed guards with links to Hamas. 4/
However there was a situational awareness breakdown and IDF controls failed, which IDF fully admits, which led to errors in decision making and misidentification of convoy as hostile. 5/
An interesting revelation: The Australian report noted that the IDF post-incident investigation system is similar to the Australian system. Fake NGOs @hrw @amnesty @btselem and others (falsely) claim that Israel’s post-incident investigations are a sham, do not really happen. 6/
The Australian report concluded that Israel’s acceptance of accountability, reporting and response has been “appropriate” and “sufficient” – again, contradicting fake NGO and some media claims that Israel never does these things properly. 7/
Report is important as it may be the first time an independent foreign military expert published a public report assessing IDF action. It's also perhaps the only time in history an army has allowed a foreign investigation like this. But Israel is always treated differently. END
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🧵BOMBSHELL FINDING: Hamas inadvertently admits in new data release that far more men died than shown on “identified” list of fatalities, corroborating IDF claim of 20,000 combatants killed. Hamas reports 7x more fathers killed than mothers during war! Sources & analysis: 1/
See Hamas MoH report below. 32,152 children lost father and 4,417 lost mother. This 7.3x ratio is far higher than 2.2x adult men to woman listed on Hamas fatality list from Oct 2024. It can only mean many men killed missing from Hamas fatality list. 2/
Ratio of females age 18+ listed killed to “children who lost mothers” is almost 2:1, but for males it is 0.6:1. A staggering difference of almost 28,000 more “children who lost fathers” than a mother; this can only mean far more male fatalities not counted by Hamas. 3/
51,600 total deaths broken down as follows:
22,600 civilians
20,000 combatants
7,000 natural deaths
2,000 deaths caused by Hamas
Civilian/combatant ratio: ~1:1
See detailed analysis after 15 months of close review:
Here is estimate of children & women killed in war, using Hamas’ data, but adjusting for teen combatants, infant mortality and natural deaths. Combined ~37% of total fatalities (it was never 70% or even 50%) and ~72% of civilian fatalities (this is where the 70% came from). 2/
Key change to Hamas Jan 2025 total fatality numbers is adding in ~7,000 combatants to the 46,600 number that are not on any Hamas list or total count. It has been verified that Hamas by design limits reporting on combatant deaths. See combatant analysis below: 3/
🧵Lancet article claiming 64,000+ deaths in Gaza has many flaws, but one item in authors' final data output destroys validity of their analysis. Authors claim 52% of deaths age 45-59 are female; but Hamas' identified list of 40,700 deaths from Oct 2024 shows only 35% female. 1/
In Oct 2024 Hamas issued an updated “identified” fatality with age & sex detail. For age 45-59 it was 2,861 men & 1,557 women. So according to Lancet article that says overall Gaza deaths are 41% more than Hamas says, for this age range the undercount is 100% women, 0% males. 2/
Lancet analysis results don't make sense. It’s undisputed that more men than women die in wars, and in Gaza in all age ranges, especially within fighting age men. Claiming 1,481 missing female deaths but zero males in this age range is inane. Authors don't address or explain. 3/
🧵Arafat rejected the Clinton Parameters exactly 24 years ago in January 2001, rejecting statehood that would have ended the conflict. Every life lost since is due to Arafat saying no. Recent statements by Clinton affirms this history. Full details of offer and rejection: 1/
Overview: Following failed Camp David summit in Summer of 2000 and Arafat’s launch of 2nd Intifada, Clinton dictated a final set of peace terms in Dec 2000 (very brief summary below), well beyond offer at Camp David, and asked each side to say yes “within the Parameters.” 2/
Israeli PM Ehud Barak and his team accepted the terms “within the Parameters.” Revisionists claim this is not true, but Clinton, Saudi Prince Bandar & key American negotiators and released documents have corroborated Israel’s acceptance. See from Clinton & Dennis Ross below: 3/
🧵Ireland filed document at ICJ on Dec 20 outlining how it wants definition of genocide changed, as it admitted on Dec 11 it would do. Filing effectively proves claims of genocide against Israel at ICJ and by NGOs like Amnesty are invalid. Analysis of changes Ireland wants: 1/
Ireland’s tactic is to join the Rhoyinga genocide case (The Gambia v Myanmar), ask the ICJ here for definitional changes, mainly in how “special intent” or dolus specialis for genocide is defined and join South Africa case v Israel with new definition to use against Israel. 2/
Ireland never cared to join case vs Myanmar filed five years ago in Nov 2019. If Rhoyingas were of high concern why wait until now? Of course Ireland's sudden interest is hatred for Israel. But genocide's definition does not work for Israel, so they want to change it now. 3/
🧵With 500K+ views this fake list of "Zionist arguments" requires a full debunking. Every point Shehada makes is a lie, misrepresentation, strawman, and fake history (lots of it). Detailed thread below: 1/
1. The very first claim is a lie. That “Zionist arguments” argue “we were here first.” No “Zionist” claims Jews were the first human beings in the area, this is a strawman argument fabricated by Shehada. Instead, the fact (not an "argument") is that Jews originated in the region with a 3,000 year unbroken history that included independent kingdoms. That Jewish history in the region predates Arab and Muslim history.
2. Shehada says "many" Palestinians have Canaanite DNA. The DNA of Caananites, according to research, can be found in both Jewish and Arab populations in the region, even more so in Lebanon and Jordan. (english.tau.ac.il/news/canaanites) There have not been any Caananites on earth for some 3,000 years and there is no specific or direct connection of Caananites to Palestinians or Jews or anyone else. No human on earth today can claim a direct lineage or identity to Caananites. Palestinians sometimes claim to be direct descendants of Caananites in a feeble attempt to "predate" Jews who trace back 3,000 years.